All Forums | Systems & Strategies

NBA teams with win percent below 425 fade

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 11211
Posts: 134
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 1244
Posted: #26

Hey Air1 another thing I noticed is that after the bottom 6 teams cover ATS they lose the next game .. The teams are NJ  TOR  DET  CHAR  WASH  NO these teams are awful.. I might start  to fade these as soon as they cover one ATS.. I will look into it ..

NO plays tonight for the original system

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 818
Posted: #27
I believe Sac is a play tonight from the original system. They are 6-10, which is a .375 winning percentage and they have covered two in a row.
I also believe NJ and Char fit the bad teams who covered their last game model.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2011
Posts: 909
Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by Knoxpoker:

NO plays tonight for the original system


I thought you meant new orleans is a play for the system tonight, lol. almost went with it. good thing I double checked.

Also when you say the bottom 6 teams lose the next game after covering ats, you mean they lost ats right? I will see if I can back test this to previous seasons later tonight.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 1244
Posted: #29

Fading SAC  is a play tonight ... good looking out ..

Memphis -9.5    (A) game

 

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 1244
Posted: #30

the other system of fading the bottom 6 teams after an ATS win  would be up 10 units .. so far this year .. 10 units @ 45.45 per

-110 bet if you were a 50.00 better would be up 454.50 and the season is very young .. I will try to back test last yr...

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 1244
Posted: #31
So I checked up on it ... last yr fading the bottom 9 teams that were below 415 win percent after an ATS win you would have been up 28 units ... When I have time I will do earlier yrs just to make sure its solid. I am not sure which would be better to play . To play the team after 1 ATS or chase 2 games after they win  2 ATS in a row .. I think both are ok ...
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 1244
Posted: #32

1/21/12  Memphis -9.5 (A)  Winner

System record  4-0

A 3-1

B 1-0     +4 units

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 1244
Posted: #33

I back tested the 2009-2010 NBA season .. Playing against the bottom 10 teams with a win percent of below 350 and fading them  after a ATS win you would have won 30 units .. If I am missing something somebody chime in . But this seems to easy ..

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 818
Posted: #34
I think I will stick with the original system of fading a team after two ATS wins. It seems golden. Mem was money tonight.
Char covered tonight so, the second system seems a little less solid. I will keep checking in though.
Thanks again for this.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 818
Posted: #35
Will be fading WAS and CHAR on Sunday as both are two covering streaks.

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 1244
Posted: #36

2 plays today           SYSTEM RESULTS     +4 units

                              A- 3-1

                              B 1-0

Boston -4.5 (A)

NJ  -5 (A)

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 1244
Posted: #37

Boston (A)  Winner  System results  + 5 units

                                A - 4-1

                                B - 1-0

Pending plays -    NJ - 5

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 1244
Posted: #38

NJ -5 Winner  System results . +6 units

A Games   5-1

B Games  1-0

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 818
Posted: #39
3 games tonight? Fade NWO +4.5, Phx +5.5 and Mil?
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2011
Posts: 5372
Posted: #40
nwo=new world order? lol wut
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 818
Posted: #41
NWO = New Orleans. Shouldn't be that hard to figure out.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 947
Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by BigTenWatto:

3 games tonight? Fade NWO +4.5, Phx +5.5 and Mil?


This system definitely calls for a play on Atlanta going against Milwaukee.  MIL has covered 2 games in a row ATS.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 1244
Posted: #43

1/23/12  System Plays    

Dallas -5   ALL  (A) plays   good luck ..

San Antonio -4

Atlanta -1.5 

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 2554
Posted: #44

These teams are not doing very well through the 3rd... hope they come out strong in the 4th and close this out.

Been trailing and havent lost yet, if I lose tonight its time to pay the piper in the morning.

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 1244
Posted: #45

1/23/12                               System Results  + 7 units

Dallas -5   Winner                      A 8- 2     

San Antonio -4 Loser                 B  1-0 

Atlanta -1.5   Winner

 

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 1244
Posted: #46

Sorry wrong results ..... System Results  +  7 units

                                   A  7-2

                                   B 1-0     

Pending plays we are fading New Orleans on 1/25/12

                                  

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 2554
Posted: #47
I love this system
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1150
Posted: #48
Any plays for today?
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 947
Posted: #49
No plays in this system for 1/24
 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 1244
Posted: #50
No plays tonight .. Tommorow we are fading New Orleans for the B game ..
All Forums | Systems & Strategies
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.