Week 3, was not a good one. 13 teams eliminated and after 3 weeks we have 81 teams eliminated, 44 to go. 10 teams are on game 2, 29 teams on game 3, 5 teams go to game 4 and we switch to betting UNDER on these 5. I'll list the teams in the next post.
Thursday
Friday - Boise St (gm 2) 57.5 WIN
Saturday
9 teams do not play or qualify for this week: S. Florida, Miami FL, Temple, Washington, Georgia State, Iowa State, East Carolina, Boston College, Ohio. 35 teams in action this week including the Thursday game.
Thursday - NC State (game 2) Over 65 Loss
Saturday
The following teams are on game 4 so we bet the UNDER
Middle Tennessee is on game 3 and Florida Atlantic on game 4. Since one calls for the over and the other the under you can either skip this game and move forward with the one team that moves on or bet the difference of your individual bets between game 3 and 4 and bet the under.
Mid Tenn (3) / Florida Atlantic (4) - 48.5
We started this week with 44 teams. 9 teams did not play or qualify for this week, 35 teams in action. 14 wins, 19 losses and 2 pushes. We treat the pushes as a no game so those teams stay on the same game number next time. 30 teams left.
Thursday - NC State (game 2) Over 65 Loss
Saturday
The following teams are on game 4 so we bet the UNDER
Middle Tennessee is on game 3 and Florida Atlantic on game 4. Since one calls for the over and the other the under you can either skip this game and move forward with the one team that moves on or bet the difference of your individual bets between game 3 and 4 and bet the under.
Mid Tenn (3) / Florida Atlantic (4) - 48.5 OVER Win on Mid Tenn, loss on Fla Atl
Here are the teams that are left, what game they are on and date of next qualifying game. Note that we have E. Car (game 3) playing N. Carolina (game 4) and Georgia Tech (game 3) playing Va tech (game 4). Last year at this time we only had 11 teams left. This year has sucked so far.
Game 2
Game 3
Game 4 (Bet Under)
Game 5
Dan,
Have you ever looked into doing 2 Team Round Robins for teams late in the chase? There are probably too many on Game 4 to do it, but those this week that go to Game 5 next week might be something to consider.
I only have 6 teams this week on Game 4 solo (not with a team on Game 3). I could do a round robin for those 6 teams at about 1/2 of what I would normally to wager to capture the 1 unit per team. However, my potential win is far greater.
Just something to think about...or maybe I'm way off line here??
Dan,
Have you ever looked into doing 2 Team Round Robins for teams late in the chase? There are probably too many on Game 4 to do it, but those this week that go to Game 5 next week might be something to consider.
I only have 6 teams this week on Game 4 solo (not with a team on Game 3). I could do a round robin for those 6 teams at about 1/2 of what I would normally to wager to capture the 1 unit per team. However, my potential win is far greater.
Just something to think about...or maybe I'm way off line here??
I have never considered that, mostly because I've never bet a round robin. With the way the win % is going I don't like it, but who knows you could win them all.
The rest of the plays for this week. Note on the E. Caolina/N. Carolina game. Since we need E. Car to go over I got 60.5 at the Rio and N. Carolina to go under I got 62 at William Hill.
Thursday
Saturday
Sunday
There are William Hill places here in Vegas. I have an account and they have kiosks at a few bars near my house. Also have online accounts at the Palms (Cantor lines) and Station casinos. Always good to line shop if you can.
Through Saturday with one game to go Sunday we have 13 wins and 8 losses - 17 teams left.
Thursday
Saturday
Sunday
End of week 5 - We had 13 wins and 9 losses - 17 teams left.
Thursday
Saturday
Sunday
Dan,
Luckily, I only have 12 teams left. I matched up the 5 differences between us and 3 were due to line differences. 1 team was bet on early in the week before the line moved. And 1 was a mistake on my part which worked out in my favor. (I bet the under when I was supposed to bet Over).
However, 5 teams on Game 5 is nerve wracking. LOL
Gator, this isn't my system, so I cannot answer to the previous record claims. I came across this thread and decided to test it last year on here. Worked pretty good with only 1 team losing but I would have stopped my personal chase long before that. This year has not worked out that way unfortunately.
Established in 1995,
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