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NCAA Football -6 game chase 3480-1 since 1980

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Captain
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Posted: #276
I use covers for most backtesting that I do.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Prospect
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Posted: #277
were is that located at, i looked but didn't come up with anything.  What icon is it under?  Thanks hopefully i am not ruining this thread
 
Captain
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Posted: #278

Under the NCAAF tab at the top, go to each team and then you can look at previous seasons. Kind of tedious but the info is there.

I know others go a a sports database somewhere and run queries. I'm not sure where, never done it.

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Prospect
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Posted: #279
Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

Under the NCAAF tab at the top, go to each team and then you can look at previous seasons. Kind of tedious but the info is there.

I know others go a a sports database somewhere and run queries. I'm not sure where, never done it.



Ok, thanks yeah i tried using it but its way over my head with the SQLY ETC ETC STUFF LOL
 
Prospect
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Posted: #280
Any plays for this week, thanks
 
Captain
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Posted: #281

Week 6, 17 teams left, all in action on Saturday and Sunday.

Still betting over on 2 teams - Georgia State and Kansas. Everyone else is the Under.

Saturday

  • Georgia State (2) - 55
  • Kansas (3) - 55.5
  • Michigan State (4) - 38.5
  • Auburn (4) - 56.5
  • Massachusets (4) - 51.5
  • Marshall (4) - 65.5
  • Memphis (4) - 47.5
  • Temple (4) - 58
  • Washington (4) - 53
  • Georgia Tech (4) - 56
  • Ohio (4) / Akron (4) - 57
  • Miami OH (5) -47
  • Wake Forest (5) - 47
  • North Carolina (5) -45.5
  • Washington State (5)  - 66.5

Sunday

  • Hawaii (5) - 55.5

 

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Veteran
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Posted: #282
I read somewhere in systems/strategies that MCSI had great success using this system on only SEC teams...he said no team went past 3 games. 

Might that be a better angle?






...food for thought. 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #283
Did Washington State not clear in game 3 when they went over ?


And Wake Forest went under in game 4

 
Captain
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Posted: #284
You are counting the games against non Div 1 teams. Those games don't count since you can't bet them. We treat those games as if they never happened. 
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Captain
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Posted: #285

Pretty good day on Saturday. We went 12-4, with Hawaii yet to play on Sunday.

The 4 teams left (Hawaii pending) are:

Georgia State (going to game 3)

Michigan State (going to game 5)

Washington (going to game 5)

Georgia tech (going to game 5)

Saturday

  • Georgia State (2) - 55 Loss
  • Kansas (3) - 55.5  WIN
  • Michigan State (4) - 38.5 Loss
  • Auburn (4) - 56.5 WIN
  • Massachusets (4) - 51.5 WIN
  • Marshall (4) - 65.5 WIN
  • Memphis (4) - 47.5 WIN
  • Temple (4) - 58 WIN
  • Washington (4) - 53 Loss
  • Georgia Tech (4) - 56 Loss
  • Ohio (4) / Akron (4) - 57 WIN
  • Miami OH (5) -47 WIN
  • Wake Forest (5) - 47 WIN
  • North Carolina (5) -45.5 WIN
  • Washington State (5) - 66.5 WIN

Sunday

  • Hawaii (5) - 55.5

 

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Captain
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Posted: #286

After Sunday:

The 45 teams left are:

Georgia State (going to game 3)

Michigan State (going to game 5)

Washington (going to game 5)

Georgia tech (going to game 5)

Hawaii (going to game 6)

Saturday

  • Georgia State (2) - 55 Loss
  • Kansas (3) - 55.5 WIN
  • Michigan State (4) - 38.5 Loss
  • Auburn (4) - 56.5 WIN
  • Massachusets (4) - 51.5 WIN
  • Marshall (4) - 65.5 WIN
  • Memphis (4) - 47.5 WIN
  • Temple (4) - 58 WIN
  • Washington (4) - 53 Loss
  • Georgia Tech (4) - 56 Loss
  • Ohio (4) / Akron (4) - 57 WIN
  • Miami OH (5) -47 WIN
  • Wake Forest (5) - 47 WIN
  • North Carolina (5) -45.5 WIN
  • Washington State (5) - 66.5 WIN

Sunday

  • Hawaii (5) - 55.5 Loss
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Veteran
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Posted: #287
Has any body here continued this chase to this stage?
At a rough guess you would be laying down over 170 units for this week? Plus at least 80 you have out.
You would have made 115 units, plus the 150 unit that was advised to start with, seems as though you would be covered this week.
I was wondering if there have been any weeks where any of you have not been covered and not had the funds to continue to play?
Also with a chase system like this, is it possible that your sports book could cut you off from betting College Football. 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #288
I start my chase after gm3, that way I only have a 3 game chase. 

The amount of bets are lower, but you can increase the bet amount, makes it a bit easier to manage.
 
Captain
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Posted: #289

Post 286 should have said 5 teams left not 45.

With 120 teams already winning, that is 120 units or more (see below).

With the 5 teams remaining you'd be down roughly 112 units on those 5 teams for an overall profit right now.  

I'm up a little more than the standard 8 units because of how I set my bet progression.

  • Game 1 - 11 to win 10
  • Game 2 - 27.50 to win 25
  • Game 3 - 55 to win 50
  • Game 4 - 115.5 to win 105
  • Game 5 - 242 to win 220

Given the above numbers I gained 1 unit on every game 1 winner. 1.4 units on every game 2 winner, 1.15 units on game 3 winners, 1.15 on game 4 winners and 1.1 units on game 5 winners.

56 game 1 winners - 56 units

26 game 2 winners - 36.4 units

20 game 3 winners - 23 units

13 game 4 winners - 14.95 units

5 game 5 winners - 5.5 units

Total for 120 winners - 135.85 units

Losses for the 5 remaining teams totaled - 111.65 units

So my personal profit is 24.2 units. A lot lower than I wanted at this point but it's still profit. I'm done betting this as I'll walk with profit just like I did last year without seeing it all the way through.

I will continue to post for the system record sake and anyone else still betting.

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Prospect
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Posted: #290

I am with you Dan.  I am up about 18 units based on the way I have done my betting, enough for me to call it a day and walk away.  

One thing I might do is bet the Game 6 under combined with some bigger ML bets in a parlay.   I will probably only bet 2-3 units on this type of bet though. 

 
Captain
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Posted: #291
Quote Originally Posted by breezeyo:

I am with you Dan.  I am up about 18 units based on the way I have done my betting, enough for me to call it a day and walk away.  

One thing I might do is bet the Game 6 under combined with some bigger ML bets in a parlay.   I will probably only bet 2-3 units on this type of bet though. 


I played week 1 and stopped until this past weekend, taking a page out of one of the other posters book.  Worked out well.  I will be playing this weekend as well.... thanks for posting Dan 
 
Captain
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Posted: #292

I'm glad to see that you guys are at least profitable on this. It didn't start well and this last week saved us. I can't argue with anyone waiting until week 3 or so. Next year I'll probably lay off week 1 since it seems like that is never a winning week.

If I have time I'll take a look and see if we could maybe add some filters to this to make it better for next year.

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Veteran
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Posted: #293
Thanks for the info Dan!

I am going to jump in on these last 5 teams remaining. should be a fun little chase!
 
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Posted: #294

Having to go under against Oregon this week has me concerned.

Thanks Dan

 
Captain
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Posted: #295
Quote Originally Posted by puppetm716:

Having to go under against Oregon this week has me concerned.

Thanks Dan

Agreed. They might cover the over by themselves. Betting the team over for Oregon has been money in the bank this year.

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Captain
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Posted: #296

For Saturday 10/12, 5 teams left

Georgia State (game 3) 62 OVER

Michigan State (game 5) 53.5 UNDER

Washington (game 5) 76.5 UNDER

Georgia Tech (game 5) 53.5 UNDER

Hawaii (game 6) 56 UNDER

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Captain
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Posted: #297

Saturday results: Went 2-3 with Hawaii being a 6 game system loss. Down to 2 teams, both on game 6 - Michigan State and Georgia Tech.

Georgia State (game 3) 62 OVER WIN

Michigan State (game 5) 53.5 UNDER LOSS (Goes to game 6)

Washington (game 5) 76.5 UNDER WIN

Georgia Tech (game 5) 53.5 UNDER LOSS (goes to game 6)

Hawaii (game 6) 56 UNDER LOSS (Done. System loss)

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Captain
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Posted: #298

Not sure what this system has the last couple years but this year it went 130-0.

74 wins on game 1

23 wins on game 2

18 wins on game 3

11 wins on game 4

4 wins on game 5

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Veteran
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Posted: #299

Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

Saturday results: Went 2-3 with Hawaii being a 6 game system loss. Down to 2 teams, both on game 6 - Michigan State and Georgia Tech. Georgia State (game 3) 62 OVER WIN Michigan State (game 5) 53.5 UNDER LOSS (Goes to game 6) Washington (game 5) 76.5 UNDER WIN Georgia Tech (game 5) 53.5 UNDER LOSS (goes to game 6) Hawaii (game 6) 56 UNDER LOSS (Done. System loss)

I quickly read through this but wouldn't all 5 games posted be wins?  If the progression is OOOUUU then Geo St was on game 3 OV Win (as stated) and the rest were on game 5 which should be all unders, but you have LOSS on Mich St, Geo Tech and Hawaii.  I didn't read all the way through, mostly where you picked it up in the fall of 2013, so maybe I missed it.

I could back test this easily and also make a spreadsheet for in the future.  I gotta save this link.

 

 
 
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Posted: #300

Danrules is my hero :)

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