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NFL 09' strategic wagering...

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Posted: #76
SN, once again I join you for a successful venture.  I see all the usual suspects are here. BOL to you and all that follow....BW, DH, BLKEN,........God Bless.

MME
 
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Posted: #77
NFL 09' strategic wagering / Matchup_Performance formula...
 


I hate to ask a stupid question, but I would really like to learn--what does Matchup_Performance formula mean?  Is it a mathematical equation?  If it is, could you explain it so that I can run it myself?  I don't have any idea where to begin.  Thanks a bunch.


 
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Posted: #78
Quote Originally Posted by Jeff_Kent:

NFL 09' strategic wagering / Matchup_Performance formula...
 


I hate to ask a stupid question, but I would really like to learn--what does Matchup_Performance formula mean?  Is it a mathematical equation?  If it is, could you explain it so that I can run it myself?  I don't have any idea where to begin.  Thanks a bunch.


That is by know means a stupid question, when a person does not know, they simply ask..

Matchup_Performance formula is the use of game film as a tool to handicapp the NFL, it's base is OC/DC attached to play development film(coaches prep film) game film ect...

best regards

SN

 
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Posted: #79
Quote Originally Posted by MeMyselfandEye:

SN, once again I join you for a successful venture.  I see all the usual suspects are here. BOL to you and all that follow....BW, DH, BLKEN,........God Bless.

MME

CONTRIBUTORS of 'value' insight concept-advanced knowledge; 'true' handicappers......best regards to each

 

SN

 
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Posted: #80
NFL 09' strategic wagering / Matchup_Performance formula...
 
Week Two
Sunday, September 20th, 2009
 
Pittsburg Steelers -140 ML / 7units
 
Miami Dolphins +3.5 / 5.5units
 
Baltimore Ravens +3.5 / 11units
 
 
SN
 
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Posted: #81

 

NFL 09' strategic wagering / Matchup_Performance formula...

 
Week Two
Sunday,September 20th, 2009
 
4 team 13pt
risk: 4units
to win: 3.08units
 
Minnesota Vikings +3.5
New Orleans Saints +12
Baltimore Ravens +16
Miami Dolphins +16
 
SN
 
 
 
MoneyLine
Dogs
PointSpread
will be released on Saturday, 09/19/09 @ 9:00am EST
 
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Posted: #82
Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

 

NFL 09' strategic wagering / Matchup_Performance formula...

 
Week Two
Sunday,September 20th, 2009
 
4 team 13pt
risk: 4units
to win: 3.08units
 
Minnesota Vikings +3.5
New Orleans Saints +12
Baltimore Ravens +16
Miami Dolphins +16
 
SN
 
 
 
MoneyLine
Dogs
PointSpread
will be released on Saturday, 09/19/09 @ 9:00am EST
Thanks sports network, but I have a question, your last post doen't have Pittsburgh as a pic, but you earlier post does.  Is Pittsburgh one of your picks? Thanks for all the picks and hard work
 
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Posted: #83

Quote Originally Posted by henryk:

Thanks sports network, but I have a question, your last post doen't have Pittsburgh as a pic, but you earlier post does.  Is Pittsburgh one of your picks? Thanks for all the picks and hard work

Yes, the Pittsburgh Steelers-140 are a key ML release.

 
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Posted: #84
 Thanks Bro !! Let's do this !!
 
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Posted: #85
what sports books offer the 13pt teaser.  Im looking on BetED and the best i can get is 10pt
 
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Posted: #86
Great works SN!  I learned a great deal from you in the MLB section.    Hope you have a great  season!
 
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Posted: #87
Love the BAL play.

A lot of dogs could do well today.   Unfortunately, the betting public thinks so as well.  And last week the public was on the favorites...  Pretty sharp.

Just for today, I may sit out the early games to see how the dogs perform in general. If they do well, I'll hammer the late dogs.  

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Posted: #88
JMon, thx
 
SN
 
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Posted: #89
Quote Originally Posted by DarkHorse21:

Love the BAL play.

A lot of dogs could do well today.   Unfortunately, the betting public thinks so as well.  And last week the public was on the favorites...  Pretty sharp.

Just for today, I may sit out the early games to see how the dogs perform in general. If they do well, I'll hammer the late dogs.  

-------------------------------------
 
----------------------------

favorites cannot be overlooked going into the first four games, after that, the most successful wagering is on dog play, the true wager of the NFL..This week's dog action..Dolphins+3.5  Ravens+3.5 let's take a look.. Sitting out the early games for assessment value on dog play is a good concept in preperation to 'pound' BAL as your priority dog wager..good insight DH21!

have a prosperous Sunday

SN

 
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Posted: #90
upside sounds good
 
SN
 
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Posted: #91

NFL 09' strategic wagering / Matchup_Performance formula...

 
Week Two
Sunday,September 20th, 2009
 
4 team 13pt
risk: 4units
to win: 3.08units
 
Minnesota Vikings +3.5
New Orleans Saints +12
Baltimore Ravens +16
Miami Dolphins +16
 
SN
 
 
 
MoneyLine
Dogs
PointSpread
will be released on Saturday, 09/19/09 @ 9:00am EST
 
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Posted: #92
NFL 09' strategic wagering / Matchup_Performance formula...
 
Week Two
Sunday, September 20th, 2009
 
Pittsburg Steelers -140 ML / 7units
 
Miami Dolphins +3.5 / 5.5units
 
Baltimore Ravens +3.5 / 11units
 
 
SN
 
                 FINAL
 
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Posted: #93
that bal;t/ line is down to a pick now .....wow
 
i guess i shoulda took that pick earlier in the week altho i do like balt to win but the 3.5 is great there
 
any thots on this sn ??  and btw u are doing a great job as usual and love reading your work
 
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Posted: #94
phew what a game that balt was and i needed that one
 
 
ty sn
 
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Posted: #95
Quote Originally Posted by BillWag27:

Week #2 NFL:

Leans:

1:00pm
Cincinnati      +10 
Oakland            +3
NY Jets             +3
Carolina            +7 lost by 1 point!! 

4:05pm
San Francisco -1 

4:15pm
Baltimore          +3 

Live Doggies!!!  



I am on Dallas -3 and Miami + 3 tomorrow with you SN....

GL on that teaser....I like Pittsburgh, too, but Mike Tomlin is the worst coach in the NFL, behind Lovie Smith!!!  I stayed away from that game.....
 
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Posted: #96

Quote Originally Posted by BillWag27:



I am on Dallas -3 and Miami + 3 tomorrow with you SN....

GL on that teaser....I like Pittsburgh, too, but Mike Tomlin is the worst coach in the NFL, behind Lovie Smith!!!  I stayed away from that game.....

GREAT WORK ON YOUR DOGS!!! (5-1) congratulations on your bankroll increase...yes, the Dolphins+3 looks 'probable'

good material BW27

 

SN

 
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Posted: #97
Quote Originally Posted by angelobruno:

phew what a game that balt was and i needed that one
 
 
ty sn

You deserved the win, good play AB

SN

 
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Posted: #98
Dogs I'm interested in next week......

If you have any questions why, I will be more than happy to explain....Just ask!!    We are all here to help one another.

Week #3 Leans:

Tennessee        + 3
Jacksonville     + 4
Cleveland         + 14
Tampa Bay       + 7
San Francisco + 6
Buffalo              + 4
Carolina            + 8

Lines are not up for the Monday night teams and Chic vs Seat, so I may add or subtract as the week continues.

** I lines move in my favor, it will be a play......
** If they move against me, but not over a key number, then it also will be a play.....

** If the line moves against me and crosses over a key number, then it is a no play!!!
 
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Posted: #99
[Quote: Originally Posted by sports_Network]

NFL 09' strategic wagering / Matchup_Performance formula...

 
Week Two
Sunday,September 20th, 2009
 
4 team 13pt
risk: 4units
to win: 3.08units
 
Minnesota Vikings +3.5...win
New Orleans Saints +12...win
Baltimore Ravens +16...win
Miami Dolphins +16...(pending MNF)
 
SN
 
                                          RESULTS (incomplete/pending)
 
 
 
 
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Posted: #100
[Quote: Originally Posted by sports_Network] NFL 09' strategic wagering / Matchup_Performance formula...
 
Week Two
Sunday, September 20th, 2009
 
Pittsburg Steelers -140 ML / 7units...lost
 
Miami Dolphins +3.5 / 5.5units...(pending MNF)
 
Baltimore Ravens +3.5 / 11units...win
 
 
SN
 
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