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NHL B2B Fade

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Posted: #1

What the hardest thing to do in hockey?  Win a game on the road while playing on consecutive nights.  While collecting data on the RPI system I don't play teams that play on B2B nights because they are losing, like CHI last night, even great teams as well lose to bad teams, like PIT lost to EDM and PHI losing to WIN.  So lets run some labby lines and make money off these.  There are 2 situations being a team plays at home and then travels for a game the next night and a team has 2 road games on B2B nights.  As there are multiple plays some nights, we can set up a line or 2 for each situation.

Home-Road-Fade

20-20

Road-Road-Fade

20-20

Do it however you run your lines and if there is only 1 play on a night might as well play it on both lines.

 
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Posted: #2

Todays plays

Home-Road-Fade

STL (so play on MIN)

Road-Road-Fade

WAS (so play on NYI)

MON (so play on NYR)

So with 2 plays at the same time either start 2 lines or just place the same bet for both and fill in your line after the results.

There is not a play on BUF as OTT also played last night as well.

 
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Posted: #3

Home-Road-Fade

STL (so play on MIN)

Road-Road-Fade

WAS (so play on NYI)

MON (so play on NYR)

3-0 Hat Trick Baby!!!!

 
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Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by RealityCheck1:

Home-Road-Fade

STL (so play on MIN)

Road-Road-Fade

WAS (so play on NYI)

MON (so play on NYR)

3-0 Hat Trick Baby!!!!



I like it!

Did you happen to back-track this to see if it's been good so far?
 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by RealityCheck1:

Todays plays

Home-Road-Fade

STL (so play on MIN)

Road-Road-Fade

WAS (so play on NYI)

MON (so play on NYR)

So with 2 plays at the same time either start 2 lines or just place the same bet for both and fill in your line after the results.

There is not a play on BUF as OTT also played last night as well.



OTTAWA DID NOT TRAVEL THOUGH (back to back games at home is a filter for not to fade the visting team? if yes, it also worked last night with BUF
 
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Posted: #6
No you fade the road team which was BUF so the play would of been on OTT but BUF won.  Both teams played the night before so there was no play as both teams would be tired, you could say OTT would be less tired because they were at home but tired is tired.  It's best to not bet on this situation as it's basically a coin flip.  You want an advantage of tired road legs vs home fresh legs.  How else would the NYI beat hot WAS?  By having WAS on a B2B night.
 
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Posted: #7
No Plays Today as both WIN and NYR played last night and face each other today.
 
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Posted: #8
I ran the numbers on this for the last 2 seasons.

Betting ON teams that are playing b2b went:

2009-2010: 218 - 234 +12.85 units

2010-2011: 225 - 251 +4.51 units

In 09-10 the majority or the profits came from home favorites, and in 10-11 the majority of the profits came from road underdogs.

I was unable to account for when both teams were b2b, as that would have turned a few hours of work into a few weeks of work.
 
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Posted: #9
My numbers from the last post are for both the home and road teams.

Just betting ON the road teams:

2009-2010: 75 - 102 -0.88 units

2010-2011: 86 - 95 +20.01 units
 
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Posted: #10
I'm not betting on the road team, I'm betting AGAINST THE ROAD TEAM!!!
 
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Posted: #11
I'm not betting on teams that are playing B2B, I'm betting AGAINST THEM!!!
 
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Posted: #12
If they're making a PROFIT when betting ON them, then you would be TAKING A LOSS betting AGAINST them.
 
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Posted: #13

You make no sense so if they went 75-102 betting on the road team then they went 102-75 betting against them.  Thats almost .576% with labby that means

They are hitting over 70% so far this year, nothing else is hitting that high, plus using labby equals

Thanks for messing up my thread!!!

 
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Posted: #14

"I was unable to account for when both teams were b2b, as that would have turned a few hours of work into a few weeks of work."

 

Also your numbers don't mean squat since I don't bet when both teams are B2B...

 
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Posted: #15
I checked all teams playing B2B this season. Didn't matter if it were at home or on the road. Their records are 13-28. (With the team they're playing having at least 1 night off)
 
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Posted: #16
Does anyone have the record for the last 2 seasons?
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by Pick-Six:

I checked all teams playing B2B this season. Didn't matter if it were at home or on the road. Their records are 13-28. (With the team they're playing having at least 1 night off)

nice! away teams win very often in NHL (47% this year) and have better odds.
 
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Posted: #18

Quote Originally Posted by 1958a:


nice! away teams win very often in NHL (47% this year) and have better odds.

This thread is about fading the road team on B2B nights.  Start your own thread if you want to bet on the away team.

No plays today.

Record

3-0

 
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Posted: #19
RC

Like this system.  Other than checking the schedule each day for each team, is there any site that has a list the teams that are playing B2B?
 
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Posted: #20
You can check out leftwinglockDOTcom

Starting Goalies section will indicate if they are playing Back to Back games.
 
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Posted: #21

Road-Road Fade

NAS (So play on ANA)

 
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Posted: #22
This would of been money if Renne played the first game instead of the second, should this be taken into consideration RC1?

These are still hitting at 75% for the season, so still in awesome shape.

Three plays tomorrow:
Blackhawks: Road/Home - Record 2-1 on B2B
Oilers: Road/Road - Record 1-1 on B2B
Canucks: Road/Road  - Record 0-3 on B2B


 
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Posted: #23
15-28 on the season.
 
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Posted: #24

I don't play teams at home, only on the road so Chicago is not a play.

So Fridays plays would be EDM and VAN.  But as learned from last night when teams are playing the Ducks and Kings they will be a no play as the arenas are only 30 miles apart.  We want plays like EDM where they play in BOS then have to plane it to DET for the next night.  They need the inconvenience of the airport. 

So Fridays play would, be EDM

 
 
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Posted: #25

Quote Originally Posted by Pick-Six:

15-28 on the season.

WRONG!!!  You fade the road team, if anything 28-15 on the season.

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