Posted:
#1
Bringing this back!
Basics are this:
- We chase up to 3 games for a team to win (or lose). Once a team wins a game (or loses all 3 games), the chase ends.
- Chase begins with game 1 of a home stand or road trip.
- Factors will be how the team (and their opponents), are performing in their last 10 games, as well as how they are performing at home/away (and injuries, of course).
- For heavy favorites, I will use -1 on game 1. If the favorite wins by 1 goal, it's a push and the chase ends.
- Game 3s are nerve-racking. In the past I have played just to win half of my game 1 & 2 losses back on game 3 and roll the rest of the losses into the next chase(s).
System started out 2-0 on Tuesday (NAS home play & CAR road fade), with two game 1 winners, but since it wasn't posted, I won't count it (I pushed on these anyway since I bet them -1 and they both won by one goal).
Tonight's plays:
DETROIT -118 road PLAY (game 1) - The Red Wings are 8-2 in their last 10 and 12-11 on the road. They play at Colorado (13-12 at home, 5-5 in L10), at Arizona (9-15 at home, 3-7 in L10), and at Pittsburgh (17-11 at home, 4-6 in L10). I am betting Detroit will win one of these.
ST. LOUIS -182 on the BUFFALO FADE (game 1) - The Sabres are 1-9 in their last 10 and 10-15 at home. They face 3 good road teams coming up. 1st up is St. Louis who is 13-11 on the road and 9-1 in their last 10. Following the Blues the Dallas Stars come to town. The Stars are 12-11 on the road and 5-5 in their last 10. Finally game 3 is NY Islanders. The Islanders are 15-12 on the road and 6-4 in their last 10. I'm betting that Buffalo will LOSE one of these 3 games. This one could get very juicy, so I'm playing -1 tonight. If the Blues win by 1, it will be a push and the chase will end. Tread lightly on this one, don't dig a big hole.
Still considering:
- Florida home play/fade (vs LA, NAS, ANA)
- NY Islanders road fade (at Phi, at Bos, at Buf)
Feedback is extremely welcomed on these. Just hoping to make us all some money! Baseball chasing has been good to me and I'm glad to finally get back into NHL chasing!
2011 32-0 results:
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=79&sub=100982960&page=2
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