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NHL Road chase

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Posted: #151
Well...just went to make the bet and they are now complete fav and -1.5 as well, so just going to the ML -120 on Van. It'll be interesting to see if that extra goal would have come into play or not tonight.
 
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Posted: #152
Skipping tonight's Dallas B game as LA is the #2 RPI team?  Bet B against the Ducks tomorrow night for Dallas?  Or is it to early in the season to refer to LA as a top 3 RPI team?
 
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Posted: #153

Quote Originally Posted by spatt02:

Skipping tonight's Dallas B game as LA is the #2 RPI team?  Bet B against the Ducks tomorrow night for Dallas?  Or is it to early in the season to refer to LA as a top 3 RPI team?

 

where are you looking for the top rpi team? according to espn dallas is not in the top 3 for rpi.

 
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Posted: #154
I read it wrong. I'm assuming that espn is being used.  then la is in the top 3 rpi.
 
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Posted: #155
I guess I need to be  a bit more careful. If I checked the RPI before betting I'd have saved an expensive loss. Hopefully Dallas makes it up tonight in Anaheim.

BTW - what is it with the city of Dallas?
The Cowboys brought me to a C game and now the Stars bring me to a C game...uncomfortable
 
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Posted: #156
Unreal. An Empty Netter with :14 to go seals my THIRD C bet loss in two days on two different systems!!!!!!!

The AJM chase cost me two C bets and this one on Dallas cost me another. Oh yeah, and Nov. 4 lost a C bet on NYI in this system as well. That's FOUR C bet losses ALREADY.

What am I doing?

Florida and St. Louis are A bets. Ottawa would be but they are playing #3 RPI.

Good Luck
 
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Posted: #157
Quote Originally Posted by LSU2thBone:

The AJM chase cost me two C bets and this one on Dallas cost me another. Oh yeah, and Nov. 4 lost a C bet on NYI in this system as well. That's FOUR C bet losses ALREADY.

What am I doing?

Florida and St. Louis are A bets. Ottawa would be but they are playing #3 RPI.

Good Luck


I'm becoming increasingly skeptical. BUT. The Dallas should have been a B bet, and a loss regardless, because game 2 was against RPI#2, LA. And the NYI loss probably shouldn't have been bet because they are a bottom 3 in RPI, or had been bottom 3, now they are the 4th worst. ...does that make things much better? I don't think so.  But I'm going to keep plugging along and see what happens here.

So the JM Road Chase actually has 1 loss, and it's a game B loss from the latest Dallas series.

I'm using ESPN RPI, and Boston is not a top 3 RPI, so I've got the Ottawa bet. But screwed the pooch on the Florida bet because I thought they were bottom 3....or they had been at one point. Following too many systems is becoming a problem. I'm dropping outa following the JM NFL chase system.
 
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Posted: #158
correction....Florida was at Philadelphia, the #3 RPI team, that was a no bet game...Florida's A bet is Wed the 17th against Atlanta...
 
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Posted: #159
We've hit a spattering of bad luck. I mean look at the last 8 bets.

13-Nov    FLA    A    L
13-Nov    OTT    A    P
13-Nov    STL    A    L
12-Nov    DAL    C    L
11-Nov    VAN    B    W
11-Nov    DAL    B    L
10-Nov    NYI    A    P
9-Nov    VAN    A    L
7-Nov    EDM    A    P


Can 't get more unlucky than that. Most were empty net losses.

Yea, my line looks like total fuck and a ridiculous amount of my BR is committed at this point, but the luck is speaking to me (not in a degenerate way...its just ridiculous)
 
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Posted: #160

one play today

anahiem  11/14/09

 
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Posted: #161
Thanks JV
 
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Posted: #162
So do we play NJ tomorrow? Bottom 3 rpi. I don't know hockey so, is NJ underacheiving or just suck? Whats our take? Let's hear some comments.
 
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Posted: #163
You guys are hopeless without SMDIO leading you.


 
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Posted: #164

11/15   new jersey   A   bet    bottem 3 rpi

I'm still going to play them..   they won almost half on the road

 
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Posted: #165
STL (B) today too.

Not going to play NJD (A)
 
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Posted: #166
You shouldn't be playing a bottom 3 RPI team.  The back-testing I did showed over 12 losses per year on both bottom 3 RPI teams on the road AND teams playing against top 3 RPI teams

Careful 
 
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Posted: #167
Going back I know I shouldn't have played the Dallas "B" bet which lost and then made my next bet a "C" bet which lost as well. To clarify the NYI loss...NYI was NOT bottom 3 RPI going into the series so it is a legit loss.

tonight:

B on St. Louis 

they've cooled off mightily of late. I've got them at +1.5 -300. This is one of those I need this win games for me...

I am so sick of EN Goals at this point.
 
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Posted: #168
Quote Originally Posted by smdio:

You shouldn't be playing a bottom 3 RPI team.  The back-testing I did showed over 12 losses per year on both bottom 3 RPI teams on the road AND teams playing against top 3 RPI teams

Careful 

 

ty smido  I will skip the bottem 3 rpi and top also from now on.

 
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Posted: #169
I think the loot to be made on this system is going AGAINST it...take the home team -1.5 plus BIG JUICE instead of laying big juice. 

I have not backtested, but the way this has been going I believe it would be up a lot more than I'm down!
 
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Posted: #170
Never mind that post above...I looked at 3 teams and it would be a big loser this year.
I'm just pouting as an unbelievable string of poor results has hit me recently following these systems. The high juice on this system f-ed me with virtually no A wins recently. Many series going to C games with this juice playing the Labb I am is continuing to sack me for a loss. I think I'm done with this one...
 
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Posted: #171

heres all the A bets for today  sept 17

tb  chi  pho 

clb is playing la and is a pass  la is top 3 rpi

stl is plaing det there both in the top 3 rpi so I don't know if this is a pass 

fla b bet

 

 

 
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Posted: #172
Pheonix is also an A bet.

St Louis is at Detroit, which is a no bet and another series lost. That's 2 losses this week, Dallas being the other loss earlier in the week. Granted, those are 2 B bet losses, but losses nonetheless.

Maybe I'm extrapolating these losses out incorrectly, but there's gotta be PLENTLY of series that only get to a B bet because of a top 3 RPI team thrown in, that end up at B bet losses. That's a guess. That's still big juice on teams like Dallas and especially St Louis.

I'm going to pull my hat on this system. I labby and I don't see how this isn't a loser all the way. Martingale's had to get murdered so far with this system.
 
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Posted: #173
Quote Originally Posted by LSU2thBone:

Never mind that post above...I looked at 3 teams and it would be a big loser this year.
I'm just pouting as an unbelievable string of poor results has hit me recently following these systems. The high juice on this system f-ed me with virtually no A wins recently. Many series going to C games with this juice playing the Labb I am is continuing to sack me for a loss. I think I'm done with this one...

One thing is for certain:

If you don't have a high enough bankroll, you cannot follow any of these chase systems

I started with $10,000 total, and split it up 3 ways on 3 different systems, starting with a 25-25-25-25 Labby line on each
 
 
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Posted: #174
Quote Originally Posted by smdio:


One thing is for certain:

If you don't have a high enough bankroll, you cannot follow any of these chase systems

I started with $10,000 total, and split it up 3 ways on 3 different systems, starting with a 25-25-25-25 Labby line on each


How's that going/How'd that go?
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