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NHL Road chase

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Posted: #51

DR-D you're absolutely right, somehow I must have counted the Atlanta win as an (A) win, but it was really a (C)

I'm going to post the units +/- every week or so.  After this week of wagering, I'll give the breakdown of what we're up/down.  By the looks up it, we're just above even.  Our Labby line hasn't allowed us to recover our losses from the Anaheim series (or Atlanta series for me), because there haven't been very many (B) bets yet.  But we'll get there.

New Labby line looks like this:

25-25-25-25 (reset)

25-25-25-43-55-70

25-25-25-25-79-70

We cleared our 2nd (A) line last night.  Once the current (A) line clears, we'll up the units from 25 to 30

The (A) bet tonight will be on Calgary (-220 PL), $110 to win $50

 
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Posted: #52

Another (A) win with Calgary last night

That's now 6 straight (A) bets won

New Labby line:

x-25-25-x

25-25-25-43-55-70

25-25-25-25-79-70

 

We'll have an (A) bet on the Anaheim Ducks for Wednesday night.  I'll post the PL tomorrow morning

If we win the (A) bet tomorrow night, we'll clear our third (A) line, and up the units to 30's

 
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Posted: #53

Personally I'm going to skip the Ducks game tonight.  They are 0-3 on the road so far this year, and have games coming up against Columbus, Philly, and Detroit.  I just don't like the Ducks to come through for us

If you are following, it would be an (A) bet on the first Labby line.  25+25

3 more (A) plays coming for tomorrow as well

 
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Posted: #54
smdio -

I went through the early posts and noticed it makes sense and $ to eliminate plays on the 3 worst RPI teams and also against the 3 best RPI teams. So, don't play on one of the 3 worst RPI teams, makes sense.
But...let's say you start a series A bet, then your B bet is against a top 3 RPI team...do you abandon the series altogether? Or just not play the B bet and wait for the C bet?
Or...do you look ahead to see if there are ANY top 3 RPI teams in the series? I would think this would eliminate a LOT of series bets.
Also...where do you go to find current RPI's?

Thanks in advance and for all the tedious work you and the fella from last year put in!
 
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Posted: #55
Never mind the RPI question...googled it and found it on ESPN. The rest of the questions are still relevant.

The Ducks series that starts tonight does not have any of the top 3 RPI teams in it and they (Ducks) are fairly far from the bottom 3 RPI teams right now.

Seems like a go based on the system rules...
 
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Posted: #56
Quote Originally Posted by LSU2thBone:

smdio -

I went through the early posts and noticed it makes sense and $ to eliminate plays on the 3 worst RPI teams and also against the 3 best RPI teams. So, don't play on one of the 3 worst RPI teams, makes sense.
But...let's say you start a series A bet, then your B bet is against a top 3 RPI team...do you abandon the series altogether? Or just not play the B bet and wait for the C bet?
Or...do you look ahead to see if there are ANY top 3 RPI teams in the series? I would think this would eliminate a LOT of series bets.
Also...where do you go to find current RPI's?

Thanks in advance and for all the tedious work you and the fella from last year put in!

The guidelines say to skip -only- the game against the top 3 RPI team, not the entire series.  If you end up making 2 system plays on the series instead of 3, so be it.  But do not place a wager against a top 3 RPI team, regardless if it's the 1st, 2nd, or 3rd game in the road trip.

 
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Posted: #57
Quote Originally Posted by LSU2thBone:

Never mind the RPI question...googled it and found it on ESPN. The rest of the questions are still relevant.

The Ducks series that starts tonight does not have any of the top 3 RPI teams in it and they (Ducks) are fairly far from the bottom 3 RPI teams right now.

Seems like a go based on the system rules...

The Ducks aren't anywhere near the bottom 3 RPI, but they're 0-3 on the road.

That makes me want to avoid them. 

 
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Posted: #58

The Ducks would have been an (A) loss last night, due to a 3rd period goal with under 20 second left

I wouldn't advise placing a (B) wager on the Ducks.  They are simply a very poor road team.

Our current Labby line is:

 

x-25-25-x

25-25-25-43-55-70

25-25-25-25-79-70

 

There are 3 (A) bets tonight:

Pittsburgh +1.5 (-320)  $160 to win $50

San Jose (-120) $60 to win $50

L.A. Kings +1.5 (-290)  $145 to win $50

 

 
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Posted: #59
Quote Originally Posted by smdio:

Our current Labby line is:

 

x-25-25-x

25-25-25-43-55-70

25-25-25-25-79-70

 

There are 3 (A) bets tonight:

Pittsburgh +1.5 (-320)  $160 to win $50

San Jose (-120) $60 to win $50

L.A. Kings +1.5 (-290)  $145 to win $50

 

2 more (A) winners and finally an (A) loss (thanks to another empty netter with 30 seconds left).  If you had taken the Ducks on a (B) bet, you would have cashed there as well.  I didn't, so I'll leave them off the updated Labby line below:

30-30-30-30-73

25-25-25-43-55-70-73

25-25-25-25-79-70

We cleared our 3rd (A) line with the 2 winners last night, so according to my personal guidelines, it's time to increase the units by 5 each.

We also added 1/2 of our (A) losses from last night to the end of the (A) and (B) line respectively (73 at the end of each)

No bets for tonight 10/22, but we'll have another (A) bet and the (B) bet on the L.A. Kings tomorrow night, 10/23

I'll give the update once the lines are released

 
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Posted: #60
How bout them Ducks!? 

I respect smdio for not playing them. It shows good restraint. However I must point out that one of the main reasons I like a good system is because it simply takes the emotion out of the bet. Based on history it looks as though this system should only lose a couple times a season while winning 130+. I will take that all day long. And even if a series is lost it should be won back eventually with the Labby method. Just my thought of the day.

I will trust any system that has been backtested and prove results that this system does. Again...thanks to those who have put the time in to bringing this system to light 
 
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Posted: #61

That's very true, but the guidelines for the systems clearly say to avoid "very bad" road teams, as well as "very good" home teams.

Even 5 minutes before the game, I always pulled the trigger on the Ducks.  But just had to remember that they were 0-4 on the road. 

Beh, I didn't win a unit.  No big deal.  You're 100% right about the Labby though, it would have won my money back anyway. 

 

 
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Posted: #62
Quote Originally Posted by smdio:

That's very true, but the guidelines for the systems clearly say to avoid "very bad" road teams, as well as "very good" home teams.

Even 5 minutes before the game, I always pulled the trigger on the Ducks.  But just had to remember that they were 0-4 on the road. 

Beh, I didn't win a unit.  No big deal.  You're 100% right about the Labby though, it would have won my money back anyway. 

 

This above is ridiculous posting on my behalf without reading it over first.  It should have read:

That's very true, but the guidelines for the system clearly say to avoid "very bad" road teams, as well as "very good" home teams.

Even 5 minutes before the game, I almost pulled the trigger on the Ducks.  But just had to remember that they were 0-4 on the road. 

Beh, I didn't win a unit.  No big deal.  You're 100% right about the Labby though, it would have won my money back anyway. 

 
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Posted: #63
Sooo...we got LA on the B-side and Buf on an A bet then?
 
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Posted: #64
Quote Originally Posted by LSU2thBone:

Sooo...we got LA on the B-side and Buf on an A bet then?


Yup.

 
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Posted: #65

Correct.  Current Labby line:

30-30-30-30-73

25-25-25-43-55-70-73

25-25-25-25-79-70

We'll have an (A) bet on Buffalo (-240, +1.5 PL) $247.20 to win $103 (73+30)

And a (B) bet on L.A. (-270, +1.5 PL) $264.60 to win $98 (73+25)

Good luck

 
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Posted: #66
Quote Originally Posted by smdio:

Correct.  Current Labby line:

30-30-30-30-73

25-25-25-43-55-70-73

25-25-25-25-79-70

We'll have an (A) bet on Buffalo (-240, +1.5 PL) $247.20 to win $103 (73+30) 

And a (B) bet on L.A. (-270, +1.5 PL) $264.60 to win $98 (73+25)

Good luck

Feels good to recover some of those previous losses with the two winners on Saturday

New Labby line:

x-30-30-30

25-25-43-55-70

25-25-25-25-79-70

 

We'll have an (A) bet on the N.J. Devils tomorrow (Sunday 10/24)

I'll post again in the morning once the line is set

 
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Posted: #67

(A) Bet on N.J. +1.5 PL (-320) $198 to win $60 (30+30)

GL

 
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Posted: #68
Quote Originally Posted by smdio:

Any chasing 3-game road trips?  I guess it's the JM system, so to speak.

Anaheim lost last night.  I started a Labby with:

A:  25-25-25-25

B:  25-25-25-25

C:  25-25-25-25

After the Anaheim loss, we're now at:

A: 25-25-25-25-43

B: 25-25-25-25-43

C: 25-25-25-25

Atlanta are an "A" play tonight @ Tampa Bay, while Anaheim are a "B" play @ Nashville.  Both $156 to win 68.  Heavy juice since they're +1.5 puck line plays

Just wondering if anyone else has been following the same system..



Another 2 losses last nighgt with Anaheim (B) and Atlanta (A).  New line looks like this:

25-25-25-25-43-79

25-25-25-25-43-79

25-25-25-25-79

2 "A" bets coming tonight, Boston (-120) and Florida +1.5 (-220)

The "B" and "C" bets for Anaheim and Atlanta come tomorrow

Starting to get nervous!

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
You have me lost from the get go.
If both were $156>68 and they both lost that's $312 in losses to distribute.
79*3=237. The balance of 75 I infer is the first number of 25 but that means you are just trying to recover and not profit.?

If A losses then distribute loss to Line A and B?
If B losses then distribute loss to line A, B, and C?
If an A and a B losses then distribute loss to line A, B, and C?

I will continue reading looking for the
I may be the dumbest labby line guy in the world.

 
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Posted: #69

smitler

I had a "fuck of a day" betting on Football. I'm a bit too tired to look back and check for a mistake, but I promise to review your above post by tomorrow and reply

(A) Loss on the N.J Devils on yet ANOTHER empty net goal with 20 seconds left, for fuck sake.

New Labby line after the loss:

30-30-30-96

25-25-43-55-70-96

25-25-25-25-79-70

 

There will be an (A) bet on Phoenix for 10/25.  I'll repost the bet and line in the morning.  Our next (B) bet on the Devils will be Wednesday 10/27 when they travel to San Jose

 
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Posted: #70
The empty netter came with one second left in the game!!!!    These empty netters are giving me heart pains!
 
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Posted: #71

I just saw that it was 19:59 in the 3rd.  Unbelievable.

(A) bet tonight on Phoenix (-250) +1.5 PL $315 to win $126 (96+30)

Good luck

 
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Posted: #72
Quote Originally Posted by smitler:



Another 2 losses last nighgt with Anaheim (B) and Atlanta (A).  New line looks like this:

25-25-25-25-43-79

25-25-25-25-43-79

25-25-25-25-79

2 "A" bets coming tonight, Boston (-120) and Florida +1.5 (-220)

The "B" and "C" bets for Anaheim and Atlanta come tomorrow

Starting to get nervous!

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
You have me lost from the get go.
If both were $156>68 and they both lost that's $312 in losses to distribute.
79*3=237. The balance of 75 I infer is the first number of 25 but that means you are just trying to recover and not profit.?

If A losses then distribute loss to Line A and B?
If B losses then distribute loss to line A, B, and C?
If an A and a B losses then distribute loss to line A, B, and C?

I will continue reading looking for the
I may be the dumbest labby line guy in the world.

Line "B" should have had another 79 on it.  I missed it.  My bad.  Instead of:

25-25-25-25-43-79

25-25-25-25-43-79

25-25-25-25-79

 

It should have been:

25-25-25-25-43-79

25-25-25-25-43-79-79

25-25-25-25-79

 

I'll add the extra 79 to my current Labby line now, as it wouldn't have affect much anyway, since we've only had 1 "B" bet since then.  New Labby line looks like this, with the added 79:

30-30-30-96

25-25-43-55-70-79-96

25-25-25-25-79-70

 

Thanks smitler

If you have questions, just ask..

 
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Posted: #73
I have read through this thread trying to learn your labby logic. Please clarify the following:
Post 24: Shouldn't one bet have been to win $80 (55-25) and the other to win $104 (79+25)?

Post 32:  Col won and Atl Lost. I'm assuming you had $140 on Atl.
Shouldn't that line look like this?
xx-25-25-55
xx-25-25-25-43-79-70
25-25-25-25-79-70

Correct me if I'm wrong with this basic analogy

If_A=Loss; Then distribute loss$ to Line A and B.
If_B=Loss; Then distribute loss$ to Line B and C.
If_C=Loss; Then distribute loss$ to Line A, B, and C.
 
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Posted: #74

Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

I have read through this thread trying to learn your labby logic. Please clarify the following:
Post 24: Shouldn't one bet have been to win $80 (55-25) and the other to win $104 (79+25)?

Post 32:  Col won and Atl Lost. I'm assuming you had $140 on Atl.
Shouldn't that line look like this?
xx-25-25-55
xx-25-25-25-43-79-70
25-25-25-25-79-70

Correct me if I'm wrong with this basic analogy

If_A=Loss; Then distribute loss$ to Line A and B.
If_B=Loss; Then distribute loss$ to Line B and C.
If_C=Loss; Then distribute loss$ to Line A, B, and C.

Post #24 is correct.  At the start of the day, I place my bets according to the Labby line.  If there are 2 bets going off, I use the first and the last number of the sequence.  In this case, the first number was 25, and the last 55.  Therefore, both bets were to win 80.  This was advised by PSIC when they did the Labourchere experiments etc

Post #32 is also correct.  Since I won the (B) bet on Colorado, my 79 & 25 got crossed out on line (B).  I then added half of my Atlanta loss to line (A), which was 70, and the other half to line (C), which was 70.  Always cross out the bets you win FIRST, then and only then, add your losses according to where your original bet was.  1/2 those losses go at the end of the same line your bet was placed on, and the other half go on the following line.

Your ending analogy is correct EXCEPT for if (C) losses.  If you were to lose a (C) bet, you distribute 1/2 the losses to the end of line (C), and the other half to the end of line (A). The reason for this is because line (A) wins the majority of the time, if you back test this system.  There's no reason to distubute a (C) loss to line (B), and it's not recommended by PSIC

 
 
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Posted: #75
Quote Originally Posted by smdio:

I just saw that it was 19:59 in the 3rd.  Unbelievable.

(A) bet tonight on Phoenix (-250) +1.5 PL $315 to win $126 (96+30) 

Good luck

Cashed + recovered losses with another (A) winner tonight

New Labby line: 

 x-30-30-x

25-25-43-55-70-79-96

25-25-25-25-79-70

Two more (A) bets tomorrow night on Edmonton and Florida, both will be to win $60

I'll post the final lines tomorrow morning again

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