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NHL System - Algorithmic

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Posts: 158
 
Prospect
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Posts: 484
Posted: #126
OTT (ANDERSON) @ DAL (NIEMI)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.952655994
Away Predicted Scoring 3.013050785
Home Chance of Victory 50.33773767
Away Chance of Victory 49.66226233
Total Goals Estimated Value 5.965706779




CAL (RAMO) @ ANA (KHUDOBIN)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.73584069
Away Predicted Scoring 2.412359664
Home Chance of Victory 55.95867089
Away Chance of Victory 44.04132911
Total Goals Estimated Value 5.148200354
 
Prospect
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Posted: #127
Hi, as a statistician myself I am always interested in analytical data. I am doing well with Trend analysis so far. Maybe I can help you out with some information. I use sportsdatabase.com as a free db for keeping trends and team analysis in all major sports. If you like shoot me a pm.
 
Prospect
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Posts: 484
Posted: #128
Quote Originally Posted by orhane:

Hi, as a statistician myself I am always interested in analytical data. I am doing well with Trend analysis so far. Maybe I can help you out with some information. I use sportsdatabase.com as a free db for keeping trends and team analysis in all major sports. If you like shoot me a pm.

I'd be glad to discuss over PM. Sent you a friend's request.
 
Prospect
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Posts: 484
Posted: #129
OTT @ DAL
DAL
OVER 5.5

CAL @ ANA
ANA
OVER 5


3-1 on my return tonight.

Although I'm not sure I would have taken DAL at a 50.3% confidence rate...

Fair is fair though and I'll call it 3-1.
 
Prospect
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Posts: 484
Posted: #130
NAS (HUTTON) @ BUF (ULLMARK)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.561047619
Away Predicted Scoring 2.14878763
Home Chance of Victory 62.17661705
Away Chance of Victory 37.82338295
Total Goals Estimated Value 4.709835249




VAN (MILLER) @ MIN (DUBNYK)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.981407141
Away Predicted Scoring 2.655438906
Home Chance of Victory 56.56353865
Away Chance of Victory 43.43646135
Total Goals Estimated Value 5.636846046




EDM (NILSSON) @ CAR (WARD)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.462988846
Away Predicted Scoring 2.561847201
Home Chance of Victory 55.00336658
Away Chance of Victory 44.99663342
Total Goals Estimated Value 5.024836047




WPG (HUTCHINSON) @ WAS (HOLTBY)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.836457848
Away Predicted Scoring 2.441130675
Home Chance of Victory 63.72888233
Away Chance of Victory 36.27111767
Total Goals Estimated Value 5.277588523




STL (ALLEN) @ PITT (FLEURY)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.456562618
Away Predicted Scoring 2.572875002
Home Chance of Victory 44.1986042
Away Chance of Victory 55.8013958
Total Goals Estimated Value 5.029437621
 
Prospect
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Posted: #131
MTL (PRICE) @ NYR (LUNDQVIST)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.967198778
Away Predicted Scoring 2.585125011
Home Chance of Victory 60.8488994
Away Chance of Victory 39.1511006
Total Goals Estimated Value 5.552323789




CBJ (BOBROVSKY) @ NJD (SCHNEIDER)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.570668591
Away Predicted Scoring 2.05873663
Home Chance of Victory 63.70467372
Away Chance of Victory 36.29532628
Total Goals Estimated Value 4.629405221




PHI (MASON) @ NYI (HALAK)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.8289084
Away Predicted Scoring 2.460754219
Home Chance of Victory 58.87632909
Away Chance of Victory 41.12367091
Total Goals Estimated Value 5.289662619




BOS (GUSTAVSSON) @ DET (MRAZEK)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.571888515
Away Predicted Scoring 2.318312838
Home Chance of Victory 52.18147797
Away Chance of Victory 47.81852203
Total Goals Estimated Value 4.890201353




LAK (QUICK) @ TBL (BISHOP)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.621121194
Away Predicted Scoring 2.438082316
Home Chance of Victory 51.16320913
Away Chance of Victory 48.83679087
Total Goals Estimated Value 5.059203511

 
Prospect
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Posts: 484
Posted: #132
ANA (KHUDOBIN) @ AZ (SMITH)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.383112427
Away Predicted Scoring 2.530164991
Home Chance of Victory 50.70971587
Away Chance of Victory 49.29028413
Total Goals Estimated Value 4.913277418




OTT (ANDERSON) @ COL (VARLAMOV)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.916879139
Away Predicted Scoring 3.319051769
Home Chance of Victory 41.10743376
Away Chance of Victory 58.89256624
Total Goals Estimated Value 6.235930908




CHI (CRAWFORD) @ SJS (JONES)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.609604943
Away Predicted Scoring 2.279680416
Home Chance of Victory 58.75732216
Away Chance of Victory 41.24267784
Total Goals Estimated Value 4.889285359

 
Prospect
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Posted: #133
Quote Originally Posted by Pandalicious:


I'd be glad to discuss over PM. Sent you a friend's request.
Thank you, accepted it. Will write you some insight after Thanksgiving.
Have a good one.
 
Prospect
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Posts: 313
Posted: #134
This is a very interesting thread. Keep the good work! 
 
Veteran
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Posts: 2179
Posted: #135
 
Banned
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Posts: 8426
Posted: #136

orhane,

You went 14-4 yesterday, and cleared +13 units..all on your Covers.blog (located in Website Promotions) a job well done, some really good plays you pushed foward...unfortunately, for reasons unknown; you ended up in the Penalty Box an hour after the final results where posted...I am curious, what happened?

"Maybe I can help you out with some information" does this still stand? or is it on hold until your release date?

 
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Posted: #137
PM me....if possible
 
Prospect
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Posts: 484
Posted: #138
COL (BERRA) @ NJD (SCHNEIDER)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.41103967
Away Predicted Scoring 2.155276687
Home Chance of Victory 58.35356213
Away Chance of Victory 41.64643787
Total Goals Estimated Value 4.566316357




CBJ (BOBROVSKY) @ MTL (CONDON)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.749378811
Away Predicted Scoring 2.51363629
Home Chance of Victory 49.21026051
Away Chance of Victory 50.78973949
Total Goals Estimated Value 5.263015101




PHI (MASON) @ OTT (ANDERSON)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.548790912
Away Predicted Scoring 2.431738402
Home Chance of Victory 53.7389048
Away Chance of Victory 46.2610952
Total Goals Estimated Value 4.980529314




BUF (ULLMARK) @ DET (MRAZEK)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.369681969
Away Predicted Scoring 2.171717398
Home Chance of Victory 46.64084211
Away Chance of Victory 53.35915789
Total Goals Estimated Value 4.541399367




MIN (DUBNYK) @ CHI (CRAWFORD)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.892611926
Away Predicted Scoring 2.652100338
Home Chance of Victory 62.18952863
Away Chance of Victory 37.81047137
Total Goals Estimated Value 5.544712263
 
Prospect
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Posts: 484
Posted: #139
AZ (SMITH) @ NAS (RINNE)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.796756105
Away Predicted Scoring 2.646507691
Home Chance of Victory 52.55816188
Away Chance of Victory 47.44183812
Total Goals Estimated Value 5.443263796




FLA (LUONGO) @ STL (ALLEN)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.361737479
Away Predicted Scoring 2.225717207
Home Chance of Victory 50.45244441
Away Chance of Victory 49.54755559
Total Goals Estimated Value 4.587454686




DAL (NIEMI) @ CAL (RAMO)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.790953663
Away Predicted Scoring 3.106027717
Home Chance of Victory 45.86223752
Away Chance of Victory 54.13776248
Total Goals Estimated Value 5.896981379




VAN (MARKSTROM) @ LAK (QUICK)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.761128228
Away Predicted Scoring 2.426932744
Home Chance of Victory 58.7850072
Away Chance of Victory 41.2149928
Total Goals Estimated Value 5.188060972




PITT (FLEURY) @ SJS (JONES)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.140997857
Away Predicted Scoring 2.286946608
Home Chance of Victory 43.20749343
Away Chance of Victory 56.79250657
Total Goals Estimated Value 4.427944465
 
Prospect
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Posted: #140
Hey Panda,
i have been reading this entire thread.  Your work is amazing.
i sent you a friend request.

please accept.   thanks.
 
Veteran
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Posted: #141
Panda....where'd you go?
 
Veteran
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Posted: #142

Quote Originally Posted by oilcountry99:

Panda....where'd you go?

tout

 

 
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Posted: #143
really? he's not banned, nor has he ever been in the Penalty Box, could you elaborate, or confirm your commentary in relation to Panda going "tout" I can't find any indication on any Covers forum where as this was initiated....what is the source of your information? or is it simply a whim of make believe?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #144
This thread was taking too much of my time and I had to focus on other commitments. The months of November and December were taxing. 

I will reconfigure this and my NBA thread later today. FOR FREE. 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #145
NJD (SCHNEIDER) @ MTL (CONDON)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.295732013
Away Predicted Scoring 2.595626288
Home Chance of Victory 42.36185655
Away Chance of Victory 57.63814345
Total Goals Estimated Value 4.891358301




PITT (ZATKOFF) @ CHI (DARLING)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.421629542
Away Predicted Scoring 2.440826691
Home Chance of Victory 55.30520264
Away Chance of Victory 44.69479736
Total Goals Estimated Value 4.862456233




CAR (LACK) @ VAN (MARKSTROM)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.675823647
Away Predicted Scoring 2.317937609
Home Chance of Victory 56.1500423
Away Chance of Victory 43.8499577
Total Goals Estimated Value 4.993761256




STL (ALLEN) @ COL (VARLAMOV)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.519367419
Away Predicted Scoring 2.738367043
Home Chance of Victory 43.9519291
Away Chance of Victory 56.0480709
Total Goals Estimated Value 5.257734461




TOR (BERNIER) @ ANA (GIBSON)
Home Predicted Scoring 2.626270573
Away Predicted Scoring 2.122098463
Home Chance of Victory 64.61942741
Away Chance of Victory 35.38057259
Total Goals Estimated Value 4.748369036

 
Prospect
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Posts: 69
Posted: #146
It would seem our respective models have come to similar conclusions today -- very interesting!

MTL: 57% / 50%        VS       MTL: 42.36%
NJD: 43% / 50%                    NJD: 57.63%

CHI: 77.4% / 71.4%    VS      CHI:  55.30%
PIT: 22.6% / 28.6%               PIT:   44.69%


COL: 45.4% / 34.4%   VS     COL: 43.95%
STL: 54.6% / 65.6%             STL: 56.04%

VAN: 54.8% / 48.8%    VS    VAN: 56.15%
CAR: 45.2% / 51.2%            CAR: 43.84%

ANA: 60.7% / 60.4%  VS      ANA: 64.61%
TOR: 39.3% / 39.6%           TOR: 35.38%
 
Prospect
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Posted: #147
In my return the system went 7-2-1.

Not bad. :)
 
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Posted: #148

Panda,

Not bad at all

appreciate your 7 WINS......."FOR FREE"

take care

 

 
Prospect
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Posts: 484
Posted: #149
Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

Panda,

Not bad at all

appreciate your 7 WINS......."FOR FREE"

take care

 


Haha. The only reason I emphasized for free was because of the tout accusations. 
 
 
Prospect
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Posts: 179
Posted: #150
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