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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Official (?) RPI 2013 system

    «First Previous 222324 ... 262728 Next Last»
    b_rad_1983
    Danrules24
    Riceboi
    jerry18
    Jattdoit
    ...
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    «First Previous 222324 ... 262728 Next Last»
     
    b_rad_1983
    b_rad_1983
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    Posted: Aug. 10, 2013 - 11:14 AM ET #526

    How come when I click on "add rpi bets to tracker", for the line on the tracker page it gives the away team all the time and not the team for the system play? Well when the away team is the pick its correct otherwise its wrong.
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    How come when I click on "add rpi bets to tracker", for the line on the tracker page it gives the away team all the time and not the team for the system play? Well when the away team is the pick its correct otherwise its wrong.
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Aug. 10, 2013 - 12:20 PM ET #527

    Quote Originally Posted by b_rad_1983:

    How come when I click on "add rpi bets to tracker", for the line on the tracker page it gives the away team all the time and not the team for the system play? Well when the away team is the pick its correct otherwise its wrong.

    Not sure, I don't use that feature.

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Quote Originally Posted by b_rad_1983:

    How come when I click on "add rpi bets to tracker", for the line on the tracker page it gives the away team all the time and not the team for the system play? Well when the away team is the pick its correct otherwise its wrong.

    Not sure, I don't use that feature.

     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Aug. 10, 2013 - 12:23 PM ET #528

    Friday - Atl and Texas win on the A game. Pitt and STL go to be game Saturday

    Record: 90-5

    A: 61-36

    B: 21-13

    C: 8-5

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Friday - Atl and Texas win on the A game. Pitt and STL go to be game Saturday

    Record: 90-5

    A: 61-36

    B: 21-13

    C: 8-5

     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Aug. 11, 2013 - 2:00 AM ET #529

    Saturday -  Pitt and STL go to C game Sunday. Ugh.

    Record: 90-5

    A: 61-36

    B: 21-15

    C: 8-5

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Saturday -  Pitt and STL go to C game Sunday. Ugh.

    Record: 90-5

    A: 61-36

    B: 21-15

    C: 8-5

     
    Riceboi
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    Posted: Aug. 11, 2013 - 2:38 AM ET #530

    STL will be a costly series if they lose. Let's go cards!
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    STL will be a costly series if they lose. Let's go cards!
     
    jerry18
    jerry18
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    Posted: Aug. 11, 2013 - 7:26 PM ET #531

    and another loss
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    and another loss
     
    Jattdoit
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    Posted: Aug. 11, 2013 - 8:01 PM ET #532


    anybody claiming to have made a profit this year

    A. didnt play all series
    B. is bloody good at money management
    C. A LIAR

    Filters that i have been using.

    Play teams that are 10 games above .500 playing teams 10 games below .500. Far less plays but ZERO losses after all star break.

    Thanks Dan for keeping this floating as long as you did. I for one wouldnt blame you if you jump ship.
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    anybody claiming to have made a profit this year

    A. didnt play all series
    B. is bloody good at money management
    C. A LIAR

    Filters that i have been using.

    Play teams that are 10 games above .500 playing teams 10 games below .500. Far less plays but ZERO losses after all star break.

    Thanks Dan for keeping this floating as long as you did. I for one wouldnt blame you if you jump ship.
     
    b_rad_1983
    b_rad_1983
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    Posted: Aug. 11, 2013 - 8:47 PM ET #533

    There is way too many upsets in MLB it seems. Last year I focused strickly on NHL and thats the first thing I noticed when I started betting MLB.
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    There is way too many upsets in MLB it seems. Last year I focused strickly on NHL and thats the first thing I noticed when I started betting MLB.
     
    spoutbec
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    Posted: Aug. 11, 2013 - 8:51 PM ET #534

    Thanks for doing the work keeping this system going Dan, a lot of us appreciate it.  This year is by far the worst I've seen this system perform and yet you should still be breaking about even with the 6 losses.  I know breaking even is not the goal here, I just think this year was an aberration, I hope you keep it alive again next year.  Plus, there's still a few weeks left, we could still end up slightly ahead.  If that's the worst year this system ever has I guess it's not that bad.
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    Thanks for doing the work keeping this system going Dan, a lot of us appreciate it.  This year is by far the worst I've seen this system perform and yet you should still be breaking about even with the 6 losses.  I know breaking even is not the goal here, I just think this year was an aberration, I hope you keep it alive again next year.  Plus, there's still a few weeks left, we could still end up slightly ahead.  If that's the worst year this system ever has I guess it's not that bad.
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Aug. 11, 2013 - 9:11 PM ET #535

    Sunday - STL wins and Pitt loses on the C game. Can't believe how the Pirates lost that game (balk and error accounted for 2 of Colo's 3 runs).

    Record: 91-6

    A: 61-36

    B: 21-15

    C: 9-6

     

    I'm actually still ahead a little for the year but I have not been doing a strict Martingale the whole time, plus I was in Mexico for a loss and couldn't bet. I will keep posting the plays and picking my spots on what series to bet. 5 of the 6 losses were road teams.

    If B2W doesn't run this next year (his system after all), I'll gladly do it again. Would love for him to come back and take over, but rest assured it will continue. I also should have used a 4 win difference as a filter instead of 3. We would have had 1 less loss and only 4 or so less wins. That one is on me.

    By my calculations the visiting team is 38-5, while the home team is 53-1.

     

     

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Sunday - STL wins and Pitt loses on the C game. Can't believe how the Pirates lost that game (balk and error accounted for 2 of Colo's 3 runs).

    Record: 91-6

    A: 61-36

    B: 21-15

    C: 9-6

     

    I'm actually still ahead a little for the year but I have not been doing a strict Martingale the whole time, plus I was in Mexico for a loss and couldn't bet. I will keep posting the plays and picking my spots on what series to bet. 5 of the 6 losses were road teams.

    If B2W doesn't run this next year (his system after all), I'll gladly do it again. Would love for him to come back and take over, but rest assured it will continue. I also should have used a 4 win difference as a filter instead of 3. We would have had 1 less loss and only 4 or so less wins. That one is on me.

    By my calculations the visiting team is 38-5, while the home team is 53-1.

     

     

     
    conrad63
    conrad63
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    Posted: Aug. 11, 2013 - 9:11 PM ET #536

    Quote Originally Posted by Jattdoit:


    anybody claiming to have made a profit this year

    A. didnt play all series
    B. is bloody good at money management
    C. A LIAR

    Filters that i have been using.

    Play teams that are 10 games above .500 playing teams 10 games below .500. Far less plays but ZERO losses after all star break.

    Thanks Dan for keeping this floating as long as you did. I for one wouldnt blame you if you jump ship.



    PLEASE DON"T !!!!!!  THANKS FOR ALL YOUR HARD WORK>
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jattdoit:


    anybody claiming to have made a profit this year

    A. didnt play all series
    B. is bloody good at money management
    C. A LIAR

    Filters that i have been using.

    Play teams that are 10 games above .500 playing teams 10 games below .500. Far less plays but ZERO losses after all star break.

    Thanks Dan for keeping this floating as long as you did. I for one wouldnt blame you if you jump ship.



    PLEASE DON"T !!!!!!  THANKS FOR ALL YOUR HARD WORK>
     
    ssquerd
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    Posted: Aug. 11, 2013 - 11:39 PM ET #537

    Aggressive labby still puts you up 30%.  I started the year a week later than most, to avoid that series loss we always seem to get at the beginning of the year and let the RPI settle.

    I don't see why anyone would martingale any system when a labby accomplishes the same thing and spreads the risk.  Of course, it would be nice to get some wins and clear some lines here the next 3 weeks 

    Nobody jump ship.  Proper money management and a strong finish here puts this system well into the black for another year.  I hope Degen continues to automate this system and Dan continues to post plays.  There are few systems out there that stand the test of time and this seems to be one of them.
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    Aggressive labby still puts you up 30%.  I started the year a week later than most, to avoid that series loss we always seem to get at the beginning of the year and let the RPI settle.

    I don't see why anyone would martingale any system when a labby accomplishes the same thing and spreads the risk.  Of course, it would be nice to get some wins and clear some lines here the next 3 weeks 

    Nobody jump ship.  Proper money management and a strong finish here puts this system well into the black for another year.  I hope Degen continues to automate this system and Dan continues to post plays.  There are few systems out there that stand the test of time and this seems to be one of them.
     
    Riceboi
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    Posted: Aug. 12, 2013 - 1:55 AM ET #538

    Hey Dan do you have the past few seasons records for home teams?
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    Hey Dan do you have the past few seasons records for home teams?
     
    Riceboi
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    Posted: Aug. 12, 2013 - 2:24 AM ET #539

    I wonder if the road teams have always been the culprits in the previous seasons system losses.
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    I wonder if the road teams have always been the culprits in the previous seasons system losses.
     
    rp-rt
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    Posted: Aug. 12, 2013 - 10:23 AM ET #540

    I've got ATL, DET and KC for today (8/12/13). For Tomorrow (8/13/13) OAK.
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    I've got ATL, DET and KC for today (8/12/13). For Tomorrow (8/13/13) OAK.
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Aug. 12, 2013 - 11:49 AM ET #541

    Quote Originally Posted by Riceboi:

    I wonder if the road teams have always been the culprits in the previous seasons system losses.

    Last year we had 1 home loss and one away. In 2011 the lone loss was home.

    I'll post all plays that qualify but I'll personally be more selective on away plays.

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Quote Originally Posted by Riceboi:

    I wonder if the road teams have always been the culprits in the previous seasons system losses.

    Last year we had 1 home loss and one away. In 2011 the lone loss was home.

    I'll post all plays that qualify but I'll personally be more selective on away plays.

     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Aug. 12, 2013 - 11:58 AM ET #542

    Monday - Back at it. We have Det, KC, Atl.

    Record: 91-6

    A: 61-36

    B: 21-15

    C: 9-6

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Monday - Back at it. We have Det, KC, Atl.

    Record: 91-6

    A: 61-36

    B: 21-15

    C: 9-6

     
    Riceboi
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    Posted: Aug. 12, 2013 - 12:56 PM ET #543

    So the system is averaging one home loss per season. That's not bad assuming we get 50 or more home series per season. I might play the home series a bit bigger.
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    So the system is averaging one home loss per season. That's not bad assuming we get 50 or more home series per season. I might play the home series a bit bigger.
     
    GregTek
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    Posted: Aug. 12, 2013 - 2:19 PM ET #544

    I must say I've been here for every single loss, and I'm still ahead. But I must confess, that aprox. 70% of the C bets were as 1unit BET. I swallow the B game loss. And sometimes I would also half the unit on B bet so there would be 'to win 0.5u + A loss'. I still believe it's better not to put all the high juice in for that 1u, i rather lose 2-5u cutting at C game then losing 7-15u with C game loss. Its the -150 between -200 line that kills you. So on those lines i usualy go normal on the A bet, if its really around -200 I'm usually just covering the loss on A game with B game, and if the B losses, i sometimes cut it, or just play it as an A game. 

    Lets say there are as previous week 4plays on the RPI - that means high juice with high lines, you get 2A wins 1B win and 1 game going to C, if you're lucky and doing as described early you are ahead, and you just cut it. not risking the profit of lets say 0.5 or 1u that you've got from the 3 picks, but most importantly you don't risk your own bankroll. 

    I don't know what you guys think but i find this way very bankroll friendly and mostly 'gray hair friendly' :)) 

    Finally, lets kill the end of the season and go easy on the plays, try adjusting units, cause some teams won't be motivated to show up, when they reach good playoff spot. 

    BOL to all 

    AND A HUGE THANKS TO DANRULES for keeping this thing goin !! 
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    I must say I've been here for every single loss, and I'm still ahead. But I must confess, that aprox. 70% of the C bets were as 1unit BET. I swallow the B game loss. And sometimes I would also half the unit on B bet so there would be 'to win 0.5u + A loss'. I still believe it's better not to put all the high juice in for that 1u, i rather lose 2-5u cutting at C game then losing 7-15u with C game loss. Its the -150 between -200 line that kills you. So on those lines i usualy go normal on the A bet, if its really around -200 I'm usually just covering the loss on A game with B game, and if the B losses, i sometimes cut it, or just play it as an A game. 

    Lets say there are as previous week 4plays on the RPI - that means high juice with high lines, you get 2A wins 1B win and 1 game going to C, if you're lucky and doing as described early you are ahead, and you just cut it. not risking the profit of lets say 0.5 or 1u that you've got from the 3 picks, but most importantly you don't risk your own bankroll. 

    I don't know what you guys think but i find this way very bankroll friendly and mostly 'gray hair friendly' :)) 

    Finally, lets kill the end of the season and go easy on the plays, try adjusting units, cause some teams won't be motivated to show up, when they reach good playoff spot. 

    BOL to all 

    AND A HUGE THANKS TO DANRULES for keeping this thing goin !! 
     
    jenjay23
    jenjay23
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    Posts: 343
    Posted: Aug. 12, 2013 - 2:28 PM ET #545

    Rice,

    I started your theory later in June with good results.  I also tweeked Degen's sheet to color code qualifying home teams that are on the "A" game, dependent on thier current streak to help in my discretion of betting "a little bigger" on that team.  For instance, instead of the qualifying team highlighted Blue, it highlights a color code if they qualify and start the series with a current L2, L3 or L4 record.  It has worked well gaining another .25 to .5 additional units dependant on my discretion on the series for home teams that come into a qualifying series with a L2 or greater streak. Pretty simple concept but maybe somthing to think about going forward.

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    Rice,

    I started your theory later in June with good results.  I also tweeked Degen's sheet to color code qualifying home teams that are on the "A" game, dependent on thier current streak to help in my discretion of betting "a little bigger" on that team.  For instance, instead of the qualifying team highlighted Blue, it highlights a color code if they qualify and start the series with a current L2, L3 or L4 record.  It has worked well gaining another .25 to .5 additional units dependant on my discretion on the series for home teams that come into a qualifying series with a L2 or greater streak. Pretty simple concept but maybe somthing to think about going forward.

     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posts: 5921
    Posted: Aug. 12, 2013 - 3:19 PM ET #546

    I like seeing all the comments and different ways people structure their bets/money mangement. Have to admit that I'm very conservative on my bets and probably betting too low for my bankroll. I try to think of a 3 game loss at -200 odds and what that would do to my bankroll. I structure my betting.

    ssquerd mentioned an agressive labby line method that works well. It does take getting used to but it spreads out the risk. We have way more A and B game wins than C game plays, so clearing lines is not difficult.

    Let's crush these last 3 weeks on the official system.

     

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    I like seeing all the comments and different ways people structure their bets/money mangement. Have to admit that I'm very conservative on my bets and probably betting too low for my bankroll. I try to think of a 3 game loss at -200 odds and what that would do to my bankroll. I structure my betting.

    ssquerd mentioned an agressive labby line method that works well. It does take getting used to but it spreads out the risk. We have way more A and B game wins than C game plays, so clearing lines is not difficult.

    Let's crush these last 3 weeks on the official system.

     

     
    Syracuse44
    Syracuse44
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    Posts: 52
    Posted: Aug. 12, 2013 - 6:18 PM ET #547

    Hearing about Darvish's near perfect game today made me think - crap - That is a 4-game wrap-around series.  Texas should have been another 3-game chase on Saturday (and winner of course).  For those tracking, update your records accordingly.
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    Hearing about Darvish's near perfect game today made me think - crap - That is a 4-game wrap-around series.  Texas should have been another 3-game chase on Saturday (and winner of course).  For those tracking, update your records accordingly.
     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Aug. 12, 2013 - 6:41 PM ET #548

    Quote Originally Posted by Syracuse44:

    Hearing about Darvish's near perfect game today made me think - crap - That is a 4-game wrap-around series.  Texas should have been another 3-game chase on Saturday (and winner of course).  For those tracking, update your records accordingly.

    You are right, I completely missed it. Sorry guys!

    We should have started another 3 game chase on Saturday after Friday's win. I'm going to include this in the official record stats as a win on the A game Saturday to properly reflect the system record. Can't believe I missed that.

    Record: 92-6

    A: 62-36

    B: 21-15

    C: 9-6

     

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Quote Originally Posted by Syracuse44:

    Hearing about Darvish's near perfect game today made me think - crap - That is a 4-game wrap-around series.  Texas should have been another 3-game chase on Saturday (and winner of course).  For those tracking, update your records accordingly.

    You are right, I completely missed it. Sorry guys!

    We should have started another 3 game chase on Saturday after Friday's win. I'm going to include this in the official record stats as a win on the A game Saturday to properly reflect the system record. Can't believe I missed that.

    Record: 92-6

    A: 62-36

    B: 21-15

    C: 9-6

     

     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Aug. 12, 2013 - 11:55 PM ET #549

    Monday - Det and Atlanta lose on the A game, go to B game Tuesday. KC wins on the A game.

     

    Record: 93-6

    A: 63-38

    B: 21-15

    C: 9-6

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Monday - Det and Atlanta lose on the A game, go to B game Tuesday. KC wins on the A game.

     

    Record: 93-6

    A: 63-38

    B: 21-15

    C: 9-6

     
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Aug. 13, 2013 - 12:20 PM ET #550

    Tuesday:

    Det and Atlanta B game

    A game for Oak. Tampa barely missed out for a play.

    Record: 93-6

    A: 63-38

    B: 21-15

    C: 9-6

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Tuesday:

    Det and Atlanta B game

    A game for Oak. Tampa barely missed out for a play.

    Record: 93-6

    A: 63-38

    B: 21-15

    C: 9-6

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