Been following the thread for a few weeks rizz great stuff!!! I parlayed Dodgers, Braves And Yanks. Was thinking about parlaying all six games kicking myself I didn't. Also had the Yanks ML and CHW RL which they barely squeezed out. Keep up the good work rizz!!!
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Been following the thread for a few weeks rizz great stuff!!! I parlayed Dodgers, Braves And Yanks. Was thinking about parlaying all six games kicking myself I didn't. Also had the Yanks ML and CHW RL which they barely squeezed out. Keep up the good work rizz!!!
Been following the thread for a few weeks rizz great stuff!!! I parlayed Dodgers, Braves And Yanks. Was thinking about parlaying all six games kicking myself I didn't. Also had the Yanks ML and CHW RL which they barely squeezed out. Keep up the good work rizz!!!
Glad to hear it JarMan. Only thing that makes a big winning night better is if others are in on it also
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Quote Originally Posted by JarMan:
Been following the thread for a few weeks rizz great stuff!!! I parlayed Dodgers, Braves And Yanks. Was thinking about parlaying all six games kicking myself I didn't. Also had the Yanks ML and CHW RL which they barely squeezed out. Keep up the good work rizz!!!
Glad to hear it JarMan. Only thing that makes a big winning night better is if others are in on it also
I've been lurking for a years on this forum and have been reading through this extensive thread of yours and am impressed with your results. Just a few questions about your system.
1. You say the chase starts "IF" the fav in Game 1 of a 3/4 game series is -150 or greater, regardless if it's home or away, right? I noticed on this page that you listed:
Series#195 (G1) 7:15 COL -140 @ pit 8 48/58
as a play, but COL is -140 in this first game. Why did you chose this game since COL wasn't -150 or more?
2. What lines do you use to determine if a team is -150 or more, opening lines? Mid day lines?
3. Let's say a bad road team with an ace is -160 in the first game playing a team like the Yankees or Tampa Bay. Would you still play this chase, considering that having the ace sort of distorts system?
4. I noticed you list: +141.25U with labby, with your results. The "labby", stands for Labouchere system, right? Isn't this just a simple chase where you wager X to win 1 unit, then if you lose, you wager Y to win back X + 1 unit, and if you lose, you wager Z to win back X + Y + 1 unit? If this is a Labouchere system, how does it apply here? If it isn't Labouchere, sorry for misinterpreting this.
I've been doing a home chase system so far this season with good results. I only play home teams that are currently 5+ games above .500 at home on the season. I played a similar system last season in MLB and won about 92 units chasing these home teams in 3 game sets only (no 2's or 4's, 4's can be a bank roll killer if they go against you and it happens from time to time, even with the good home teams)
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Hey Rizz,
I've been lurking for a years on this forum and have been reading through this extensive thread of yours and am impressed with your results. Just a few questions about your system.
1. You say the chase starts "IF" the fav in Game 1 of a 3/4 game series is -150 or greater, regardless if it's home or away, right? I noticed on this page that you listed:
Series#195 (G1) 7:15 COL -140 @ pit 8 48/58
as a play, but COL is -140 in this first game. Why did you chose this game since COL wasn't -150 or more?
2. What lines do you use to determine if a team is -150 or more, opening lines? Mid day lines?
3. Let's say a bad road team with an ace is -160 in the first game playing a team like the Yankees or Tampa Bay. Would you still play this chase, considering that having the ace sort of distorts system?
4. I noticed you list: +141.25U with labby, with your results. The "labby", stands for Labouchere system, right? Isn't this just a simple chase where you wager X to win 1 unit, then if you lose, you wager Y to win back X + 1 unit, and if you lose, you wager Z to win back X + Y + 1 unit? If this is a Labouchere system, how does it apply here? If it isn't Labouchere, sorry for misinterpreting this.
I've been doing a home chase system so far this season with good results. I only play home teams that are currently 5+ games above .500 at home on the season. I played a similar system last season in MLB and won about 92 units chasing these home teams in 3 game sets only (no 2's or 4's, 4's can be a bank roll killer if they go against you and it happens from time to time, even with the good home teams)
I've been lurking for a years on this forum and have been reading through this extensive thread of yours and am impressed with your results. Just a few questions about your system.
1. You say the chase starts "IF" the fav in Game 1 of a 3/4 game series is -150 or greater, regardless if it's home or away, right? I noticed on this page that you listed:
Series#195 (G1) 7:15 COL -140 @ pit 8 48/58
as a play, but COL is -140 in this first game. Why did you chose this game since COL wasn't -150 or more?
2. What lines do you use to determine if a team is -150 or more, opening lines? Mid day lines?
3. Let's say a bad road team with an ace is -160 in the first game playing a team like the Yankees or Tampa Bay. Would you still play this chase, considering that having the ace sort of distorts system?
4. I noticed you list: +141.25U with labby, with your results. The "labby", stands for Labouchere system, right? Isn't this just a simple chase where you wager X to win 1 unit, then if you lose, you wager Y to win back X + 1 unit, and if you lose, you wager Z to win back X + Y + 1 unit? If this is a Labouchere system, how does it apply here? If it isn't Labouchere, sorry for misinterpreting this.
I've been doing a home chase system so far this season with good results. I only play home teams that are currently 5+ games above .500 at home on the season. I played a similar system last season in MLB and won about 92 units chasing these home teams in 3 game sets only (no 2's or 4's, 4's can be a bank roll killer if they go against you and it happens from time to time, even with the good home teams)
Its been a long season and there are a lot of posts to go through, so I understand some of the confusion. You are right in questioning that COL play. The thing is this series started on Thursday and I missed it. We jumped in on what was officially game 2 of 4 for the series, game 1 as far as we were concerned.
Criteria to make a play is if a line closes at -150 or higher in game 1 on COVERS as this is what I backtested again. I compared this to opening odds from PINNACLE from another database I have and found if it opens at -145 there is also a play. COL met both of these criteria in game 1 of there series.
The money management you describe is martingale. I would only recommend using this money management if you are only playing the filtered series as these are heavy favorites and the juice can burn through 20U if you lose with martingale. I have been playing this all season with "aggressive" labouchere money management. The strength in this is that we have a winning percentage above 60% for every level of play which helps us to clear lines and reclaim our losses rather quickly (like Fri to Sat this weekend). Using this approach is so much ahead compared to martingale I would only recommend playing this system if you either understand or it or just follow the lines I post every day.
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Quote Originally Posted by forsberg21:
Hey Rizz,
I've been lurking for a years on this forum and have been reading through this extensive thread of yours and am impressed with your results. Just a few questions about your system.
1. You say the chase starts "IF" the fav in Game 1 of a 3/4 game series is -150 or greater, regardless if it's home or away, right? I noticed on this page that you listed:
Series#195 (G1) 7:15 COL -140 @ pit 8 48/58
as a play, but COL is -140 in this first game. Why did you chose this game since COL wasn't -150 or more?
2. What lines do you use to determine if a team is -150 or more, opening lines? Mid day lines?
3. Let's say a bad road team with an ace is -160 in the first game playing a team like the Yankees or Tampa Bay. Would you still play this chase, considering that having the ace sort of distorts system?
4. I noticed you list: +141.25U with labby, with your results. The "labby", stands for Labouchere system, right? Isn't this just a simple chase where you wager X to win 1 unit, then if you lose, you wager Y to win back X + 1 unit, and if you lose, you wager Z to win back X + Y + 1 unit? If this is a Labouchere system, how does it apply here? If it isn't Labouchere, sorry for misinterpreting this.
I've been doing a home chase system so far this season with good results. I only play home teams that are currently 5+ games above .500 at home on the season. I played a similar system last season in MLB and won about 92 units chasing these home teams in 3 game sets only (no 2's or 4's, 4's can be a bank roll killer if they go against you and it happens from time to time, even with the good home teams)
Its been a long season and there are a lot of posts to go through, so I understand some of the confusion. You are right in questioning that COL play. The thing is this series started on Thursday and I missed it. We jumped in on what was officially game 2 of 4 for the series, game 1 as far as we were concerned.
Criteria to make a play is if a line closes at -150 or higher in game 1 on COVERS as this is what I backtested again. I compared this to opening odds from PINNACLE from another database I have and found if it opens at -145 there is also a play. COL met both of these criteria in game 1 of there series.
The money management you describe is martingale. I would only recommend using this money management if you are only playing the filtered series as these are heavy favorites and the juice can burn through 20U if you lose with martingale. I have been playing this all season with "aggressive" labouchere money management. The strength in this is that we have a winning percentage above 60% for every level of play which helps us to clear lines and reclaim our losses rather quickly (like Fri to Sat this weekend). Using this approach is so much ahead compared to martingale I would only recommend playing this system if you either understand or it or just follow the lines I post every day.
Hey Rizz, been following your thread, awesome work. I was wondering do you have an NFL or College football type chase system? Just curious because of the amazing work you have been doing with baseball this year.
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Hey Rizz, been following your thread, awesome work. I was wondering do you have an NFL or College football type chase system? Just curious because of the amazing work you have been doing with baseball this year.
Hey Rizz, been following your thread, awesome work. I was wondering do you have an NFL or College football type chase system? Just curious because of the amazing work you have been doing with baseball this year.
No,
This is my first year doing this and have spent a lot of time working on my mlb and nba systems. Will probably play ON3's system for nfl as well as half time plays with ENJOY for nfl and cfb. If you have any ideas let me know.
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Quote Originally Posted by Jattdoit:
Hey Rizz, been following your thread, awesome work. I was wondering do you have an NFL or College football type chase system? Just curious because of the amazing work you have been doing with baseball this year.
No,
This is my first year doing this and have spent a lot of time working on my mlb and nba systems. Will probably play ON3's system for nfl as well as half time plays with ENJOY for nfl and cfb. If you have any ideas let me know.
I am not going to be able to stay up to update the labby lines for tomorrow. Hopefully everyone is comfortable in doing it at this point and/or keeping their own lines. Here are the game 1's that start tomorrow (8/10):
###ATL will be a play if it closes above -150 on Covers###
Watch the COL series, ratio is against us pretty heavily but Jimenez is on the mound.
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Guys,
I am not going to be able to stay up to update the labby lines for tomorrow. Hopefully everyone is comfortable in doing it at this point and/or keeping their own lines. Here are the game 1's that start tomorrow (8/10):
I am not going to be able to stay up to update the labby lines for tomorrow. Hopefully everyone is comfortable in doing it at this point and/or keeping their own lines. Here are the game 1's that start tomorrow (8/10):
Series#205 (G1) 7:05 fla @ WAS -176 7 55/48
Series#206 (G1) 7:10 COL -150 @ nym 7 41/67
Series#207 (G1) 10:05 pit @ SD -190 7 75/35
Watch the COL series, ratio is against us pretty heavily but Jimenez is on the mound.
Sorry guys, made a mistake. ATL is not a play regardless. The series started tonight and did not meet criteria.
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Quote Originally Posted by therizz:
Guys,
I am not going to be able to stay up to update the labby lines for tomorrow. Hopefully everyone is comfortable in doing it at this point and/or keeping their own lines. Here are the game 1's that start tomorrow (8/10):
Series#205 (G1) 7:05 fla @ WAS -176 7 55/48
Series#206 (G1) 7:10 COL -150 @ nym 7 41/67
Series#207 (G1) 10:05 pit @ SD -190 7 75/35
Watch the COL series, ratio is against us pretty heavily but Jimenez is on the mound.
Sorry guys, made a mistake. ATL is not a play regardless. The series started tonight and did not meet criteria.
Thanks DD, we still need to kill nba this season my man.
I'm looking forward to getting in on that Quarters thing you had going on with NBA last season. I'm not interested in playing much NBA, but that is the one thing I will be focusing on.
Keep up the good work.
Cheers
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Quote Originally Posted by therizz:
Thanks DD, we still need to kill nba this season my man.
I'm looking forward to getting in on that Quarters thing you had going on with NBA last season. I'm not interested in playing much NBA, but that is the one thing I will be focusing on.
I'm looking forward to getting in on that Quarters thing you had going on with NBA last season. I'm not interested in playing much NBA, but that is the one thing I will be focusing on.
Keep up the good work.
Cheers
Should be fun! Hopefully it ends up as well as the numbers look. There has been so much shuffling in the offseason this year, I may wait a few weeks into the season to get some more data before starting this year
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Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:
I'm looking forward to getting in on that Quarters thing you had going on with NBA last season. I'm not interested in playing much NBA, but that is the one thing I will be focusing on.
Keep up the good work.
Cheers
Should be fun! Hopefully it ends up as well as the numbers look. There has been so much shuffling in the offseason this year, I may wait a few weeks into the season to get some more data before starting this year
Hi Rizz, A personal ? if you dont mind is that a real picture of you ?..................I definately like the system and appreciate all the time consuming work involved in doing this. Please don't be offended.
Sincere Thanks, G.S.
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Hi Rizz, A personal ? if you dont mind is that a real picture of you ?..................I definately like the system and appreciate all the time consuming work involved in doing this. Please don't be offended.
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