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Power Rating System ($1000 to $100,000 in 36 months)

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Posted: #751
 
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Posted: #752

at that time, i will quietly move to vegas or develop some other business to work the Program.. if i can accomplish this, it should mean a blank check for the Program.

 

there it is:

 

Thinker


need a room mate?  lol

 
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Posted: #753

thanks guys, can someone bump todays card over.. ill be out until the evening hours..

Thinker

 
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Posted: #754
Quote Originally Posted by TheThinker:

update for monday nov 8

Beginning Balance on sept 5 2010: $1000

Current Balance on nov 8 2010: $1830

 

Power Ratings Program: 139-145 (+$830)

 

breakdown:

mlb: 75-75 (+$437)

nhl: 47-38 (+$548)

nba: 2-8 (-$41)

FB: 15-24 (-$114)

 

here is Power Ratings card for monday nov 8

285. charolette (+1.55) $15 to win $23

286. phx (+1.70) $15 to win $26

287. denver (+1.30) $15 to win $20

288. boston (+1.35) $15 to win $20

 

those are the only plays tonight for the Power Ratings Program, if your not playing the nba, you have the day off.. for some reason the NHL decided to take the night off, no play on phx/det game.

 

TOP plays: 26-29 (-$310)

 

no TOP plays for tonight...  explanation in above post...

 

good luck guys..

 

Thinker

 
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Posted: #755
What I plan to do is put .5 unit on ML and the other .5 unit on  the spread for the NBA dogs. This way if they don't win but cover, it is a wash. It seems to be working well so far. Thanks for all your hard work.
 
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Posted: #756

BOL,Thinker! 

 
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Posted: #757

Quote Originally Posted by LaChup:

What I plan to do is put .5 unit on ML and the other .5 unit on  the spread for the NBA dogs. This way if they don't win but cover, it is a wash. It seems to be working well so far. Thanks for all your hard work.

The whole point of the nba dogs is to win better than 55% to be profittable.  While you are cutting your loss if they lose but cover you are also cutting your profits when they win.  Overtime looks like it will hurt more than help.

 
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Posted: #758
Quote Originally Posted by LaChup:

What I plan to do is put .5 unit on ML and the other .5 unit on  the spread for the NBA dogs. This way if they don't win but cover, it is a wash. It seems to be working well so far. Thanks for all your hard work.

You're free to do that if you wish, but this would be much smarter:

QUOTE

Originally Posted by Jokeheads:



Another option is to split the bet up among ML/ATS like this:

Instead of wagering x dollars on one bet:
wager .524*x on ATS and .476*x on ML.
If ATS hits (at -110) and .476 doesn't, you'll split for the day. If both lose, you lose 1 unit. But if both hit, your profit is substantially higher. (.5*x + [ML odds]*x*.476)...or 1.5-2 units usually.

 
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Posted: #759

Thinker

I will be playing what ever works for you,   I appreciate the hard work

 

an 11 day vacation,  now that sounds like heaven

maybe in 33 months I will go to the FIJI  islands and not take my cell phone    until then I am just a working girl that appreciates your effort

 

do they have casinos in FIJI   I might have to rethink that destination

 

 

 

 
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Posted: #760
Quote Originally Posted by fijfi:

Thinker

I will be playing what ever works for you,   I appreciate the hard work

 

an 11 day vacation,  now that sounds like heaven

maybe in 33 months I will go to the FIJI  islands and not take my cell phone    until then I am just a working girl that appreciates your effort

 

do they have casinos in FIJI   I might have to rethink that destination

 

 

 

No casinos in Fiji...perhaps you should go to Australia or the Caribbean. :)

 
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Posted: #761
Quote Originally Posted by fijfi:

Thinker

I will be playing what ever works for you,   I appreciate the hard work

 

an 11 day vacation,  now that sounds like heaven

maybe in 33 months I will go to the FIJI  islands and not take my cell phone    until then I am just a working girl that appreciates your effort

 

do they have casinos in FIJI   I might have to rethink that destination

 

 

 come to los cabos or cancun or vallarta we have casinos here

 
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Posted: #762

Very rough nite for the NBA dogs. Going to take a strong stomach to ride this rollercoaster.

0-4 straight up - 4 UNITS

perhaps 1-1-2 with the spread........2 were a push on covers final lines, but that doesn't mean anything and i didn't write down the lines from my websites.

 
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Posted: #763
on sportsbook i had both as pushes i split my bets on ml and spreads not as bad of losses when you have a bad night on money lines
 
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Posted: #764
Should of gone 3-1 honestly two dogs were up by like 5 pts in the 4th qtr at one point and shitted that away.  Another dog was up by 12 at one pt.  Ball didnt roll our way today.
 
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Posted: #765
Quote Originally Posted by like2betmore:

The whole point of the nba dogs is to win better than 55% to be profittable.  While you are cutting your loss if they lose but cover you are also cutting your profits when they win.  Overtime looks like it will hurt more than help.

I guess I'm not getting why you need to hit 55% to be profitable with the ML. It should be no different than NHL or MLB where 50% or even less is profitable. Are you confusing that with ATS? If we would have hit 2 tonight we would have been positive. Because I split the ML and ATS, I only ended up -1 unit instead of -4.
 
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Posted: #766
If Thinker's program is spitting out NBA dogs that should be hitting 50% of the time, then shouldn't the spread % be even higher? Splitting the bet may not give you as high a return, but it is a safer way to play and still be profitable. better than the totals IMO.
 
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Posted: #767

update for tuesday nov 9

Beginning Balance on sept 5 2010: $1000

Current Balance on nov 9 2010: $1770

 

Power Rating System: 139-149 (+$770)

 

breakdown:

mlb: 75-75 (+$437)

nhl: 47-38 (+$548)

nba: 2-12 (-$101)

FB: 15-24 (-$114)

 

TOP plays: 26-29 (-$310)

 

 

card for tuesday nov 9

289. calgary (+1.10) $35 to win $39

290. cleveland (+1.10) $15 to win $17

 

all lines are not out yet.. im pretty certain that is a final NHL card, sorry about that... there may be 1-2 additional nba plays tonight.

on the games that i have bet the NBA, the Programs record is a dismal (2-12) but in reality if every Program selection this season had been played, the record is (16-21) (+5.20 units)... so keep this in mind.. 

the nba dogs will not come close to 50%, they should hang on to 45% but they will be just as profitable there, as the nhl and mlb dogs will be at 50%.... the payback on the nba is much higher.

ill say this one more time, decide for yourself what to do with the nba plays, play them in any fashion you wish.. if i lose $300 playing them, i will stop but until then, ill continue to play each selection....

listen to this: i can afford to take this gamble, at this stage of the journey... next season there will be no chance of taking a gamble. the wagers will be much larger by that time...

 

check back later today for any further selection, if interested.. if i have a TOP play today, it will be posted at that time..

 

Thinker

 
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Posted: #768

looks now like there will be no further additions to tuesdays card..

 

Thinker

 
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Posted: #769
My mistake meant to type 45%
 
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Posted: #770
Thinker my man you have mail
 
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Posted: #771

blaaze i read it, sounds similar to a strategy that ive used... i used to use it in a "backward chase"... by that i mean, play until you lose and not win.. rolling 1/2 of the profits to the next bet... when you get a loss, the chase is over...

Thinker

 
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Posted: #772

Nice Night!

 
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Posted: #773

thanks man, ive really screwed the nba up thus far, thank goodness the season is young..

posted record: 3-12

actual monitored record: 17-21 (+6.30 units)

and i can tell you, in reality its better than that. metslider knows what im talking about..

 

im 43, by the time im 45, i want to be doing this fulltime, i believe the computer program that ive created can get me there... its sick as to how good its really been.

mlb: 75-75

nhl: 48-38

nba: 17-21

 

those are the real actual numbers...

we have also learned alot in the 66 days that ive ran this thread.. i wont be using football or totals for the project... they may fit into the TOP plays but they will no longer be considered for the project that we are conducting in this thread..

back later with update and card.

 

Thinker

 
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Posted: #774
Its still early in the process (at least from the standpoint of playing the games) so a few kinks here and there are expected.  Overall I know you are thrilled with the results thus far and so are we.  Keep on spitting out the ML dogs and growing the bank to 100k!!!
 
 
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Posted: #775

Thinker

I hope you reach your goal and do this fulltime

Since we are the same age  I doubt you are by Stat teacher from college,   He had us students working on on stat program,  about 10 years ago he quit teaching and quietly moved away

go puppies go

I love dogs

 

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