Therizz's NHL Opening Game Fav 2012-13

Trychome - Actually for your tracking purposes, this shouldn't be counted for an A game. This was game 2 of their 4 game homestand. They didn't qualify on Saturday 2/2 vs Edmonton. If I understand the rules of this system correctly, if they don't qualify for game 1 the chase is done. Correct?

That being said, they would have qualified for my double dip system since there were 3 games left.

Thoughts?

Regarding Colorado from Monday, I think we move that series chase to the one I'm tracking since it wouldn't qualify under the original rules for the Open game favorite chase. Maybe I need to rename my the "Any series that doesn't qualify under the Open Day Game Favorite chase"

Series 5-0 (Colorado B game pending Wednesday)

Double dip** chase system

We have Col on a B game tonight.

Series 5-0 (Colorado B game pending Wednesday)

Was brainstorming yesterday about this system and thought about fading teams on a 3 game or longer road trip. Without any filters here is what I came up with.

Current season: 10-0

2011/2012: 160-14

2010/2011: 141-21

Might be too many losses for a 3 game chase system, but I can look for some filters like not playing if road team is a fave in game 1.

Since I was pouring through data, I decided to check the double dip system.

Current season: 4-1 (Nashville, 2 on shootouts)

2011/2012: 96-6

2010/2011: 72-4

Also checked on if a 4 or more game road trip, just fading the last 3 games in a chase.

Current season: 3-1 (Nashville, 2 on shootouts)

2011/2012: 93-2

2010/2011: 80-8

Not sure what to make of all this, but I think I need to check a couple filters if possible.

Yes series losses. I tried the road fave filter but that didn't do much. Think I'll add this to the scrap pile.

Regarding COL, I'm tracking it under my system to stay consistent but not betting it. I've bet all the other chases (yours and mine).

Quote Originally Posted by SweetDickWormy:

Another thought, please remember I am not a hockey guy, but maybe goals for/goals against differential could be used as a filter to cut out most of the losses.  

Thanks for all your hard work Dan, I really think your on to something!  

I did a quick check on those losses and quite a few were from bad teams that were serious road dogs. That filter will not work. I will give it some more thought though and see if I can find something for next year.

Yes STL B game tonight. Also, Ottawa on the double dip chase.

Series 5-0 (Colorado C game pending on Feb 11)

I just did the 11/12 season and don't think it looks any better.

Regular 3 game chase (160-14 series, 160-90 overall):

A 97-44

B 45-32

C 18-14

Double dip chase (96-6 series, 96-72 overall)

A 56-46

B 26-20

C 14-6

Last 3 of a 4 or more road trip (94-3 series corrected, 94-69 overall)

A 49-48

B 30-18

C 15-3