Therizz's NHL Opening Game Fav 2013-14

Let's start a new thread for the new year. I will include the double dip plays as well. The double dip is not part of Therizz's system, it is something I tracked last year. Double dips went 26-2 last year (26-1 if I used the filter of only double dipping on teams that qualify for the regular system plays)

A 20-8

B 4-4

C 2-2

Possible plays for Thursday are Boston (3), Pitts (3), San Jose (3), STL (5). I'm expecting all but SJ to qualify.

Bart, I will be using an aggresive labby as described by Therizz in last year's thread on post 188.

from that post - I run an aggressive labby for this which works nicely as there are limited plays going on at any one time. If the lines get to heavy I just split the numbers.

Make a separate line for each Game level A, B, and C bets

50-50
50-50
50-50

Say I play 150 to win 100 on a Game 1. If it loses I split the amount and split it on that line and the one below

50-125
50-125
50-50

So my next A bet I play to win 175 as well as my B bet. This spreads the burden of recovering loses through all levels of games. If we go on a losing streak and the numbers get too big I will just split the bigger number. I try to do that very rarely. The biggest key is to make sure your original base bet is comfortable for your bankroll (I generally don't set it at more than 2-3% of my bankroll)

We used -130 last year, so I'll use that again.

How many games in a row at home.

Sorry for the late reply, I'm actually relaxing on the beach in Mexico and had to go local and bet pesos, lol. I'm not one to tell anyone how to bet or what they should bet. I'd be careful betting too much with a $1k bankroll because a modest losing streak could be trouble especially with high lines like today.

Some people prefer a strict Martingale chase where if you lose the first game (marked as A) you bet the second game (B game) what you lost on the first game PLUS what you want to profit. Doing this and going to a C game can be expensive.

With 4 teams going tonight I'd start with 4 seperate A game labby lines if you are doing labby. Any that win are obviously done with but any losers can just be bet with the next A games later on. For example, let's say your betting unit size is $50 and we go 2-2 tonight. I'd set up my lines like this (others can do it differently, the idea is to protect bankroll in case of a bad streak).

• 25-25 San Jose, -140 bet $70 to win $50
• 25-25 Boston, -200 bet $100
• 25-25 Pitt, -190 bet $95
• 25-25 STL, -210 bet $105

Say SJ and Boston win and are done those lines are complete. Pitt and STL lose their A games. We split the loss between the next A game line and the next B game lines.

 A game lines

• 25 - 72.50 ($25 plus 1/2 of the $95 lost)
• 25 - 77.50 ($25 plus 1/2 of the $105 lost)

B game lines

What this does is lower our risk on the game 2 of a 3 game chase and also for game 3 if it comes to that. We can regain those small loses on the next A and B game wins. If the lines get too big, you can add another line under any letter at anytime to spread out the lines and lower the amount per line.

I know that may be confusing. I liked what English Gent did when tracking the units on his thread last year and maybe I can replicate it, but modify to an aggressive labby line. Just plug in your betting size for the numbers I use.

So tonight we'd have 4 lines each consisting of 2 numbers of 1/2 a unit, betting to win 1 unit each. I'll include the lines for those that want to follow the labby line method. For those that run a strict Martingale chase, please disregard and ignore my lines and unit totals.

• .5 - .5
• .5 - .5
• .5 - .5
• .5 - .5

Here are the lines I'm using for today. If I was in Vegas I'd be able to check the lines at Cantor, but the ones below are fairly common:

Pitt -190

Bos -200

SJ -140

STL -200 (you can probably get this lower)