Therizz's NHL Opening Game Fav 2013-14

We have Van on the A game today. Nashville is not going to qualify.

Also, I'm going to stop posting the labby lines and units. Everyone bets differently and I'll let everyone track their own.

Regular system:

Record 4-0

A: 4-0

B

C

Double dip:

Record 1-0

A: 1-0

B

C

Van wins on the A game. Only a 3 game homestand so no double dip.

The next regular system possibilities are Thursday 10/10 with ANA (5), TB (7), Wash(5) and Friday 10/11 with Car (6) and Wpg (6).

On the double dip I doubt STL will qualify against Chicago on Wed. I'm showing -120 now, but we'll check it out.

Regular system:

Record 5-0

A: 5-0

B

C

Double dip:

Record 1-0

A: 1-0

B

C

STL is not going to qualify for the double dip. I have them at -120, can't see it going to -130 against Chicago. Their double dip is done.

Hopefully we'll get 3 plays Thursday on the regular system.

lilmojo, In your example you broke it down correctly after that loss. The next B game play would be to win $183. Say that line was -200, we'd drop $366 on that game with a loss, so B line would change to 50 - 316 and the C game would go to 50 - 233.

The next time you have an A game the bet would be 50 - 133 as you show. If you have two teams on an A game you can split this to 50 - 67 for each. I hope that helps.

Not sure I understand your other question. If you are asking about what to do after a 3 game loss, what I would do is add another line for the last game instead of transfering any of that game 3 loss to game 1 or 2 of another series. Example using the numbers above. If game 3 was -200 and we are betting $566 to win $288 (50 - 233) and that game lost instead of making the line 50 - 799, you can add another line or 2 under game 3 (C game) to look like:

• 50 - 400
• 50 - 400

or

• 50 - 200
• 50 - 200
• 50 - 200
• 50 - 200

There really is no right or wrong way to do this. Just depends on what you are comfortable betting. Some do strict Martingale and if they suffer a 3 game loss either just move on or try to get it back over the next few series by increasing the bet a bit.

Also since every game has won on the A game, we haven't had to deal with this yet.

Quote Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:

For those who need help with Aggressive Lab, go to this thread.  The Rizz explains it perfectly.  I also bumped it in the index.

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=79&sub=100871088

 

Thanks Buckeye.

If a team does not qualify for the FIRST game of the homestand the remaining games do not matter, it is a no play for games 2-????.

To qualify for a double dip, a team must first qualify for and win a game on the regular chase. After that win, if they have at least 3 games left on the homestand we look at that next game. If they qualify at -130 or higher odds it triggers a double dip play. If not -130, no double dip no matter how many games they have left, they would be done. Basically we treat the double dip with the same rules as the regular system. As long as there is at least 3 games left we start the qualifying process and chase anew.

Thursday 10/10:  ANA (5), TB (7), Wash(5) all qualify and are A game plays today. With 5, 7, 5 games we have some double dip opportunities if they clear quickly.

Regular system:

Record 5-0

A: 5-0

B

C

Double dip:

Record 1-0

A: 1-0

B

C

I personally play the ML. English Gent had a system that bet both the reg line and the ML on the top favorite each day and the reg line ran into a rather bad streak. I was surprised how many times the team won in OT/SO. Since I'm betting multiple systems, I keep my betting units relatively low for each one, so a -165 line isn't too bad at all. I just do a little line shopping here in Vegas and go with the system.

Do what you are comfortable with, but I'd hate to lose a reg bet only to see that team win in OT. Just win baby!

Thursday 10/10 RESULTS: ANA (5) and TB (7) win on the A game. Wash(5) loses on A game and goes to B game on Saturday.

Wpg and Carolina don't look like they will qualify Firday on the regular system. Will update as needed.

For the double dip - ANA has 4 games left starting Sunday. TB has 6 games left but I doubt they qualify on Saturday against Pitt.

Regular system:

Record 7-0

A: 7-1

B

C

Double dip:

Record 1-0

A: 1-0

B

C

Spreadsheet has one error:

For EDMOMTON you have a series beginning 3/1 vs CAL, the homestand actually starts 2/27 v MIN, CAL is gm 2...