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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Therizz's NHL Opening Game Fav 2013-14

    «First Previous 456 ... 202122 Next Last»
    Danrules24
    voodoopulling
    justin18
    System_Grind3r
    McVigorish
    ...
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    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2013 - 11:41 AM ET #76

    Quote Originally Posted by VegasVixen:

    Spreadsheet has one error:

    For EDMOMTON you have a series beginning 3/1 vs CAL, the homestand actually starts 2/27 v MIN, CAL is gm 2...

    Nice catch, thanks!

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Quote Originally Posted by VegasVixen:

    Spreadsheet has one error:

    For EDMOMTON you have a series beginning 3/1 vs CAL, the homestand actually starts 2/27 v MIN, CAL is gm 2...

    Nice catch, thanks!

     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2013 - 11:52 AM ET #77

    Friday 10/11: Carolina does not qualify. For Winnipeg I'm seeing some lines at -125 some at -130 (-135 at Ceasars/Rio). For offshore 5 dimes is -125, everyone looks to be -130. Covers is at -130.

    Based on that, I think we make it a play. If you can get it at less than -130, even better. Winnipeg A game it is!

    For the double dip - ANA has 4 games left starting Sunday. TB has 6 games left but I doubt they qualify on Saturday against Pitt.

    Regular system:

    Record 7-0

    A: 7-1

    B

    C

    Double dip:

    Record 1-0

    A: 1-0

    B

    C

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Friday 10/11: Carolina does not qualify. For Winnipeg I'm seeing some lines at -125 some at -130 (-135 at Ceasars/Rio). For offshore 5 dimes is -125, everyone looks to be -130. Covers is at -130.

    Based on that, I think we make it a play. If you can get it at less than -130, even better. Winnipeg A game it is!

    For the double dip - ANA has 4 games left starting Sunday. TB has 6 games left but I doubt they qualify on Saturday against Pitt.

    Regular system:

    Record 7-0

    A: 7-1

    B

    C

    Double dip:

    Record 1-0

    A: 1-0

    B

    C

     
    voodoopulling
    voodoopulling
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2013 - 12:28 PM ET #78

    Quote Originally Posted by VegasVixen:

    Spreadsheet has one error:

    For EDMOMTON you have a series beginning 3/1 vs CAL, the homestand actually starts 2/27 v MIN, CAL is gm 2...


    Good Eye, thanks for double checking me.  I have made the correction.  let me know if you find any others
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    Quote Originally Posted by VegasVixen:

    Spreadsheet has one error:

    For EDMOMTON you have a series beginning 3/1 vs CAL, the homestand actually starts 2/27 v MIN, CAL is gm 2...


    Good Eye, thanks for double checking me.  I have made the correction.  let me know if you find any others
     
    justin18
    justin18
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2013 - 3:56 PM ET #79

    it's -113 on pinnacle..., I don't play it. 
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    it's -113 on pinnacle..., I don't play it. 
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2013 - 4:24 PM ET #80

    Quote Originally Posted by justin18:

    it's -113 on pinnacle..., I don't play it. 

    Yep, I just took a quick look and the line has dropped everywhere.

    NO PLAY on WPG.

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Quote Originally Posted by justin18:

    it's -113 on pinnacle..., I don't play it. 

    Yep, I just took a quick look and the line has dropped everywhere.

    NO PLAY on WPG.

     
    System_Grind3r
    System_Grind3r
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2013 - 3:29 AM ET #81

    GREAT SPREAD SHEET! At first it looked confusing, but now I see you have it formated, where any game that we have as a play pops up in a black highlight. Fantastic work. 

    I see possible plays tomorrow being:
    WAS (B) *why are they favorite against COL? 
    TB (A) underdog does not qualify
    NAS (A) underdog does not qualify
    TOR (A) vs EDM

    Some times I wish I did not look at records or stats, but looking at WAS tomorrow I am bewildered to how they are the favorite with their offensive performance this year. Is there a .500 filter for this system or strictly just playing the odds? Considering skipping it and waiting for a better spot. 
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    GREAT SPREAD SHEET! At first it looked confusing, but now I see you have it formated, where any game that we have as a play pops up in a black highlight. Fantastic work. 

    I see possible plays tomorrow being:
    WAS (B) *why are they favorite against COL? 
    TB (A) underdog does not qualify
    NAS (A) underdog does not qualify
    TOR (A) vs EDM

    Some times I wish I did not look at records or stats, but looking at WAS tomorrow I am bewildered to how they are the favorite with their offensive performance this year. Is there a .500 filter for this system or strictly just playing the odds? Considering skipping it and waiting for a better spot. 
     
    McVigorish
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2013 - 3:51 AM ET #82

    Quote Originally Posted by System_Grind3r:

    GREAT SPREAD SHEET! At first it looked confusing, but now I see you have it formated, where any game that we have as a play pops up in a black highlight. Fantastic work. 

    I see possible plays tomorrow being:
    WAS (B) *why are they favorite against COL? 
    TB (A) underdog does not qualify
    NAS (A) underdog does not qualify
    TOR (A) vs EDM

    Some times I wish I did not look at records or stats, but looking at WAS tomorrow I am bewildered to how they are the favorite with their offensive performance this year. Is there a .500 filter for this system or strictly just playing the odds? Considering skipping it and waiting for a better spot. 

    My thoughts exactly.  With the way the Avs have been playing.....I thought we could get the Caps at at least -110 or so.....but the value clearly lies with Colorado here.  

    If not for the system giving me second thoughts I would normally think about pounding the avs in this position...

    I guess we stick with the system?  Toronto looks quite appealing at -140.  
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    Quote Originally Posted by System_Grind3r:

    GREAT SPREAD SHEET! At first it looked confusing, but now I see you have it formated, where any game that we have as a play pops up in a black highlight. Fantastic work. 

    I see possible plays tomorrow being:
    WAS (B) *why are they favorite against COL? 
    TB (A) underdog does not qualify
    NAS (A) underdog does not qualify
    TOR (A) vs EDM

    Some times I wish I did not look at records or stats, but looking at WAS tomorrow I am bewildered to how they are the favorite with their offensive performance this year. Is there a .500 filter for this system or strictly just playing the odds? Considering skipping it and waiting for a better spot. 

    My thoughts exactly.  With the way the Avs have been playing.....I thought we could get the Caps at at least -110 or so.....but the value clearly lies with Colorado here.  

    If not for the system giving me second thoughts I would normally think about pounding the avs in this position...

    I guess we stick with the system?  Toronto looks quite appealing at -140.  
     
    McVigorish
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2013 - 3:53 AM ET #83

    Oops Leafs up to -165 already LOL 
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    Oops Leafs up to -165 already LOL 
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2013 - 1:00 PM ET #84

    Can't blame anyone for laying off Wash here. I'm not betting it, I'll just make up the A game loss later or on Toronto.

    Just an FYI - NAS was not even a consideration for today. They did not qualify for the regular chase on the first game of the homestand on 10/8 so they don't qualify for anything the whole homestand.

     

    For Saturday: Toronto A game on the regular chase. Wash B game on the regular chase (I will post for system record only, personally not playing).

    For the double dip - ANA has 4 games left starting Sunday. TB did not qualify vs Pitt and they are done.

    Regular system:

    Record 7-0

    A: 7-1

    B

    C

    Double dip:

    Record 1-0

    A: 1-0

    B

    C

     

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Can't blame anyone for laying off Wash here. I'm not betting it, I'll just make up the A game loss later or on Toronto.

    Just an FYI - NAS was not even a consideration for today. They did not qualify for the regular chase on the first game of the homestand on 10/8 so they don't qualify for anything the whole homestand.

     

    For Saturday: Toronto A game on the regular chase. Wash B game on the regular chase (I will post for system record only, personally not playing).

    For the double dip - ANA has 4 games left starting Sunday. TB did not qualify vs Pitt and they are done.

    Regular system:

    Record 7-0

    A: 7-1

    B

    C

    Double dip:

    Record 1-0

    A: 1-0

    B

    C

     

     
    TheBeefMan
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2013 - 1:32 PM ET #85

    Nice work! I'm using a .530 filter; a team has to have a record of .530 or higher at the start of the home stand. I also dont use the -130. So the Caps weren't a play for me, and Carolina was yesterday. BOL
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    Nice work! I'm using a .530 filter; a team has to have a record of .530 or higher at the start of the home stand. I also dont use the -130. So the Caps weren't a play for me, and Carolina was yesterday. BOL
     
    System_Grind3r
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2013 - 1:50 PM ET #86

    so consensus of this thread is a no play on WAS, but playing TOR correct? Other system I am following as EDM, so hopefully toronto wins by exactly 1! 
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    so consensus of this thread is a no play on WAS, but playing TOR correct? Other system I am following as EDM, so hopefully toronto wins by exactly 1! 
     
    TheBeefMan
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2013 - 5:31 PM ET #87

    Quote Originally Posted by System_Grind3r:

    so consensus of this thread is a no play on WAS, but playing TOR correct? Other system I am following as EDM, so hopefully toronto wins by exactly 1! 

    Washington is a play, but the guy who runs the thread is choosing not to play it. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by System_Grind3r:

    so consensus of this thread is a no play on WAS, but playing TOR correct? Other system I am following as EDM, so hopefully toronto wins by exactly 1! 

    Washington is a play, but the guy who runs the thread is choosing not to play it. 
     
    McVigorish
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2013 - 9:36 PM ET #88

    Played was against my better judgment 
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    Played was against my better judgment 
     
    System_Grind3r
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2013 - 10:08 PM ET #89

    If i was doing a straight chase (martingale) i definitely would not of played washington. I relying heavily on labby doing most of the work for us. System has proven itself, so just kinda got to bet blind some times. Systems went 2-1 for me today, so I am up a little bit. I am hoping SJ hits and i pick up  1.6u on PL, 1u on ML, and 6 units in my parlay :)   Becoming quite the hockey season and not all systems are in full swing yet. 

    Fantastic job running the thread thus far. Guy running it on SBR, is not following the filters, so i think it might end badly for him long run. Anyone know the results without applying the -130 filter? 
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    If i was doing a straight chase (martingale) i definitely would not of played washington. I relying heavily on labby doing most of the work for us. System has proven itself, so just kinda got to bet blind some times. Systems went 2-1 for me today, so I am up a little bit. I am hoping SJ hits and i pick up  1.6u on PL, 1u on ML, and 6 units in my parlay :)   Becoming quite the hockey season and not all systems are in full swing yet. 

    Fantastic job running the thread thus far. Guy running it on SBR, is not following the filters, so i think it might end badly for him long run. Anyone know the results without applying the -130 filter? 
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2013 - 3:43 AM ET #90

    Saturday RESULTS: Toronto wins on the A game and are done (only 3 game homestand) on the regular chase. Wash lost on the B game, goes to C game on Monday vs. Edmonton. Tuesday we have possible plays with NYI and Philly.

    For the double dip - ANA has 4 games left starting Sunday. Looks like they will qualify.

    Regular system:

    Record 8-0

    A: 8-1

    B: 0-1

    C

    Double dip:

    Record 1-0

    A: 1-0

    B

    C

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Saturday RESULTS: Toronto wins on the A game and are done (only 3 game homestand) on the regular chase. Wash lost on the B game, goes to C game on Monday vs. Edmonton. Tuesday we have possible plays with NYI and Philly.

    For the double dip - ANA has 4 games left starting Sunday. Looks like they will qualify.

    Regular system:

    Record 8-0

    A: 8-1

    B: 0-1

    C

    Double dip:

    Record 1-0

    A: 1-0

    B

    C

     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2013 - 12:23 PM ET #91

    Sunday - Anaheim is a play on the A game of the double dip.
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Sunday - Anaheim is a play on the A game of the double dip.
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2013 - 12:03 AM ET #92

    Sunday RESULTS: On the double dip, Ana wins on the A game. They have 3 games left so we'll see if they qualify for another double dip chase starting Wednesday.

    Regular chase - Wash goes to C game on Monday vs. Edmonton. Tuesday we have possible plays with NYI and Philly.

     

    Regular system:

    Record 8-0

    A: 8-1

    B: 0-1

    C

    Double dip:

    Record 2-0

    A: 2-0

    B

    C

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Sunday RESULTS: On the double dip, Ana wins on the A game. They have 3 games left so we'll see if they qualify for another double dip chase starting Wednesday.

    Regular chase - Wash goes to C game on Monday vs. Edmonton. Tuesday we have possible plays with NYI and Philly.

     

    Regular system:

    Record 8-0

    A: 8-1

    B: 0-1

    C

    Double dip:

    Record 2-0

    A: 2-0

    B

    C

     
    System_Grind3r
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2013 - 1:54 AM ET #93

    I played the B bet for Washington against my better judgement against COL so I will continue to play the system. The line seems pretty high for tomorrows game, but I think its for a good reason. Even though Washington has been scoring less goals than EDM, EDM has been allowing 4-6 goals every game. I think Washington has a good chance vs them tomorrow. Will be betting on WAS and MIN tomorrow for my two systems. 

    Thanks again for the excellent updating Danrules24. 

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    I played the B bet for Washington against my better judgement against COL so I will continue to play the system. The line seems pretty high for tomorrows game, but I think its for a good reason. Even though Washington has been scoring less goals than EDM, EDM has been allowing 4-6 goals every game. I think Washington has a good chance vs them tomorrow. Will be betting on WAS and MIN tomorrow for my two systems. 

    Thanks again for the excellent updating Danrules24. 

     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2013 - 12:32 PM ET #94

    I'll be on Wash too but for only 1 unit. I'm running labby lines so this will be the first game bet on the C line.
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    I'll be on Wash too but for only 1 unit. I'm running labby lines so this will be the first game bet on the C line.
     
    McVigorish
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2013 - 4:53 PM ET #95

    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    I'll be on Wash too but for only 1 unit. I'm running labby lines so this will be the first game bet on the C line.

    With you here.  Not only am I betting the Caps, taking then at -1 +108.  They have been defensively porous and offensively impotent....except vs Calgary during that miracle comeback.  

    One unit on the C line - not even going to go larger on this bet.  Here's to edm looking ahead to the Pens tomorrow and hopefully hungover still from the leafs beating.

    GL all 
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    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    I'll be on Wash too but for only 1 unit. I'm running labby lines so this will be the first game bet on the C line.

    With you here.  Not only am I betting the Caps, taking then at -1 +108.  They have been defensively porous and offensively impotent....except vs Calgary during that miracle comeback.  

    One unit on the C line - not even going to go larger on this bet.  Here's to edm looking ahead to the Pens tomorrow and hopefully hungover still from the leafs beating.

    GL all 
     
    stickbit
    stickbit
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2013 - 6:18 PM ET #96

    Hey Dan,
    Curious are you running TheRizz aggressive labby style or different type of labby?
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    Hey Dan,
    Curious are you running TheRizz aggressive labby style or different type of labby?
     
    leo81
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2013 - 6:27 PM ET #97

    Dan do you split your 1 unit between b &c or on c only?
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    Dan do you split your 1 unit between b &c or on c only?
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2013 - 7:02 PM ET #98

    I am running an agressive labby line as TheRizz described.

    I took Washington's A loss and split between the next A and B game. A loss on a B game would be split between B and C. If that made the B bet a little too large for my liking due to a previous amount added to it, I might just make a 2nd B line.

     

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    I am running an agressive labby line as TheRizz described.

    I took Washington's A loss and split between the next A and B game. A loss on a B game would be split between B and C. If that made the B bet a little too large for my liking due to a previous amount added to it, I might just make a 2nd B line.

     

     
    Bart_
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2013 - 7:07 PM ET #99

    Go Capitals

    Off topic, but what do the green bars below people's avatar's mean? 
    I don't think it's the number of posts, I see some "veterans" with no bars and some with lots of bars. 
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    Go Capitals

    Off topic, but what do the green bars below people's avatar's mean? 
    I don't think it's the number of posts, I see some "veterans" with no bars and some with lots of bars. 
     
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2013 - 7:23 PM ET #100

    Good question bart. No idea on the green bars under the avatars. Maybe someone smarter than us can educate us. lol
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Good question bart. No idea on the green bars under the avatars. Maybe someone smarter than us can educate us. lol
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