What about also... GB -2.5 (lost by 3) Balt +8.5 (lost by 14)
This "theory" only worked out so well because so many dogs happened to win SU this week. That is not typically the case.
the green bay game they were leading by 7 in the first half therefore they didn't cover the point spread +6 and they didn't cover the 2nd half. On the raven game 17-7 in the first half which they didn't cover spread + 6 and the 2nd half raven -4 which result a tie. Every Sunday we have 13 game if I can get 10 W and 3 L it's a successful week. With this system I can chose more intelligently than betting a full game. Betting half time is like you watch a movie half way and know what's the ending going to be.
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Quote Originally Posted by depeche2:
What about also... GB -2.5 (lost by 3) Balt +8.5 (lost by 14)
This "theory" only worked out so well because so many dogs happened to win SU this week. That is not typically the case.
the green bay game they were leading by 7 in the first half therefore they didn't cover the point spread +6 and they didn't cover the 2nd half. On the raven game 17-7 in the first half which they didn't cover spread + 6 and the 2nd half raven -4 which result a tie. Every Sunday we have 13 game if I can get 10 W and 3 L it's a successful week. With this system I can chose more intelligently than betting a full game. Betting half time is like you watch a movie half way and know what's the ending going to be.
How does this work for predicting over/unders for the second half?
This system work with over and under but the rate is not as high as point spread. For example the total of the game is 42. 2 options
#1 42+6=48 point over #2 42-6=36 point under
let's say 1st half point total is 24 and the first half over under is 20.5 or 21
now 2nd half total spread is 21.5. option #1 I take 48(total spread) - 24(1st half) = 24. option #2 I take 36(total spread) - 24(1st half) = 12
In this case I will pick option 1 and play OVER 21.5 in the 2nd half because it will happened easier than UNDER 12. All of this calculation only help to chose more intelligent in the 2nd.
However, you need to look at the game and see if it's a competative game or a blow out game. Blow out game in NFL normally go under in the 2nd half.
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Quote Originally Posted by Trav2282:
How does this work for predicting over/unders for the second half?
This system work with over and under but the rate is not as high as point spread. For example the total of the game is 42. 2 options
#1 42+6=48 point over #2 42-6=36 point under
let's say 1st half point total is 24 and the first half over under is 20.5 or 21
now 2nd half total spread is 21.5. option #1 I take 48(total spread) - 24(1st half) = 24. option #2 I take 36(total spread) - 24(1st half) = 12
In this case I will pick option 1 and play OVER 21.5 in the 2nd half because it will happened easier than UNDER 12. All of this calculation only help to chose more intelligent in the 2nd.
However, you need to look at the game and see if it's a competative game or a blow out game. Blow out game in NFL normally go under in the 2nd half.
Hey thank you very much for taking the time to explain that to me. I'm saving up a bankroll to knock the books next year and I plan on taking your advice on 2nd half picks. I like what you say a lot and totally agree with your comment about Vegas' control - with the money it makes there's no telling what/who the bosses over there have their hooks into.
Thanks again YNC be good!
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Hey thank you very much for taking the time to explain that to me. I'm saving up a bankroll to knock the books next year and I plan on taking your advice on 2nd half picks. I like what you say a lot and totally agree with your comment about Vegas' control - with the money it makes there's no telling what/who the bosses over there have their hooks into.
thanks for the appreciation. I wish everyone win more. Another tips for 2nd half betting, sometime sport book will change the point spread or juice 5 minutes before kick off to confuse the wise guy(guy who wait to see point moving before kick off and make their bet base on that), just stick with your choice sometime they move the total up 1/2 or 1 point to make you think the total will go over
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thanks for the appreciation. I wish everyone win more. Another tips for 2nd half betting, sometime sport book will change the point spread or juice 5 minutes before kick off to confuse the wise guy(guy who wait to see point moving before kick off and make their bet base on that), just stick with your choice sometime they move the total up 1/2 or 1 point to make you think the total will go over
I only play late afternoon or night game with this system for NCAA bc I feel like people will bet more at the night game therefore the point spread will be tighter. But if you check yesterday NCAA
kansas st vs kansas and USF vs W Virginia they both winner in the 2nd half with this system.
But like I said NCAA have too many game therefore it's hard to pick out the game to play.
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I only play late afternoon or night game with this system for NCAA bc I feel like people will bet more at the night game therefore the point spread will be tighter. But if you check yesterday NCAA
kansas st vs kansas and USF vs W Virginia they both winner in the 2nd half with this system.
But like I said NCAA have too many game therefore it's hard to pick out the game to play.
thanks for the appreciation. I wish everyone win more. Another tips for 2nd half betting, sometime sport book will change the point spread or juice 5 minutes before kick off to confuse the wise guy(guy who wait to see point moving before kick off and make their bet base on that), just stick with your choice sometime they move the total up 1/2 or 1 point to make you think the total will go over
spot on my man...
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Quote Originally Posted by yncibrc:
thanks for the appreciation. I wish everyone win more. Another tips for 2nd half betting, sometime sport book will change the point spread or juice 5 minutes before kick off to confuse the wise guy(guy who wait to see point moving before kick off and make their bet base on that), just stick with your choice sometime they move the total up 1/2 or 1 point to make you think the total will go over
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