hi Retburj and Pie, i know you guys are having a better tennis year than me
won gulbis, lost anderson and raonic, pushed wawrinka...overall a 1-2, -2 day posted...
i had an ok day as i took anderson at even money after 2 sets, and more importantly took tsonga at around +275 after he went down a set vs raonic...but to tell you the truth, raonic is not mentally all there yet...that match was his for the taking and he let tsonga off the hook...he played a terrible game to lost the match, double faulting on match point, hitting a forehand way wide, and missing an easy volley..he has a lot of work to do still
quarters today...i think berdych should win but i won't touch that match...if anything, i would play anderson +4 games
rafa vs fed tonight should be a great match...fed looked like he was going to beat wawa in straights before he got broken serving for the match..rafa on the other hand played a very tough gulbis and looked very good in my eyes..he is moving great, hitting the ball well and always gives fed problems...i am on nadal here
tomorrow djokovic should beat tsonga and i think i will be on del potro handicap over murray...delpo crushed haas
Nadal +110 vs Federer 2 units to 2.2
nadal wins easily 4 and 2...fed did not look right, line was wrong anyway as nadal is 19-10 vs fed
djokovic will roll tsonga today.......i will play djokovic -4.5...don't see him winning any worse than 4 and 3..small play because if tsonga serves first nole could get a break in each set and win 4 and 4...djokovic hasn't lost this year, winning both the tournaments he's played and i dont' see him having trouble with tsonga who hasn't looked great vs fish or raonic
the big bet today is del potro...he played lights out vs haas...he is hitting the ball clean, the court favors him as the ball slows down when it hits the court but also travels through the air fast...murray and delpo haven't played each other since 2009...murray had troubles with berlocq, don't see him winning easily 4 and 4
Del Potro +190 vs Murray 2 to win 3.8
Del Potro +3 games -120 vs Murray 1.8 to win 1.5
Djokovic -4.5 games -120 vs Tsonga 1.5 to win 1.25
Miami 4th Round:
Cilic is playing steadier than before and should have a shot outright vs Tsonga
Berdych has played a ton of tennis recently (went 3 yesterday, saved 2 mp) and will be playing in the middle of the afternoon after vs querrey who had the day off
small play on nishikori who has beaten ferrer before
Cilic +185 and +3 games vs Tsonga
Querrey +260 and +3.5 games vs Berdych
Nishikori +300 and +4 games vs Ferrer
keep up the run pie
cilic wins in straight sets over tsonga...querrey couldn't last an hour and nishikori got rolled...down a little bit yesterday even though cilic was my largest play
haas dominated djokovic last night...nice to see a 30+ man beat the number 1 with his daughter being able to watch dad
melzer will get rolled by ferrer...haas/simon could be a good match tonight but will trade it...may be on cilic handicap vs murray tomorrow...cheers
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