Tennis(Roland Garros)

how did u get kubot at +105, hes atleast -150 almost everywhere

Kubot actually opened at +115 and dropped immediately before I could get it.

Nadal is struggling badly on serve with Andujar surprisingly controlling the rallies, Rafa's playing scared for whatever reason so the under is looking lost. Going to need a bunch of breadsticks or a 2 and 1 in the next few sets to push.

Hats off to Andujar here, unbelievable how much he's improved over the last year.

2-1 +1.27

(91-118 -17.28 YTD)

Good call on KUBOT as he steamsrolls...

n3, you think Nadal under vs Veic is a good play?

Imo yes, cause Nadal really needs to get an easy, fast match after these hard ones...

He's due to whip someone if he fixes his errors so it will depend on the game line vs Veic. Books will be sneaky and bank on people playing the over with Rafa's play so far.

Nice call on Mayer - I tailed you on that and Fognini. Thanks!

Congrats on the positive day Neg

Small, small lean to Wawa even though Tsonga whipped him in an earlier exho last week as he seems to have found some form after a mediocre clay season. He handled the big serve of Schoorel really well so that's a good sign and I think he can counter Tsonga's power from the baseline. Andreev kept it tight at times vs the Frenchman but he killed himself with stupid UEs, Wawa should be much better in that aspect. Will definitely be a fun match to watch with Tsonga's aggressive hitting and if Stan can get back to his attacking play he'll force Jo to go for too much with his shots and that could be the difference.

Fognini should win ugly vs GGL who had serious troubles with his serve in his last few matches. I don't think the Spainard's legs will last in a best of 5 versus someone of the Italian's style. Lopez has enough power to cause problems for Fognini, who can go AWOL for long periods of a match, but in the end I think he gets frustrated, racks up the UEs and falls short to the fresher Italian.

2* Monfils/Fognini -112

2* Youzhny -125
Youzhny's horrible run over the last few months seems to be behind him just in time for another deep run here at the French.  He meets another struggling player coming off a disappointing clay season as well but his troubles might be attributed more to a decline in skills due to his age. For as good as Montanes was last year with some impressive wins it may have been his last positive season as he hit the magical age of 30 and it showed earlier this year with his play. He's never advanced past the third round at Roland Garros despite his clay pedigree and I don't think it will happen here. The Russian represents a bad matchup for him as he does almost everything better than the Spaniard that should be  aided by the quicker courts here. Montanes only real advantage is maybe a mental edge as he's a true fighter and plays until the last shot. Ultimately I think Youzhny's variety will be too much to handle and his previous round wins will be a big boost to his sometimes fragile psyche.

Great writeups as usual Neg. BOL.

cheers tommy, need to start posting your plays again

Yeah Neg, I sure do. Just don't have the time I would like right now.

Like the Fognini play. He's looked mightly impressive his last few matches and don't think Garcia-Lopez is in good enough form with his serve to stop the Italian's momentum. You never know with Fognini's head games and inconsistencies though.

I got Fognini in a parlay as well.

Fognini not looking good early on.

1-1 -0.5

(92-119 -17.78 YTD)

Youz played like crap.

yes he did, thought he might make a match of it with the comeback in the 2nd set after going down 0-4 but I guess he blew his wad fighting back as the tiebreaker was horrific. It was all over after that.

any opinion on the joker match? i got the under at 35.5 games.

Joker's movement and improved defense should be too much for Pony to hit through, it's not the right surface for him to end Djokovic's streak. Under looks good here, although I would like to see a huge upset to help Nadal out.

2* Simon/Chela -107

BOL Neg. I don't know why, but I like value on both '09 champs at this point to win it again. Fed and Kuz. They both look great right now.

Love Kanepi tomorrow. What do you think Neg?