halep -4.5 vs ostapenko really? why is it so high?
(1) Ostapenko has played a garbage ton of matches recently (this will be her 13th within the last 3 weeks) and she is playing like it. For starters her 1st serve % has been absolute garbage and no-one has any excuse not knowing her 2nd serve is THE prime weakness of her game; it's only the fact that the string of mental midgets she's drawn to play recently have had no ability whatsoever to take advantage of it. Unlike those midgets, Halep is only the best returner currently in the game.
(2) Against the last 5 players Osta's faced ranked inside the top 40, she's only won 4 of 12 sets played. 3 losses in straight sets & no wins in straight sets.
(3) Hard courts are not her best surface: since 2014 her winning % for all amcthes played on hard courts is 58.7% versus 76.5% for all matches played on clay (this year specifically: 65.6% versus 80.0%) - no coincidence her first Slam title came on the latter surface. While she may have won a hc title recently, one only has to look at the lineup of players she beat (none ranked inside the top 60 at the time) to realise it doesn't mean a lot here.
(4) Add in the tiny detail outline in post #71 of this thread, and that's all anyone needs to know.
Of course the FO final result established for all time that Halep is a mental midget who can snatch defeat from the jaws of victory at any moment, so the above offering isn't designed to try and say halep is any sort of lock here. But it is the basis for why the line is so attractive for the woman who benefited from that FO final choke. My take is what I said in post #71: I will not bet against Halep other than live given everything is perfect for her here, while Ostapenko is far from playing well at all.
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Quote Originally Posted by Cuno144:
halep -4.5 vs ostapenko really? why is it so high?
(1) Ostapenko has played a garbage ton of matches recently (this will be her 13th within the last 3 weeks) and she is playing like it. For starters her 1st serve % has been absolute garbage and no-one has any excuse not knowing her 2nd serve is THE prime weakness of her game; it's only the fact that the string of mental midgets she's drawn to play recently have had no ability whatsoever to take advantage of it. Unlike those midgets, Halep is only the best returner currently in the game.
(2) Against the last 5 players Osta's faced ranked inside the top 40, she's only won 4 of 12 sets played. 3 losses in straight sets & no wins in straight sets.
(3) Hard courts are not her best surface: since 2014 her winning % for all amcthes played on hard courts is 58.7% versus 76.5% for all matches played on clay (this year specifically: 65.6% versus 80.0%) - no coincidence her first Slam title came on the latter surface. While she may have won a hc title recently, one only has to look at the lineup of players she beat (none ranked inside the top 60 at the time) to realise it doesn't mean a lot here.
(4) Add in the tiny detail outline in post #71 of this thread, and that's all anyone needs to know.
Of course the FO final result established for all time that Halep is a mental midget who can snatch defeat from the jaws of victory at any moment, so the above offering isn't designed to try and say halep is any sort of lock here. But it is the basis for why the line is so attractive for the woman who benefited from that FO final choke. My take is what I said in post #71: I will not bet against Halep other than live given everything is perfect for her here, while Ostapenko is far from playing well at all.
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