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Bodio's MLB Mon 10/03 (Playoffs)

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Posted: #26
 
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Posted: #27
BOL sir!
 
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by bodio:


And Tigers just don't want it tonight eh?
So because Tigers have Porcello in game 4, they don't want to win game 3.  Very interesting... 

we're not supposed to play emotions anyway, right?

i'm tailing.

scary to think if nyy loses tonight that their playoff chances ride on burnett on the road.

 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by CRS:

Bodio question concerning your units and earnings: I assume you are playing 1,000 per unit based on your figures of + 27.81 units. So all your plays are for 1 unit right? Your average loser is around -112 on the average. Am i fairly close? I'm questiong because i never noticed any different wagering amounts when you post the plays, Thanks alot

Correct
I flat-bet.  

 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by Qncyk1:

we're not supposed to play emotions anyway, right?

i'm tailing.

scary to think if nyy loses tonight that their playoff chances ride on burnett on the road.


You can play 'emotions' if you want, but to say that one team wants it more than another is just ludicrous.  
 
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Posted: #31
How can you stay disclipline bodio ? If you dont like the game your passing on but gamblers like us cant really escape the MNF deadzone
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by bodio:


Correct
I flat-bet.  

Thanks for the quick response GL tonight.
 
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Posted: #33
on both as well, makes me even more confident. let's get it!
 
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Posted: #34
Hitting the texas play as well! 
 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by redemption2012:

How can you stay disclipline bodio ? If you dont like the game your passing on but gamblers like us cant really escape the MNF deadzone

The amount of $$ I wager is very substantial for me.  That's why I treat this as an investment and not 'gambling'.  Helps pass on 50/50 games.  If you want to 'gamble', then throw a small bet on the MNF game for some 'action'. 
 
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Posted: #36
BOL
 
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Posted: #37
What's up bodio..... I'm not liking verlanders record with that ump behind the plate bro... I'm rolling with the yanks
 
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Posted: #38
Good luck tonight Bodio...thanks for all the hard work and willingness to share...
 
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Posted: #39
First sellout for TB this season since opening day.
Lewis better be lights out to silence what will be
a very loud, supportive crowd.  TB's offense right now is much
different (better) than it was all season.  Will be hard for
anyone to shut them down the way they are swinging the bats.

You are as good as anyone on here, bod, but wondering
if you're "out of step" on this series.  Expect Price to be sharper
than Shields was Saturday.  (btw, posted general thoughts on the Rays in your Sat thread).   Keep doin' what your doin'...mb
 
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Posted: #40
  BOD, I'm on both overs!!!!
www.Lucky-Bet.site => Bet on Sports - 50% Deposit Bonus
 
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Posted: #41
Thanks for your insight , Bodio.  GL  Bro   
 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by Yank_my_sox:

What's up bodio..... I'm not liking verlanders record with that ump behind the plate bro... I'm rolling with the yanks

What's his record, who were the opponents, what dates, and where did those games take place? 
 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by Monkeybongos:

First sellout for TB this season since opening day.
Lewis better be lights out to silence what will be
a very loud, supportive crowd.  TB's offense right now is much
different (better) than it was all season.  Will be hard for
anyone to shut them down the way they are swinging the bats.

You are as good as anyone on here, bod, but wondering
if you're "out of step" on this series.  Expect Price to be sharper
than Shields was Saturday.  (btw, posted general thoughts on the Rays in your Sat thread).   Keep doin' what your doin'...mb

didn't have a chance to check any threads this weekend -- very busy.  What are your general thoughts on Rays? 
 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by bodio:


UNDER would be a play at 8.  Pass at 7.5


Line moved to 8.
 
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Posted: #45
good luck Bodio. Thanks again as always 
 
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Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by JMAG:



Line moved to 8.

like the under
 
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Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by bodio:

2011 MLB Record:
201 - 155 @ 56% for +27.81 Units



2011 MLB Playoffs:
1 - 2 @ 0% for -1.20 Units

Mon 10/03

#2: Detroit Tigers -125

In the first game of this series I've backed CC and the Yankees at home. Of course the game got suspended to a later day and my wager was cancelled. Well today, I'm backing the Tigers with the same pitchers on the mound. The question is why? Is home-field really that important? In my opinion, yes it is. Check out Sabathia's last 3 starts in Detroit:

04/27/2009: 8 innings / 6 hits / 4 ER's / 1 HR / Result: Lost 4-2
05/13/2010: 6 innings / 9 hits / 6 ER's / 2 HR / Result: Lost 6-0
05/03/2011: 7 innints / 10 hits / 4 ER's / 0 HR / Result: Lost 4-2

It's safe to say that he's struggled a bit playing in Comerica Park. At the same time he's been much better against the Tigers when facing them in Yankee stadium. Is this just a 'random' fluctuation or is there something to it? Not sure as the sample size is pretty small. But what I do know is that the Tigers have had the 2nd best offense and the 4th best bullpen in the last 30 days of the season. Comparatively, Yankees' offense was 15th during this span and their bullpen ranked 28th (sure they didn't use some of their best relievers in a couple of games during the stretch). That's part of the reason why New York had twice as many losses than the Tigers in the month of September (12 to 6). I like Detroit's chances in this home game behind Verlander.

Good luck!
 
Last month you vehemently argued that 30 ABs against one pitcher (Capuano of the NYMs) was too small of a sample size to determine whether the StL Cards bats (Pujols, Berkman, etc.) had an edge on him.
 
Now you're saying that 3 games @ Comerica - over a 3 year stretch - may be sufficient to determine that CC pitches poorly there? 
 
Sounds like someone's using any argument to get the warm, fuzzy feeling to support the Tigers over the Yanks.
 
BTW, you were right. I agree that NYY were trying hard to beat the Rays those last 3 games.
 
I'm on the Tigers this game, so BOL to you. But I was also on the Tigers in G1.
 
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Posted: #48

Texas 1st 5 inn pk, -1/2 +130

A push will cancel it out. Like Texas early in games, and the Rays coming from behind.

I think you focused a lot on the starters tonight, which leads me to believe you don't envision a ton of scoring(?) Seems the 1st few games were uncharacteristically higher than normal--as if the hitters were using big wide ass cricket bats.

 

 
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Posted: #49

Total Crack Rock bet I just placed.  Tailed someone else, called it in....thought it was a "Bodio Influence" wager and next thing I know....I log into covers and see you just placed the opposite of what I thought you had. 

HMMMM>"HE WASNT WHO I THOUGHT HE WAS"!!!!  Sad....just sad.  I hope you lose dude......lol GL nevertheless!!!

 
 
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I saw the stats easily in cc's favor....it was this mornings ESPN sportscenter and the stats they showed was when both pitchers went head to head the tonight's ump behind the dish
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