California (-5) over Stanford. The Golden Bears are showing excellent value when they host the Stanford Cardinals at the Haas Pavilion tonight. California is 11-4 at home on the year, while Stanford is just 4-6 on the road. The Golden Bears have been much stronger in conference play as well. California is 12-5 SU and 10-5 ATS against Pac 12 opponents this year, where the Cardinals are just 8-9 SU and ATS. The home team has covered 9 of the last 10 times these schools have played each other. And the lone road cover was by the Golden Bears, on March 6th of 2010 as 5 1/2 point chalk. We like this home trend to continue, as California outperforms tonight's visitor in shooting, rebounding, blocking, and overall defense. Stanford is just 7-12 ATS against all winning teams they've faced this year, and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The California Golden Bears are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a winning record, and they're rolling with a 5-1-1 ATS mark in their last 7 overall. We'll gladly lay the points to side with Golden Bears tonight on their home court.
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From a source on a 14-5 run...
California (-5) over Stanford. The Golden Bears are showing excellent value when they host the Stanford Cardinals at the Haas Pavilion tonight. California is 11-4 at home on the year, while Stanford is just 4-6 on the road. The Golden Bears have been much stronger in conference play as well. California is 12-5 SU and 10-5 ATS against Pac 12 opponents this year, where the Cardinals are just 8-9 SU and ATS. The home team has covered 9 of the last 10 times these schools have played each other. And the lone road cover was by the Golden Bears, on March 6th of 2010 as 5 1/2 point chalk. We like this home trend to continue, as California outperforms tonight's visitor in shooting, rebounding, blocking, and overall defense. Stanford is just 7-12 ATS against all winning teams they've faced this year, and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The California Golden Bears are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a winning record, and they're rolling with a 5-1-1 ATS mark in their last 7 overall. We'll gladly lay the points to side with Golden Bears tonight on their home court.
DET +4 (GM 2 OF 3) (system says to recover losses only, GM1 said it was a 1% or 1 unit profit play, up to you!)
GOLDEN ST. -10 (GM1 OF 3) (2% or 2 unit profit play)
You may have to buy points to get these lines. These lines are official system lines and these lines are how the play is determined to be a winner or loser. Your risk if you play another line!
I am currently seeing Det at +3 and GS at -11.5. That sucks but I always try to get as close to the official line as possible.
Only once this year has a chase where instructions were to recover losses only has the game lost, and that was with Buffalo in NHL.
NO NHL CHASE PLAYS FOR WEDNESDAY
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*OFFICIAL NBA CHASE PLAYS*
DET +4 (GM 2 OF 3) (system says to recover losses only, GM1 said it was a 1% or 1 unit profit play, up to you!)
GOLDEN ST. -10 (GM1 OF 3) (2% or 2 unit profit play)
You may have to buy points to get these lines. These lines are official system lines and these lines are how the play is determined to be a winner or loser. Your risk if you play another line!
I am currently seeing Det at +3 and GS at -11.5. That sucks but I always try to get as close to the official line as possible.
Only once this year has a chase where instructions were to recover losses only has the game lost, and that was with Buffalo in NHL.
The simulator shows a
high probability that Nevada will lose this game by eight or fewer
points. It also projects a serious potential for a major upset.
Nevada is a solid 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after
playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 3 seasons; 15-5
ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since
1997; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after 5 or more consecutive losses since
1997. In their previous game, New Mexico defeated Nevada by 13 points,
75-62 and pushed on the line. Nevada struggled hitting just 40.7%, but
remained competitive. I strongly believe that Nevada will execute well
enough to put a real score into the Lobos and possibly get a shocking
upset. Further, Nevada is 38-18 ATS (+18.2 Units) revenging a loss where
opponent scored 75 or more points since 1997.
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Here's one I couldn't resist...
Nevada +9
The simulator shows a
high probability that Nevada will lose this game by eight or fewer
points. It also projects a serious potential for a major upset.
Nevada is a solid 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after
playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 3 seasons; 15-5
ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since
1997; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after 5 or more consecutive losses since
1997. In their previous game, New Mexico defeated Nevada by 13 points,
75-62 and pushed on the line. Nevada struggled hitting just 40.7%, but
remained competitive. I strongly believe that Nevada will execute well
enough to put a real score into the Lobos and possibly get a shocking
upset. Further, Nevada is 38-18 ATS (+18.2 Units) revenging a loss where
opponent scored 75 or more points since 1997.
The Charlotte Bobcats were the worst team in the NBA a year ago. They
opened the season with a hopeful 7-5 start, but that was quickly exposed
as an illusion. They are once again the doormat in the NBA. The latest streak is seven
straight in the loss column both straight-up and ATS. This team has
quit, losing 15 of 17 ATS. They aren't even close to competing, as
evidenced by their last six games where they have lost by an NBA record
146 points. That losing margin breaks down to an average of -24.3 points
per game. Until further notice, there is only one way to play this and
that is against them. Go with Brooklyn.
Home Dog great than +3 after at least 3 away 5-16 ATS.
My play in BRO -9
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Quote Originally Posted by Angle4U999:
More info on the Nets...
The Charlotte Bobcats were the worst team in the NBA a year ago. They
opened the season with a hopeful 7-5 start, but that was quickly exposed
as an illusion. They are once again the doormat in the NBA. The latest streak is seven
straight in the loss column both straight-up and ATS. This team has
quit, losing 15 of 17 ATS. They aren't even close to competing, as
evidenced by their last six games where they have lost by an NBA record
146 points. That losing margin breaks down to an average of -24.3 points
per game. Until further notice, there is only one way to play this and
that is against them. Go with Brooklyn.
Home Dog great than +3 after at least 3 away 5-16 ATS.
One more then gone. Higher ranked team getting points on road take home favorite
Iowa St -3
This game means a lot more to the Cyclones than it does to the
Cowboys. Iowa State has played great at home with a 15-1 record. This
is also a revenge game for the Cyclones who blew a big lead late in the
game and ended up losing by two points on the road against Oklahoma
State back in January.The Cyclones know they are a bubble team right now and they need a
strong finish in their last two games of the season. Playing at home is
a huge advantage for Iowa State. They have a 7-3 ATS record as a home
favorite and they have already proven they can play with Oklahoma State. The Cyclones are the better team even though their record may not
reflect it. They have had trouble closing out games, but most of that
trouble has come on the road. Playing on the comfort of their home
court and trying to secure an NCAA Tournament bid should be more than
enough to change the outcome of this conference showdown.
0
One more then gone. Higher ranked team getting points on road take home favorite
Iowa St -3
This game means a lot more to the Cyclones than it does to the
Cowboys. Iowa State has played great at home with a 15-1 record. This
is also a revenge game for the Cyclones who blew a big lead late in the
game and ended up losing by two points on the road against Oklahoma
State back in January.The Cyclones know they are a bubble team right now and they need a
strong finish in their last two games of the season. Playing at home is
a huge advantage for Iowa State. They have a 7-3 ATS record as a home
favorite and they have already proven they can play with Oklahoma State. The Cyclones are the better team even though their record may not
reflect it. They have had trouble closing out games, but most of that
trouble has come on the road. Playing on the comfort of their home
court and trying to secure an NCAA Tournament bid should be more than
enough to change the outcome of this conference showdown.
Going to try out a chase system on some single plays that have been hitting recently.
Team to score first. Hit with Boston and Montreal yesterday. I've been crunching some first period numbers and adding in the home advantage.
For
the first game on the chase system tonight I would be looking at the
Toronto VS Ottawa game (disclaimer: I am a die hard Toronto fan)
Ottawa 1ST period goals for 0.48 against 0.70 Toronto 1ST period goals for 0.96 against 0.57
Taking
into account the battle of Ontario and the fact the Sens are still
missing their three best players. Spezza, Karlsson and goalie Craig
Anderson. This first chase might go a while if it doesn't hit tonight
due to the teams Toronto is playing next (Pittsburgh etc who also like
to score 1st).
Teams last three games
Ottawa @ islanders – Islanders score first,
in the 1st Ottawa @ Philly - Philly scores first in the 2nd Ottawa @ Boston - Boston scores 1st in the 2nd
NJ @ Toronto – Toronto scores 1st,
in the 1st Toronto @ NY islanders – islanders score 1st, in the 1st Montreal @ Toronto – Toronto scores 1st, in the 1st
1 unit Toronto to score first.
0
Going to try out a chase system on some single plays that have been hitting recently.
Team to score first. Hit with Boston and Montreal yesterday. I've been crunching some first period numbers and adding in the home advantage.
For
the first game on the chase system tonight I would be looking at the
Toronto VS Ottawa game (disclaimer: I am a die hard Toronto fan)
Ottawa 1ST period goals for 0.48 against 0.70 Toronto 1ST period goals for 0.96 against 0.57
Taking
into account the battle of Ontario and the fact the Sens are still
missing their three best players. Spezza, Karlsson and goalie Craig
Anderson. This first chase might go a while if it doesn't hit tonight
due to the teams Toronto is playing next (Pittsburgh etc who also like
to score 1st).
Teams last three games
Ottawa @ islanders – Islanders score first,
in the 1st Ottawa @ Philly - Philly scores first in the 2nd Ottawa @ Boston - Boston scores 1st in the 2nd
NJ @ Toronto – Toronto scores 1st,
in the 1st Toronto @ NY islanders – islanders score 1st, in the 1st Montreal @ Toronto – Toronto scores 1st, in the 1st
I think Phoenix and SJ Sharky can win outright, Chicago loves one goal
games this year and so do the Sens, let’s see what happens.
Chicago is 4-13 against the puck line as a favorite this year. Anahiem is 3-6 against the puck line as favorite this year. Calgary 2-7 against the puck line as favorite. Toronto 3-6 against the puck line as favorite.
+1.5 Colorado 9-7 APL as dog. Phoenix 6-4 APL as dog. SJ 3-1 APL as dog. Ottawa 10-3 APL as dog.
I'd rather play these as single bets but the juice is too high. Hopefully they all hit. =)
Ottawa Senators +1½ (-245)
Colorado Avalanche +1½ (-160)
San Jose Sharks +1½(-320)
Phoenix Coyotes +1½ (-235)
CA$ 25.00
to win
CA$ 82.03
0
I think Phoenix and SJ Sharky can win outright, Chicago loves one goal
games this year and so do the Sens, let’s see what happens.
Chicago is 4-13 against the puck line as a favorite this year. Anahiem is 3-6 against the puck line as favorite this year. Calgary 2-7 against the puck line as favorite. Toronto 3-6 against the puck line as favorite.
+1.5 Colorado 9-7 APL as dog. Phoenix 6-4 APL as dog. SJ 3-1 APL as dog. Ottawa 10-3 APL as dog.
I'd rather play these as single bets but the juice is too high. Hopefully they all hit. =)
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. Another easy winner for the dogchasers . Thanks guys !
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