What up my man. I know your already looking at lines and movement. Looks like Sixers, Sixers under, and Lakers under are on track to be system so far. Im excited about 3 plays. Lakers under already dropped around 3 pt.
Its not gonna qualify as system because opened at -6 and moved to -5.5 with more consensus on Denver but that Lakers game seems suspicious. After losing 2 in a row and already losing last time at home when open at -6 they open there again. This makes me think they cover this time. And busters will take Denver because of 2 wins in a row and they don't want to make same mistake twice. And that Sharps don't know what to do because theres no equation to account for Kobe calling out Bynum and Gasol and how theyll react. But just makes me think Vegas expects them to cover.
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Czech,
What up my man. I know your already looking at lines and movement. Looks like Sixers, Sixers under, and Lakers under are on track to be system so far. Im excited about 3 plays. Lakers under already dropped around 3 pt.
Its not gonna qualify as system because opened at -6 and moved to -5.5 with more consensus on Denver but that Lakers game seems suspicious. After losing 2 in a row and already losing last time at home when open at -6 they open there again. This makes me think they cover this time. And busters will take Denver because of 2 wins in a row and they don't want to make same mistake twice. And that Sharps don't know what to do because theres no equation to account for Kobe calling out Bynum and Gasol and how theyll react. But just makes me think Vegas expects them to cover.
I like Denver also. Plus I'm reading forums and looking around and there's plenty of busters on the Lakers. Plus you can bet most of the later money comin in is gonna be on the lakers.
I think both dogs and both unders are looking sharp so far.
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I like Denver also. Plus I'm reading forums and looking around and there's plenty of busters on the Lakers. Plus you can bet most of the later money comin in is gonna be on the lakers.
I think both dogs and both unders are looking sharp so far.
Idk man, lakers could cover, but I'm not sold at all on the public being on Denver. I was a little surprised to see covers guys taking Denver on the contests but lets think real money for a second. This is a game 7 playoff game. Lakers are at home. Lakers win playoff series' and win championships. I don't think the busters are gonna back Denver tonight. Read all the other forums on this site. They're all talkin about lakers at least the ones I opened. Late money should pound lakers, a least that's my prediction. Even with 55% or whatever it is on Denver IMO Vegas is smart and wouldn't need to move the line for that. It's not like they don't know lakers busters will pound lakers later. Their money hasn't hit yet. This move still feels sharp to me.
I think it's prob the right line actually. The game is supposed to be tough. I am rooting for Denver to win outright tonight. I know this thread is about my system and not my own biases, but I have been behind den and Mem the whole way when everyone else thought they were done. Now here we are with Denver in game 7. They could lose tonight but I think they could win also.
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Hey geno- sorry just read your whole post.
Idk man, lakers could cover, but I'm not sold at all on the public being on Denver. I was a little surprised to see covers guys taking Denver on the contests but lets think real money for a second. This is a game 7 playoff game. Lakers are at home. Lakers win playoff series' and win championships. I don't think the busters are gonna back Denver tonight. Read all the other forums on this site. They're all talkin about lakers at least the ones I opened. Late money should pound lakers, a least that's my prediction. Even with 55% or whatever it is on Denver IMO Vegas is smart and wouldn't need to move the line for that. It's not like they don't know lakers busters will pound lakers later. Their money hasn't hit yet. This move still feels sharp to me.
I think it's prob the right line actually. The game is supposed to be tough. I am rooting for Denver to win outright tonight. I know this thread is about my system and not my own biases, but I have been behind den and Mem the whole way when everyone else thought they were done. Now here we are with Denver in game 7. They could lose tonight but I think they could win also.
And let's delve a little deeper. My book has Denver 5 EV right now. Not quite a full point move, but more than 1/2 pt. why would they move this? Because public has leaned slightly towards den so far?
Keep in mind also that it's the last game on the board. It's a Saturday game 7. Most busters out there won't bet this game early except on parlays. They're also gonna be pounding lakers ML, and by lowering the line Vegas is offering a cheaper ML price.
None of this adds up to lakers looking remotely sharp IMO. I think some sharps laid some wood on Denver already and got the line moving. IMO if Vegas liked lakers they wouldn't open it so low as -6, and definitely wouldn't lower the spread knowing people were gonna hammer lakers every which way later.
Denver doesn't technically qualify yet under my original 101 rules simply because of rule 2, and I concede that, but in light of these other factors I still feel Denver is the sharp play so far. I just don't see why Vegas would lower this line unless Denver was the threat.
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And let's delve a little deeper. My book has Denver 5 EV right now. Not quite a full point move, but more than 1/2 pt. why would they move this? Because public has leaned slightly towards den so far?
Keep in mind also that it's the last game on the board. It's a Saturday game 7. Most busters out there won't bet this game early except on parlays. They're also gonna be pounding lakers ML, and by lowering the line Vegas is offering a cheaper ML price.
None of this adds up to lakers looking remotely sharp IMO. I think some sharps laid some wood on Denver already and got the line moving. IMO if Vegas liked lakers they wouldn't open it so low as -6, and definitely wouldn't lower the spread knowing people were gonna hammer lakers every which way later.
Denver doesn't technically qualify yet under my original 101 rules simply because of rule 2, and I concede that, but in light of these other factors I still feel Denver is the sharp play so far. I just don't see why Vegas would lower this line unless Denver was the threat.
I was also thinking something else about Vegas. They're right next to Cali. How many Cali residents driving to Vegas to bet Denver tonight? If I lived there and was a buster Lakers fan I would. Vegas knows all of that. Denver has all the momentum right now and the one major thing goig for Lakers is they're at home. Denver already knows they can beat Lakers and I hope they do tonight also. System may well no-play that pick, but All of this was in response to you saying Vegas expects lakers to cover. I think Vegas knows they MIGHT but I think Denver has the edge ats. Denver would or at least should be favored at home. I'll take the 5 points and no juice.
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I was also thinking something else about Vegas. They're right next to Cali. How many Cali residents driving to Vegas to bet Denver tonight? If I lived there and was a buster Lakers fan I would. Vegas knows all of that. Denver has all the momentum right now and the one major thing goig for Lakers is they're at home. Denver already knows they can beat Lakers and I hope they do tonight also. System may well no-play that pick, but All of this was in response to you saying Vegas expects lakers to cover. I think Vegas knows they MIGHT but I think Denver has the edge ats. Denver would or at least should be favored at home. I'll take the 5 points and no juice.
Tonight Czech's gang make their attack on the forces of Sin City. Each one of the riders knows they could be riding to their deaths. This is no easy campaign. The riders know they have already cheated death many times, and tonight they ride with one resolve, to bring down the books.
No word yet on their plan of attack. An inside source tells us they're looking at the dogs tonight, at least one, and at least one under, although we couldn't confirm which.
We will keep you updated with the latest news from inside the camp.
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--BREAKING NEWS--
CZECH'S GANG SADDLES UP, PREPARES TO ATTACK
Tonight Czech's gang make their attack on the forces of Sin City. Each one of the riders knows they could be riding to their deaths. This is no easy campaign. The riders know they have already cheated death many times, and tonight they ride with one resolve, to bring down the books.
No word yet on their plan of attack. An inside source tells us they're looking at the dogs tonight, at least one, and at least one under, although we couldn't confirm which.
We will keep you updated with the latest news from inside the camp.
I'll post my plays today in advance. Phi and the under both clearly qualify so far but haven't jumped yet. Lakers game is still under review. I think we may see some reverse movement later for the busters. Can't call anything just yet but my personal leans are both dogs and both unders so far.
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I'll post my plays today in advance. Phi and the under both clearly qualify so far but haven't jumped yet. Lakers game is still under review. I think we may see some reverse movement later for the busters. Can't call anything just yet but my personal leans are both dogs and both unders so far.
Denver is at 5 -110 now. Totals seemed to bottom out. The B's are starting to fire. It's gonna be interesting up until game time. Not qualifying anything til 15 minutes pre-game for both games.
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Denver is at 5 -110 now. Totals seemed to bottom out. The B's are starting to fire. It's gonna be interesting up until game time. Not qualifying anything til 15 minutes pre-game for both games.
Guys I hope you all know we can't be expecting 4-0 tonight. Or 3-0 whatever it winds up being. If you count all the picks so far from 101, 2.0, plus the ones I came into this thread with from the other thread, we're way over 60% right now. We could easily have a bad night tonight and go 1-3 or something.
Stay disciplined. I'm enthused about the games tonight. Just don't want everyone to expect 3-1 or 4-0 and if we do worse think the world is ending.
Stay disciplined and stick to the script. Observe rule 3. You shouldn't fail any of my picks unless you like them also.
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Guys I hope you all know we can't be expecting 4-0 tonight. Or 3-0 whatever it winds up being. If you count all the picks so far from 101, 2.0, plus the ones I came into this thread with from the other thread, we're way over 60% right now. We could easily have a bad night tonight and go 1-3 or something.
Stay disciplined. I'm enthused about the games tonight. Just don't want everyone to expect 3-1 or 4-0 and if we do worse think the world is ending.
Stay disciplined and stick to the script. Observe rule 3. You shouldn't fail any of my picks unless you like them also.
Interesting movement going on now. As I predicted we're seeing reverse movement and also seeing a correlation in late money coming in on lakers, and Boston, and the Boston over.
Most interesting line on the board is the lakers total. I thought it had found bottom and now they've adjusted it down to 194. Everything is screaming under in that game. They're begging people to take the over.
I won't take anything that reverses past the open, and that has happened with the Boston total. Everyone is on the over but the system will have to no-play that one. Other 3 are still potential.
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Interesting movement going on now. As I predicted we're seeing reverse movement and also seeing a correlation in late money coming in on lakers, and Boston, and the Boston over.
Most interesting line on the board is the lakers total. I thought it had found bottom and now they've adjusted it down to 194. Everything is screaming under in that game. They're begging people to take the over.
I won't take anything that reverses past the open, and that has happened with the Boston total. Everyone is on the over but the system will have to no-play that one. Other 3 are still potential.
What a trash system. You havent even updated your stats the last pages... Maybe you should re-read your rule number 2...
What are you talking about buster? Rule 2 doesn't have anything to do with updating anything, it has to do with fading busters. On that note can we have your picks please??
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Quote Originally Posted by Asomugha:
What a trash system. You havent even updated your stats the last pages... Maybe you should re-read your rule number 2...
What are you talking about buster? Rule 2 doesn't have anything to do with updating anything, it has to do with fading busters. On that note can we have your picks please??
This is an example of the quintessential buster, Ms Asumugha.
Eating popcorn like you are paying attention yet you think it's a trash system.
Folks this is why I'm inviting any followers to friend me for future information. You may have noticed that I have not shared any specifics about 2.0, and I've also been working on a baseball system as well. Football many of the same concepts from 101 will apply but it is more complicated as well, and I'm not releasing any of that stuff to the pos busters like Asswipe that just commented.
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This is an example of the quintessential buster, Ms Asumugha.
Eating popcorn like you are paying attention yet you think it's a trash system.
Folks this is why I'm inviting any followers to friend me for future information. You may have noticed that I have not shared any specifics about 2.0, and I've also been working on a baseball system as well. Football many of the same concepts from 101 will apply but it is more complicated as well, and I'm not releasing any of that stuff to the pos busters like Asswipe that just commented.
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