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Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how

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James35

Veteran

Joined: Nov, 2011

Posts: 1627

Posted: Dec. 27, 2012 - 6:34 AM ET #151

SportsMavin - Followed your thread in NFL and thought it was good reading. New to NBA (as fan, and gambler), and I think your advice is very solid. Question: What is your general opinion/experience about people who post multiple plays for a single night. I know in the past, especially in NFL, it's a recipe for disaster. I think the road to a positive bankroll is to pick your best 1-2 games. That said, I lost 4 units tailing someone by putting in all 6 of his plays (I would never blame that person.....it was my decision to tail and play that many games and tail to start with). I've alway felt that with proper handicapping in football, if you can pull out 1 - 2 that you have high confidence in, you're doing well. Nice job, and look forward to reading more from you. This stuff takes a lot of time, so appreciate your contribution!

fiire

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2006

Posts: 167

Posted: Dec. 27, 2012 - 7:17 AM ET #152

First capper on this forum for a long time, who makes the impression that he knows what he is doing.

Hope you stay for a while.

BOL

jimmythejap

Veteran

Joined: Feb, 2010

Posts: 1244

Posted: Dec. 27, 2012 - 7:44 AM ET #153

Quote Originally Posted by SportsMavin:

So, recapping today:

MILWAUKEE Bucks -4 (-110) 110$

108-93 Win +100$

SA Spurs - TORONTO Raptors Under 200 (-110) 110$

100-80 Win +100$

PHILADELPHIA 76ers +9 (-110) 110$

99-89 Win +100$

DENVER Nuggets -3.5 (-110) 110$

126-114 Win +100$

Today 4-0 +400$

Total: 8-1 +580$

simply marvelous mavin thanks

x 4

kapostsss

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2012

Posts: 36

Posted: Dec. 27, 2012 - 9:36 AM ET #154

What about today? Lines starting to show up. Like LAC vs BOS under 190.5 and Boston to cover +8.5

rishi23

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 3

Posted: Dec. 27, 2012 - 10:01 AM ET #155

Damn! Mr Marvin is for real! I've been reading all your posts all week! All of your picks was a christmas gift!

Odds1_stinker

Veteran

Joined: Dec, 2008

Posts: 2323

Posted: Dec. 27, 2012 - 11:14 AM ET #156

SportsMavin

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 5295

Posted: Dec. 27, 2012 - 12:45 PM ET #157

kapostsss. Thanks.

Now, please tell me why you like Under at the Staples Center and Boston to cover? I'm not doubting your plays - but would like to hear your reasoning for such early leans

SportsMavin

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 5295

Posted: Dec. 27, 2012 - 12:53 PM ET #158

Quote Originally Posted by James35:

SportsMavin - Followed your thread in NFL and thought it was good reading. New to NBA (as fan, and gambler), and I think your advice is very solid. Question: What is your general opinion/experience about people who post multiple plays for a single night. I know in the past, especially in NFL, it's a recipe for disaster. I think the road to a positive bankroll is to pick your best 1-2 games. That said, I lost 4 units tailing someone by putting in all 6 of his plays (I would never blame that person.....it was my decision to tail and play that many games and tail to start with). I've alway felt that with proper handicapping in football, if you can pull out 1 - 2 that you have high confidence in, you're doing well. Nice job, and look forward to reading more from you. This stuff takes a lot of time, so appreciate your contribution!

My main goal besides producing profits on a permanent bases is developing the tools and methodology for successful sports handicapping. Number of the games played at a given night should be derived from the quality of the chosen picks but should not exceed a preset number of plays for the reason of maintaining control over the bankroll. In that sense - having 2 successful picks is way better than going 4-2 or even 6-3 as the risk level rises with each pick and the money dedicated to it. Because 6-3 means it could easily went 5-4 or 4-5 etc and risking 9 units on one night would be stupid IMO. But with 2 or 3 picks - even occasional bad evening is not a tragedy you have to work few days to get it back or even worse - chase it and ruin your whole bankroll

SportsMavin

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 5295

Posted: Dec. 27, 2012 - 12:55 PM ET #159

Quote Originally Posted by fiire:

First capper on this forum for a long time, who makes the impression that he knows what he is doing.

Hope you stay for a while.

BOL

SportsMavin

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 5295

Posted: Dec. 27, 2012 - 12:56 PM ET #160

Quote Originally Posted by jimmythejap:

simply marvelous mavin thanks

x 4

X 4

bunny651

Captain

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 6705

Posted: Dec. 27, 2012 - 12:57 PM ET #161

This is one of the myths that I never understand. Obviously, if a person is playing every game on board, that would be a problem. Otherwise, why wouldn't he play them all if those games qualify under the criterias he set out?

SportsMavin

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 5295

Posted: Dec. 27, 2012 - 12:57 PM ET #162

Quote Originally Posted by rishi23:

Damn! Mr Marvin is for real! I've been reading all your posts all week! All of your picks was a christmas gift!

We all need money for extra consuming on Holidays. The big corporations and Hallmark are very happy with that gift

SportsMavin

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 5295

Posted: Dec. 27, 2012 - 1:08 PM ET #163

Quote Originally Posted by bunny651:

True, criteria is an important factor but see post #160

SportsMavin

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 5295

Posted: Dec. 27, 2012 - 1:08 PM ET #164

Quote Originally Posted by Odds1_stinker:

Doedy

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 32

Posted: Dec. 27, 2012 - 1:09 PM ET #165

great job man

picks for tonight

ERBATIZ

Veteran

Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 2179

Posted: Dec. 27, 2012 - 1:09 PM ET #166

SportsMavin

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 5295

Posted: Dec. 27, 2012 - 1:11 PM ET #167

Quote Originally Posted by KillEmAllAgain:

Mavin, I dont feel safe with OKC -10, I think with Dirk back that he can provide SOME offensive help, yes Dallas stinks on the road this year, +10 is looking like money in the bank... Your thoughts

Thursday has its characteristics and one of them is that the games have to be capped close to the tip off if at all. Two games today and as I believe - players themselves did not decide yet where they wanna take us tonight. It is definitely is not a landslide wins night. So, right now I don't even have leans. Later

Doedy

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 32

Posted: Dec. 27, 2012 - 1:11 PM ET #168

Nets just FIRED AVERY JOHNSON

SportsMavin

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 5295

Posted: Dec. 27, 2012 - 1:12 PM ET #169

doedy

ERBATIZ

SportsMavin

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 5295

Posted: Dec. 27, 2012 - 1:15 PM ET #170

Quote Originally Posted by Doedy:

Nets just FIRED AVERY JOHNSON

Doedy

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 32

Posted: Dec. 27, 2012 - 1:18 PM ET #171

hey marv any thoughts on the college games tonight ,alot more games than the NBA

bunny651

Captain

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 6705

Posted: Dec. 27, 2012 - 1:20 PM ET #172

Quote Originally Posted by SportsMavin:

True, criteria is an important factor but see post #160

Respectfully, you are missing my point. Case in point, a friend of mine has been making money betting NBA for last 7 years. He would have as many as 6-7 plays a night or as little as none. He manages to win so it doesn't make any sense why he should limit to a # of plays per night. There are different ways to skin a cat so to speak.