Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how

So, after the line and odds have been released by LVSC, doctored by the Books, changed by the wagers placed by the Wise Guys and the Sharps - the general public gets it's turn. The general public bets first wave is influenced by all kinds of so called "experts" who either sell their picks or generally sell but sometimes released them for free. Touts if you will. They usually release their picks early and their clients - some big and some small - all take a shot. The line changes again or does not change - depending on the volume of the bets. And at this stage - the books are applying reevaluation tools while the traders from most books cooperate on an effort to balance the bets using the tools at their disposal. Why balance the bets? The easiest way for the books to make earnings is through the Juice. If it was up to them - they would never tamper with any lines or odds as long as all the bets would be balanced evenly and the juice and the public losses on parlays and live betting(yes, parlays are a great income source for the books as are the live betting consoles) would be only source for their gain. But, the bets not always are balanced because they can't catch up to the money wagered with releasing appropriate lines/odds and are forced to artificially change the lines and odds in that case. It does not happen very often and only reducing a risk factor for them and is called Reverse Line Movement initiated by the books. The other kind of "RLM" is only a virtual RLM and is seen by us when most public bets are on one side while the line moves the other way because some fat money bets being placed. So, two occasions when the "public is on one side"(actually most bets, but not most of the money) and the line moves opposite - "kosher RLM", and "Non Kosher RLM" when the fat money as well as the majority of the bets are on one side and the line moves to another as a result of books initiated RLM to make us think where the game is going to. 

Must be noted that among the tools the books use to manipulate public into betting on a certain side they're sure they'll have a hard time to balance the bets for are Media, Touts in their service.

So, when we say we are rolling with the book, we have to know which way the book is really rolling. 

To be continued...

I just noticed i picked all away teams....oh well haha

btw Kings+7 is just a lean that i am looking at.....again not a game just a lean...so my final games are

Agree, love the orderly fashion, much easier for all to follow that way. And agree with most your pics, although I don't like the jazz +9.  I'm also a bit concerned with Jared jack being out and not positive the warriors will win, but with giving 6 points seems like a very reasonable bet.

1 other I want to throw out there is spurs -13.5, I usually hate games with that many points, but with the relatively low total o/u, I think Vegas is expecting a blowout, and I am too with the sixers so bad on the road and in middle of a lot of road games. Could very easily see spurs winning in a blowout over 20. I haven't actually put money on this yet, but its the game I'm most leaning towards

I'm surprised you're sifting through at all, considering your earlier comments in this thread...

the rest all look solid to me,expect cavs to hang around a bit but surely not for the full 48 and its damn well about time somebody anhihalated that over-matched,under-talented bunch in orlando...i cant figure how they continue to stay in every single game up till the end,just fiesty i guess.

thanks alot for sharing melos

Agreed.  DEFINETELY a character trait that I'm somewhat devoid of...lol.  Forgive my sarcasm, Austintx11...