Wow Kap is really wounded. The guy must be on a serious downswing. Man I don't care what you think Kap. I am here just to interact with positive people. It is funny how you just attack attack attack, call me a liar, but you have no basis. Get a life man. I mean 32,000 posts? Anywanys, last time I respond to that long term loser, in sports and in life. It is so obvious anywhere with misdirected hate is just a loser.
I like Toronto Fuzz because of a few reasons.First, they are 2nd in turnover rate at home. They also have a better true shooting % at home vs. DET on the road. Detroits offensive efficiency is pretty bad. They are averaging 94.7 points on the road and giving up 97. Toronto has been playing very well. They are playing with a new swagger. They are on a 4 game win streak and going for 5 for the first time in years. -3.5 is also a great number.
Teams protect 6 or less (2 poss) a lot harder then a 8 point lead. That is why I avoid certain spreads. Same with SAS tonight. Do you think they will care if they are up by 13 with a minute to go to play top D? They don't. Raps will cover. GL
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Wow Kap is really wounded. The guy must be on a serious downswing. Man I don't care what you think Kap. I am here just to interact with positive people. It is funny how you just attack attack attack, call me a liar, but you have no basis. Get a life man. I mean 32,000 posts? Anywanys, last time I respond to that long term loser, in sports and in life. It is so obvious anywhere with misdirected hate is just a loser.
I like Toronto Fuzz because of a few reasons.First, they are 2nd in turnover rate at home. They also have a better true shooting % at home vs. DET on the road. Detroits offensive efficiency is pretty bad. They are averaging 94.7 points on the road and giving up 97. Toronto has been playing very well. They are playing with a new swagger. They are on a 4 game win streak and going for 5 for the first time in years. -3.5 is also a great number.
Teams protect 6 or less (2 poss) a lot harder then a 8 point lead. That is why I avoid certain spreads. Same with SAS tonight. Do you think they will care if they are up by 13 with a minute to go to play top D? They don't. Raps will cover. GL
Wow Kap is really wounded. The guy must be on a serious downswing. Man I don't care what you think Kap. I am here just to interact with positive people. It is funny how you just attack attack attack, call me a liar, but you have no basis. Get a life man. I mean 32,000 posts? Anywanys, last time I respond to that long term loser, in sports and in life. It is so obvious anywhere with misdirected hate is just a loser.
I'm down units YTD absolutely, won units the last four days. This little thing called variance, ever heard of it?
You are not here to interact with positive people. You're here to pick up followers and then go tout. I've seen it a thousand times. I'm not stupid. You're pissed at me because I'm calling you out on your bull****.
First it was "no gimmicks.... except I want you to think I'm sharp and I'm from MIT so you will trust me more." Then it was "I only play +EV situations... I just happened to find 10 +EV situations out of a 13 game sample."
Give it a rest, you aren't fooling anyone.
I don't attack, attack, attack people who are legitimately here to help. You are not here to do that. If you were, you wouldn't have talked about "we" so much in your initial post. "We" will start with this bankroll. When "we" increase our bankroll by 100%. I also don't just attack without offering my thoughts. You may not know it since you have only "joined" in December of 2012, but there are plenty of people here who can vouch for my contributions to the NBA forum -- not just this year but in years past as well.
I love how you pull the "hater" card too. The only people I ever hear talk about "haters" are people who, in reality, don't like getting told the truth and called out on their bull****.
Mark it down. I'm calling it now. This guy will go tout sooner rather than later. Don't say I didn't try to tell you.
Smooches.
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Quote Originally Posted by MITkid:
Wow Kap is really wounded. The guy must be on a serious downswing. Man I don't care what you think Kap. I am here just to interact with positive people. It is funny how you just attack attack attack, call me a liar, but you have no basis. Get a life man. I mean 32,000 posts? Anywanys, last time I respond to that long term loser, in sports and in life. It is so obvious anywhere with misdirected hate is just a loser.
I'm down units YTD absolutely, won units the last four days. This little thing called variance, ever heard of it?
You are not here to interact with positive people. You're here to pick up followers and then go tout. I've seen it a thousand times. I'm not stupid. You're pissed at me because I'm calling you out on your bull****.
First it was "no gimmicks.... except I want you to think I'm sharp and I'm from MIT so you will trust me more." Then it was "I only play +EV situations... I just happened to find 10 +EV situations out of a 13 game sample."
Give it a rest, you aren't fooling anyone.
I don't attack, attack, attack people who are legitimately here to help. You are not here to do that. If you were, you wouldn't have talked about "we" so much in your initial post. "We" will start with this bankroll. When "we" increase our bankroll by 100%. I also don't just attack without offering my thoughts. You may not know it since you have only "joined" in December of 2012, but there are plenty of people here who can vouch for my contributions to the NBA forum -- not just this year but in years past as well.
I love how you pull the "hater" card too. The only people I ever hear talk about "haters" are people who, in reality, don't like getting told the truth and called out on their bull****.
Mark it down. I'm calling it now. This guy will go tout sooner rather than later. Don't say I didn't try to tell you.
I like Toronto Fuzz because of a few reasons.First, they are 2nd in turnover rate at home. They also have a better true shooting % at home vs. DET on the road. Detroits offensive efficiency is pretty bad. They are averaging 94.7 points on the road and giving up 97. Toronto has been playing very well. They are playing with a new swagger. They are on a 4 game win streak and going for 5 for the first time in years. -3.5 is also a great number.
I can tell you the exact score that game will end kiddo. The Raptors will win 97-91. Ok, now seriously - The Raptors are playing the Magic tonight and in case you're capping the game against Detroit that was played two days ago - why don't you just check the scoreboard?
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I like Toronto Fuzz because of a few reasons.First, they are 2nd in turnover rate at home. They also have a better true shooting % at home vs. DET on the road. Detroits offensive efficiency is pretty bad. They are averaging 94.7 points on the road and giving up 97. Toronto has been playing very well. They are playing with a new swagger. They are on a 4 game win streak and going for 5 for the first time in years. -3.5 is also a great number.
I can tell you the exact score that game will end kiddo. The Raptors will win 97-91. Ok, now seriously - The Raptors are playing the Magic tonight and in case you're capping the game against Detroit that was played two days ago - why don't you just check the scoreboard?
MIT KID let me tell u this , I was a book years ago. I had a pretty good # of players. Some played a couple of games a day some 5 and more. I booked all they gave out. The more the merrier. The ones who were stuck first were the players who played more games than others. The ones who hung the longest were the conservative smaller # of game players. Eventually my business went out cuz they all went broke. Just a matter of time. AND, if you are one of the 3 or 4 %ers who actually make $ and survive, congratulations! We will be watching! BOL you must be smarter than Vegas!
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MIT KID let me tell u this , I was a book years ago. I had a pretty good # of players. Some played a couple of games a day some 5 and more. I booked all they gave out. The more the merrier. The ones who were stuck first were the players who played more games than others. The ones who hung the longest were the conservative smaller # of game players. Eventually my business went out cuz they all went broke. Just a matter of time. AND, if you are one of the 3 or 4 %ers who actually make $ and survive, congratulations! We will be watching! BOL you must be smarter than Vegas!
I like Toronto Fuzz because of a few reasons.First, they are 2nd in turnover rate at home. They also have a better true shooting % at home vs. DET on the road. Detroits offensive efficiency is pretty bad. They are averaging 94.7 points on the road and giving up 97. Toronto has been playing very well. They are playing with a new swagger. They are on a 4 game win streak and going for 5 for the first time in years. -3.5 is also a great number.
I can tell you the exact score that game will end kiddo. The Raptors will win 97-91. Ok, now seriously - The Raptors are playing the Magic tonight and in case you're capping the game against Detroit that was played two days ago - why don't you just check the scoreboard?
Bc this dude is a fake.
Kap
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Quote Originally Posted by SportsMavin:
I like Toronto Fuzz because of a few reasons.First, they are 2nd in turnover rate at home. They also have a better true shooting % at home vs. DET on the road. Detroits offensive efficiency is pretty bad. They are averaging 94.7 points on the road and giving up 97. Toronto has been playing very well. They are playing with a new swagger. They are on a 4 game win streak and going for 5 for the first time in years. -3.5 is also a great number.
I can tell you the exact score that game will end kiddo. The Raptors will win 97-91. Ok, now seriously - The Raptors are playing the Magic tonight and in case you're capping the game against Detroit that was played two days ago - why don't you just check the scoreboard?
Welcome MITKid! Actually, you will find a lot of friendly people on this site. Rizzo invited me over tonight. He said he has some happy Porn and a couple bottles of wine.
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Welcome MITKid! Actually, you will find a lot of friendly people on this site. Rizzo invited me over tonight. He said he has some happy Porn and a couple bottles of wine.
I like Toronto Fuzz because of a few reasons.First, they are 2nd in turnover rate at home. They also have a better true shooting % at home vs. DET on the road. Detroits offensive efficiency is pretty bad. They are averaging 94.7 points on the road and giving up 97. Toronto has been playing very well. They are playing with a new swagger. They are on a 4 game win streak and going for 5 for the first time in years. -3.5 is also a great number.
I can tell you the exact score that game will end kiddo. The Raptors will win 97-91. Ok, now seriously - The Raptors are playing the Magic tonight and in case you're capping the game against Detroit that was played two days ago - why don't you just check the scoreboard?
wtf?? that WAS the final score....weird...unless its after...damn im lost
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Quote Originally Posted by SportsMavin:
I like Toronto Fuzz because of a few reasons.First, they are 2nd in turnover rate at home. They also have a better true shooting % at home vs. DET on the road. Detroits offensive efficiency is pretty bad. They are averaging 94.7 points on the road and giving up 97. Toronto has been playing very well. They are playing with a new swagger. They are on a 4 game win streak and going for 5 for the first time in years. -3.5 is also a great number.
I can tell you the exact score that game will end kiddo. The Raptors will win 97-91. Ok, now seriously - The Raptors are playing the Magic tonight and in case you're capping the game against Detroit that was played two days ago - why don't you just check the scoreboard?
wtf?? that WAS the final score....weird...unless its after...damn im lost
Welcome MITKid! Actually, you will find a lot of friendly people on this site. Rizzo invited me over tonight. He said he has some happy Porn and a couple bottles of wine.
0
Quote Originally Posted by jp548:
Welcome MITKid! Actually, you will find a lot of friendly people on this site. Rizzo invited me over tonight. He said he has some happy Porn and a couple bottles of wine.
why do people waste time hating? who gives a garbage if he paid for college or not? if you think he did, follow. If you think hes full of garbage, leave. people on this site are so dam pathetic sometimes.
you do you mit and do you best to ignore ignorance.
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why do people waste time hating? who gives a garbage if he paid for college or not? if you think he did, follow. If you think hes full of garbage, leave. people on this site are so dam pathetic sometimes.
you do you mit and do you best to ignore ignorance.
It is totally understandable how most of you would not make so many plays in one night. The simple fact is YOU guys, the one's complaining how it's impossible are the real losers.
Real winners know it does not matter how many plays you make in one night, one week, one hour. All that matters is the long term positive expectation. (+EV).
Some nights I bet 10 games, not nights 0. Some 2, some 5. Restricting yourself to 2-3 games a day and passing off +EV games because you are worried about your bankroll or losing so much in a day simply means you suck. It means you can't win or pick winners long terms. It means you are betting above 2% of your roll or whatever your perceived edge/risk-ruin ratio is.
I don't care if you think I went to MIT or if I am broke. I said I would never tout or ask for money, a site, etc.. and I won't. I am here just to interact with other successful winners and try to always improve my model by seeing a post or constructive criticism on some sort of filter that can help my model.
The bottom line is if I see a +EV play, I bet on it. I have a large bankroll, I bet smart, I don't tilt, and I understand the long term outlook. I can calculate my edge in each sport and bet accordingly. When you haters learn how to put it all together, then maybe you will understand.
In any case:
Tonights Final Card:
LOCKED IN early morning Dec 21st:
CHA +11
SAC +14
NO +14
DET -5.5
CHI +6.5
TOR -3.5
NO SAS OVER 195
PASSES:
MEM -11 - Passing now, line is spot on
PHI + points, passing 2 is nowhere near enough the way PHI been playing lately
MIL +5.5 - passing, line is very sharp
CLE +4, passing, but will pull trigger if it gets to +5 before game time
GL guys
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Quote Originally Posted by MITkid:
It is totally understandable how most of you would not make so many plays in one night. The simple fact is YOU guys, the one's complaining how it's impossible are the real losers.
Real winners know it does not matter how many plays you make in one night, one week, one hour. All that matters is the long term positive expectation. (+EV).
Some nights I bet 10 games, not nights 0. Some 2, some 5. Restricting yourself to 2-3 games a day and passing off +EV games because you are worried about your bankroll or losing so much in a day simply means you suck. It means you can't win or pick winners long terms. It means you are betting above 2% of your roll or whatever your perceived edge/risk-ruin ratio is.
I don't care if you think I went to MIT or if I am broke. I said I would never tout or ask for money, a site, etc.. and I won't. I am here just to interact with other successful winners and try to always improve my model by seeing a post or constructive criticism on some sort of filter that can help my model.
The bottom line is if I see a +EV play, I bet on it. I have a large bankroll, I bet smart, I don't tilt, and I understand the long term outlook. I can calculate my edge in each sport and bet accordingly. When you haters learn how to put it all together, then maybe you will understand.
In any case:
Tonights Final Card:
LOCKED IN early morning Dec 21st:
CHA +11
SAC +14
NO +14
DET -5.5
CHI +6.5
TOR -3.5
NO SAS OVER 195
PASSES:
MEM -11 - Passing now, line is spot on
PHI + points, passing 2 is nowhere near enough the way PHI been playing lately
MIL +5.5 - passing, line is very sharp
CLE +4, passing, but will pull trigger if it gets to +5 before game time
MIT you deserve a fair shot without being harassed. There are many people that come on here post plays and then tout but not everybody. Time will tell, but people should back off until they have facts. Everything is just assumptions right now. BOL
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MIT you deserve a fair shot without being harassed. There are many people that come on here post plays and then tout but not everybody. Time will tell, but people should back off until they have facts. Everything is just assumptions right now. BOL
Another new account pushing 7 games of pure +EV. We will give you a shot until you start asking to follow you on Twitter. MIT, keep posting everyday and we will see if you keep a straight record or just fade away like the rest of the scum that used this forum to promote themselves. Keep your picks coming win or lose.
Long live Kapono for keeping a real record.
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Another new account pushing 7 games of pure +EV. We will give you a shot until you start asking to follow you on Twitter. MIT, keep posting everyday and we will see if you keep a straight record or just fade away like the rest of the scum that used this forum to promote themselves. Keep your picks coming win or lose.
Ok, I obviously meant ORL not DET. Sorry you are too stupid to put that together. Tor -3.5 vs ORL, is that easier now Kap. Is that the best you got loser? I am on my iphone most of the day. I don't sit at home all day like Kap and cry about my losses and take it out on someone else. I am accused by him as trying to tout. What a loser. 32,000 posts, just a total loser with no life.
Just cause some guy wants to help out others doesn't mean he's got a hidden agenda. Kap you are making false accusations and attacking me because you are a loser. Simple as that.
Thanks Jay, haters gonna hate. I said it myself I will let my record speak then this Kaploser comes in and trolls the thread. I bet he hits the auto refresh every 30 sec waiting for me to post bc the guy is a total loser.
Anyways, I am off for the night, goodluck guys, tty tomm. Guarantee I get 50% of my picks right. If I don't I will leave forever Kap. There is my confidence. Choke on that loser.
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Ok, I obviously meant ORL not DET. Sorry you are too stupid to put that together. Tor -3.5 vs ORL, is that easier now Kap. Is that the best you got loser? I am on my iphone most of the day. I don't sit at home all day like Kap and cry about my losses and take it out on someone else. I am accused by him as trying to tout. What a loser. 32,000 posts, just a total loser with no life.
Just cause some guy wants to help out others doesn't mean he's got a hidden agenda. Kap you are making false accusations and attacking me because you are a loser. Simple as that.
Thanks Jay, haters gonna hate. I said it myself I will let my record speak then this Kaploser comes in and trolls the thread. I bet he hits the auto refresh every 30 sec waiting for me to post bc the guy is a total loser.
Anyways, I am off for the night, goodluck guys, tty tomm. Guarantee I get 50% of my picks right. If I don't I will leave forever Kap. There is my confidence. Choke on that loser.
Ok, I obviously meant ORL not DET. Sorry you are too stupid to put that together.
You sure? You said this: "I like Toronto Fuzz because of a few reasons.First,
they are 2nd in turnover rate at home. They also have a better true
shooting % at home vs. DET on the road. Detroits offensive efficiency is
pretty bad. They are averaging 94.7 points on the road and giving up
97. Toronto has been playing very well. They are playing with a new
swagger. They are on a 4 game win streak and going for 5 for the first
time in years. -3.5 is also a great number."
According to Yahoo's stat page (https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/stats/byteam?&cat1=Splits&cat2=34&conference=NBA&year=season_2012&sort=232), ORL averages 91.1 PPG on the road while DET averages 90.9 PPG on the road.
Just curious, where did you get the stats showing DET or ORL is averaging 94.7 PPG on the road and giving up 97?
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Quote Originally Posted by MITkid:
Ok, I obviously meant ORL not DET. Sorry you are too stupid to put that together.
You sure? You said this: "I like Toronto Fuzz because of a few reasons.First,
they are 2nd in turnover rate at home. They also have a better true
shooting % at home vs. DET on the road. Detroits offensive efficiency is
pretty bad. They are averaging 94.7 points on the road and giving up
97. Toronto has been playing very well. They are playing with a new
swagger. They are on a 4 game win streak and going for 5 for the first
time in years. -3.5 is also a great number."
According to Yahoo's stat page (https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/stats/byteam?&cat1=Splits&cat2=34&conference=NBA&year=season_2012&sort=232), ORL averages 91.1 PPG on the road while DET averages 90.9 PPG on the road.
Just curious, where did you get the stats showing DET or ORL is averaging 94.7 PPG on the road and giving up 97?
LOL just like clockwork. I left my computer open before I left for partying to see if this LOSER would post and he did! LOL 10 minutes is all it took for this loser to respond.
I use a different database, my own personal database with my own calculations. I don't expect you to understand. I know you take the vanilla stats from Yahoo, or ESPN and you plug them into your garbage system. That is why you are a loser. I have my own filters, algorithms, and databases.
No wonder you are so stupid. Get a life man seriously, lol 10 min response time on every post? fking loser.
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LOL just like clockwork. I left my computer open before I left for partying to see if this LOSER would post and he did! LOL 10 minutes is all it took for this loser to respond.
I use a different database, my own personal database with my own calculations. I don't expect you to understand. I know you take the vanilla stats from Yahoo, or ESPN and you plug them into your garbage system. That is why you are a loser. I have my own filters, algorithms, and databases.
No wonder you are so stupid. Get a life man seriously, lol 10 min response time on every post? fking loser.
Ok, I obviously meant ORL not DET. Sorry you are too stupid to put that together. Tor -3.5 vs ORL, is that easier now Kap. Is that the best you got loser?
No, it's not the best I got! I got plenty more!
You're just making stats up now man. I crunched the numbers really quick.
You said that "DET" was averaging 94.7 PPG on the road and giving up 97 PPG.
If you really meant "ORL" instead of DET, you are dead wrong: they average 91.083 PPG on the road and give up 93.1 PPG on the road. So I doubt you meant ORL.
Did you mean what you typed when you said DET? Let's look to the numbers. DET scores an average of 90.9 PPG in their road games and gives up a whopping 105.13 PPG on the road.
So if you meant ORL, you are full of ****. If you meant DET, you are full of ****.
Your choice. Same result.
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Quote Originally Posted by MITkid:
Ok, I obviously meant ORL not DET. Sorry you are too stupid to put that together. Tor -3.5 vs ORL, is that easier now Kap. Is that the best you got loser?
No, it's not the best I got! I got plenty more!
You're just making stats up now man. I crunched the numbers really quick.
You said that "DET" was averaging 94.7 PPG on the road and giving up 97 PPG.
If you really meant "ORL" instead of DET, you are dead wrong: they average 91.083 PPG on the road and give up 93.1 PPG on the road. So I doubt you meant ORL.
Did you mean what you typed when you said DET? Let's look to the numbers. DET scores an average of 90.9 PPG in their road games and gives up a whopping 105.13 PPG on the road.
So if you meant ORL, you are full of ****. If you meant DET, you are full of ****.
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