I'm a suuma subscriber, I get no financial benefit for talking him up for him but can vouch that he's clipped 58% on his picks for a 19+ unit return this year.
Season is almost over but hope a few more posters join next season, I enjoy the writeups and talking shop with others in his forum, hope there are a few more new, qualified peeps I can compare notes with
SST my man
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Quote Originally Posted by SST:
I'm a suuma subscriber, I get no financial benefit for talking him up for him but can vouch that he's clipped 58% on his picks for a 19+ unit return this year.
Season is almost over but hope a few more posters join next season, I enjoy the writeups and talking shop with others in his forum, hope there are a few more new, qualified peeps I can compare notes with
lmb my man, hope you are fine and drink a lot of Veltins!
I am expecting a low scoring affair in which the Pats attack the Jaguars' weaknesses, tie up Ramsey & Bouye to find their matchups via passes to RBs and Gronk. Expecting a lot of 21, 12 or even 22 personnel to get the Jags out in base personnel. Bill gonna sell out vs Fournette, disrupt the play-fakes and make Bortles straight up beat them against man coverage / single high looks. Expecting a much more intelligent gameplan than the Steelers showed us.
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Quote Originally Posted by lmb4321:
suuma...what's your read on Jags/Pats??
lmb my man, hope you are fine and drink a lot of Veltins!
I am expecting a low scoring affair in which the Pats attack the Jaguars' weaknesses, tie up Ramsey & Bouye to find their matchups via passes to RBs and Gronk. Expecting a lot of 21, 12 or even 22 personnel to get the Jags out in base personnel. Bill gonna sell out vs Fournette, disrupt the play-fakes and make Bortles straight up beat them against man coverage / single high looks. Expecting a much more intelligent gameplan than the Steelers showed us.
I have to agree with bunny24, especially after watching how comfortable Foles was in the 2nd half last week, which tells me, he's now finally comfortable with the offense. Hey, the last 2 games of the season were very cold and the game vs Oakland the wind was strong.... Let's look at where the Vikes played their last 7 games, including last week's playoff game....5 were played in dome stadiums, the other 2 in 42 degree weather and no wind in Carolina & 11 degrees with very little wind at Lambeau. Their defense gave up 31 pts and 216 rushing yrs to the #19 total & #4 rushing offense while their offense lost 3 turnovers (2 ints), and gave up 6 sacks to the #18 passing defense. Vs GB, they played in freezing weather vs a team that was hurting. I'm not sure the Vikes are going to have as big advantage in the passing game as this blog insinuates, especially if Theilen is hurting...
Also, 58% winners doesn't give me much confidence, as subtracting juice for losers and the fee, I see less than 8% winnings, unless you're playing mega bucks, and then the only percentage change comes from the fee doesn't change.
Bottom line, I wouldn't bet the ranch or even the house based on this blog...
Since their 7-14 loss vs Detroit in which they lost their starting RB who was on pace for OROY and committed three fumbles, they lost one game at Carolina. There are two sides of the Vikings loss to the Panthers. First of all,
we knew that it was a horrible spot for the Vikes in their 3rd straight roadie and they also didn’t
have their starting C Pat Elflein for the game which was a brutal loss.
During the game they also lost LT Riley Reiff. These both gaps
completely altered the Vikings offense because they weren’t able to
execute their scheme properly. Especially Elflein was a huge loss – DTs
Short and Love combined for 3 sacks and 3 TFL. It also didn’t help that
the Vikes committed crucial turnovers and costly penalties, one facemask
on 3rd & 16 that led to a Panthers touchdown – drive would have
been over. They also had blown assignments against the run. With the
Vikings having a complete off-game, they were still in a position to win
that game on the road against an NFC playoff team.
You gotta grab a calculator. At 58%, you would break even if your average odds is -139. At -110 you need 52.4% to break even / get in the money. Then, depending on your bet size, you can subtract the fee.
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Quote Originally Posted by Dogs4n1:
I have to agree with bunny24, especially after watching how comfortable Foles was in the 2nd half last week, which tells me, he's now finally comfortable with the offense. Hey, the last 2 games of the season were very cold and the game vs Oakland the wind was strong.... Let's look at where the Vikes played their last 7 games, including last week's playoff game....5 were played in dome stadiums, the other 2 in 42 degree weather and no wind in Carolina & 11 degrees with very little wind at Lambeau. Their defense gave up 31 pts and 216 rushing yrs to the #19 total & #4 rushing offense while their offense lost 3 turnovers (2 ints), and gave up 6 sacks to the #18 passing defense. Vs GB, they played in freezing weather vs a team that was hurting. I'm not sure the Vikes are going to have as big advantage in the passing game as this blog insinuates, especially if Theilen is hurting...
Also, 58% winners doesn't give me much confidence, as subtracting juice for losers and the fee, I see less than 8% winnings, unless you're playing mega bucks, and then the only percentage change comes from the fee doesn't change.
Bottom line, I wouldn't bet the ranch or even the house based on this blog...
Since their 7-14 loss vs Detroit in which they lost their starting RB who was on pace for OROY and committed three fumbles, they lost one game at Carolina. There are two sides of the Vikings loss to the Panthers. First of all,
we knew that it was a horrible spot for the Vikes in their 3rd straight roadie and they also didn’t
have their starting C Pat Elflein for the game which was a brutal loss.
During the game they also lost LT Riley Reiff. These both gaps
completely altered the Vikings offense because they weren’t able to
execute their scheme properly. Especially Elflein was a huge loss – DTs
Short and Love combined for 3 sacks and 3 TFL. It also didn’t help that
the Vikes committed crucial turnovers and costly penalties, one facemask
on 3rd & 16 that led to a Panthers touchdown – drive would have
been over. They also had blown assignments against the run. With the
Vikings having a complete off-game, they were still in a position to win
that game on the road against an NFC playoff team.
You gotta grab a calculator. At 58%, you would break even if your average odds is -139. At -110 you need 52.4% to break even / get in the money. Then, depending on your bet size, you can subtract the fee.
I would love to be able to find your picks after the games start is that possible? The site you say you can find on google is it under your post name? Thanks and great write up couldnt have written it better myself. Thanks for you thoughts and it looks like you have some true followers on here good luck today.
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I would love to be able to find your picks after the games start is that possible? The site you say you can find on google is it under your post name? Thanks and great write up couldnt have written it better myself. Thanks for you thoughts and it looks like you have some true followers on here good luck today.
If you can make money gambling you don't need other peoples money , This guys no different than Spam , you want to advertise go pay for it
Don't want to be disrespectful, but let me tell you why I think your argument is quite dumb and doesn't apply to me:
1) If you are good at something, you should always consider not doing it for free. Money is money. When a broker is good at his job, why shouldn't he do it for others who aren't as good or don't have the time? Same goes with sports betting.
2) I don't sell just picks, I sell content. There are members on my site who don't even tail my picks. They just come for the content to use it as information for their own capping or office pools or whatever.
Good luck to you moving forward!
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Quote Originally Posted by Silverstone:
If you can make money gambling you don't need other peoples money , This guys no different than Spam , you want to advertise go pay for it
Don't want to be disrespectful, but let me tell you why I think your argument is quite dumb and doesn't apply to me:
1) If you are good at something, you should always consider not doing it for free. Money is money. When a broker is good at his job, why shouldn't he do it for others who aren't as good or don't have the time? Same goes with sports betting.
2) I don't sell just picks, I sell content. There are members on my site who don't even tail my picks. They just come for the content to use it as information for their own capping or office pools or whatever.
I would love to be able to find your picks after the games start is that possible? The site you say you can find on google is it under your post name? Thanks and great write up couldnt have written it better myself. Thanks for you thoughts and it looks like you have some true followers on here good luck today.
Now that the thread is in website promotions: suuma.megalocks.co
Just leave me a note there or on Twitter. BOL today!
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Quote Originally Posted by iceman52:
I would love to be able to find your picks after the games start is that possible? The site you say you can find on google is it under your post name? Thanks and great write up couldnt have written it better myself. Thanks for you thoughts and it looks like you have some true followers on here good luck today.
Now that the thread is in website promotions: suuma.megalocks.co
Just leave me a note there or on Twitter. BOL today!
Sure did miss you this year suuma. Always well thought out write-ups and plays. Good for you for having your own service/website. Hope to see you around....
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Sure did miss you this year suuma. Always well thought out write-ups and plays. Good for you for having your own service/website. Hope to see you around....
That's a major part of sports betting - you can come up with your best analysis, but you get crushed on the spread. It happens.The performance by the Eagles was absolutely awesome - congrats to all Philly bettors and Eagles fans out there.
For what's in bold is especially for NFL. The most unpredictable, so small smaple size and the hidden injuries (meaning just plain 'ol basic fatigue) to just a few players means the world.
Also a bad bounce, a hold not called, a slip or broken tackle, incidental contact that should have been PI or vice versa. In Basketball there are so many chances to score each game that the list I just mentioned regresses all in the same game. How many offensive posessions does a team have in the NFL in a single game? How many times in the red zone? If you have a few bad beats that day or in the redzone there's not a lot of time or opportunities like you have in Basketball. After the loss there are only 15 more games - usually less.
When Billy Walters' quants got an edge 15 years ago and Dr Bob as well, all of that edge sooner or later dries up - in this day and age with technology going so fast it dries up even faster.
I guess in short what I am trying to say is betting NFL to make serious money is a collosal waste of time (for me), just for fun and small bets, yeah that'll work but truth be told in NFL for me it's more about being right than the few small bucks squandered.
It's rare these days to see someone go strong (>57%) in the NFL for more than 2 or 3 years in a row. Some do but I think there is so much more edge in MLB, NCAAF and NCAAB. Hell even NHL.
I'm not a robot
The pen is mightier than the pigs
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Quote Originally Posted by suuma:
That's a major part of sports betting - you can come up with your best analysis, but you get crushed on the spread. It happens.The performance by the Eagles was absolutely awesome - congrats to all Philly bettors and Eagles fans out there.
For what's in bold is especially for NFL. The most unpredictable, so small smaple size and the hidden injuries (meaning just plain 'ol basic fatigue) to just a few players means the world.
Also a bad bounce, a hold not called, a slip or broken tackle, incidental contact that should have been PI or vice versa. In Basketball there are so many chances to score each game that the list I just mentioned regresses all in the same game. How many offensive posessions does a team have in the NFL in a single game? How many times in the red zone? If you have a few bad beats that day or in the redzone there's not a lot of time or opportunities like you have in Basketball. After the loss there are only 15 more games - usually less.
When Billy Walters' quants got an edge 15 years ago and Dr Bob as well, all of that edge sooner or later dries up - in this day and age with technology going so fast it dries up even faster.
I guess in short what I am trying to say is betting NFL to make serious money is a collosal waste of time (for me), just for fun and small bets, yeah that'll work but truth be told in NFL for me it's more about being right than the few small bucks squandered.
It's rare these days to see someone go strong (>57%) in the NFL for more than 2 or 3 years in a row. Some do but I think there is so much more edge in MLB, NCAAF and NCAAB. Hell even NHL.
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