I look for the defense to be much different this year. I think he's going to have a much better scheme for these passing attacks. My main concern with OU's defense is still their defensive line. I look for Mike to play more aggressive up front and try and shoot the gaps more with his LB's and safeties to try and keep the QB's off balance. The places where he'll have trouble with this defense is when OU goes up against the Bama type physical offensive lines that can run block and run very well. This is where OU got in trouble last year against Notre Dame, KSU and Texas A&M. The Sooners simply got beat up front by all of these teams. There was nothing fancy about it. Especially against Notre Dame. I expect OU to have the same problems when they go to South Bend this year..Luckily nobody in the Big 12 is that physical on their OL. This is mainly a wide gaps pass blocking spread conference. But if OU ever wants to break from the pack and start dominating again, they are going to have to recruit better up front on D. When you have the talented big uglies up front like they do in the SEC, it takes a bunch of pressure off of those LB's. And in turn the DB's It's snowball effect.
I look for the defense to be much different this year. I think he's going to have a much better scheme for these passing attacks. My main concern with OU's defense is still their defensive line. I look for Mike to play more aggressive up front and try and shoot the gaps more with his LB's and safeties to try and keep the QB's off balance. The places where he'll have trouble with this defense is when OU goes up against the Bama type physical offensive lines that can run block and run very well. This is where OU got in trouble last year against Notre Dame, KSU and Texas A&M. The Sooners simply got beat up front by all of these teams. There was nothing fancy about it. Especially against Notre Dame. I expect OU to have the same problems when they go to South Bend this year..Luckily nobody in the Big 12 is that physical on their OL. This is mainly a wide gaps pass blocking spread conference. But if OU ever wants to break from the pack and start dominating again, they are going to have to recruit better up front on D. When you have the talented big uglies up front like they do in the SEC, it takes a bunch of pressure off of those LB's. And in turn the DB's It's snowball effect.
JDN - I know you love dogs, but you are on FSU -6.5...do you think there is still value at -10.5? YES I THINK THERE IS STILL VALUE AS I BELIEVE PITT WILL BE VERY VERY BAD TO START OFF THIS YEAR. Winston is going to be good, but in week 1 against a respectable D on the road? On paper, this is a blowout, but do you think Winston will be ready? Do you think the coaching changes at FSU and loss of talent to the NFL will impact their ability to cover -6.5 or -10.5? Finally, I know its early, but what is your predicted score. I WOULD GUESS A SCORE OF 34-14. LOWER SCORING THAN MOST GAMES IN WEEK 1. WONDER WHAT THE O/U WILL BE. Like I mentioned, I am intrigued that you like a favorite on the road in week 1 considering your tendency to play dogs...even with grabbing the early line...
Also, Texas opened -42 on BOL and it has stayed there. That tells me any sharps that don't really love Texas would have knocked it down at least a point or two. The over 40 number probably scares most everyone else. You made some positive comments about Texas, or more likely highly negative comments on NM St and the absolutely huge talent and motivational difference here. Yes, I am a homer, and yes 42 is an insane number, but for some reason, I think Texas will be motivated to cover, even with BYU and Ole Miss on deck. I think Mack is under fire by the old money donors who's wet dream would be to fire Mack and entice Saban away from Bama. I think Texas will score 35 in the first half. With Gray and an experience O Line, and a hopefully improved D against a really bad (Bottom 3) D1 NM St team who lost by 14 to New Mexico last year, who Texas beat the week before 45 to 0 and could have scored more.
So, in summary...do you believe there is still value taking FSU -10.5 and are you still on Texas -42 (if not betting on Texas, do you think Texas will cover that number?)I WOULD SAY THE VALUE LIES IN NEW MEXICO STATES TEAM TOTAL UNDER IF 11 OR LESS. THEY ARE GOING TO STRUGGLE GREATLY TO MOVE THE FOOTBALL AND SUSTAIN DRIVES VS ANYONE THIS YEAR, MUCH LESS TEXAS. I STILL DONT KNOW ABOUT THE 42 POINT SPREAD. ONE WOULD THINK TEXAS WILL NAME THE SCORE, BUT THEY HAD SOME WRETCHED PERFORMANCES LAST YEAR ON OFFENSE. ARE THEY GOING TO HAVE THE KINKS WORKED OUT? HOW IS THE QB PLAY GOING TO BE? I KNOW THE OL IS GOOD, BUT ARE THEY GOING TO POUR IT ON AND SCORE 56+ POINTS?
I THINK NEW MEXICO STATE WILL BE FORTUNATE TO GET TO 7, AND WOULD BE SHOCKED IF THEY GET MORE THAN THIS. ID SAY MAYBE TEXAS 1ST H -27.5 OR SO?
BOL BUDDY.
Thanks in advance!
JDN - I know you love dogs, but you are on FSU -6.5...do you think there is still value at -10.5? YES I THINK THERE IS STILL VALUE AS I BELIEVE PITT WILL BE VERY VERY BAD TO START OFF THIS YEAR. Winston is going to be good, but in week 1 against a respectable D on the road? On paper, this is a blowout, but do you think Winston will be ready? Do you think the coaching changes at FSU and loss of talent to the NFL will impact their ability to cover -6.5 or -10.5? Finally, I know its early, but what is your predicted score. I WOULD GUESS A SCORE OF 34-14. LOWER SCORING THAN MOST GAMES IN WEEK 1. WONDER WHAT THE O/U WILL BE. Like I mentioned, I am intrigued that you like a favorite on the road in week 1 considering your tendency to play dogs...even with grabbing the early line...
Also, Texas opened -42 on BOL and it has stayed there. That tells me any sharps that don't really love Texas would have knocked it down at least a point or two. The over 40 number probably scares most everyone else. You made some positive comments about Texas, or more likely highly negative comments on NM St and the absolutely huge talent and motivational difference here. Yes, I am a homer, and yes 42 is an insane number, but for some reason, I think Texas will be motivated to cover, even with BYU and Ole Miss on deck. I think Mack is under fire by the old money donors who's wet dream would be to fire Mack and entice Saban away from Bama. I think Texas will score 35 in the first half. With Gray and an experience O Line, and a hopefully improved D against a really bad (Bottom 3) D1 NM St team who lost by 14 to New Mexico last year, who Texas beat the week before 45 to 0 and could have scored more.
So, in summary...do you believe there is still value taking FSU -10.5 and are you still on Texas -42 (if not betting on Texas, do you think Texas will cover that number?)I WOULD SAY THE VALUE LIES IN NEW MEXICO STATES TEAM TOTAL UNDER IF 11 OR LESS. THEY ARE GOING TO STRUGGLE GREATLY TO MOVE THE FOOTBALL AND SUSTAIN DRIVES VS ANYONE THIS YEAR, MUCH LESS TEXAS. I STILL DONT KNOW ABOUT THE 42 POINT SPREAD. ONE WOULD THINK TEXAS WILL NAME THE SCORE, BUT THEY HAD SOME WRETCHED PERFORMANCES LAST YEAR ON OFFENSE. ARE THEY GOING TO HAVE THE KINKS WORKED OUT? HOW IS THE QB PLAY GOING TO BE? I KNOW THE OL IS GOOD, BUT ARE THEY GOING TO POUR IT ON AND SCORE 56+ POINTS?
I THINK NEW MEXICO STATE WILL BE FORTUNATE TO GET TO 7, AND WOULD BE SHOCKED IF THEY GET MORE THAN THIS. ID SAY MAYBE TEXAS 1ST H -27.5 OR SO?
BOL BUDDY.
Thanks in advance!
I think the Dr. is pretty on point. Venables scheme left people out of position A LOT.
I do think that Mike Stoops is a VERY good defensive mind and cooridator, and I just think that he was honestly more in shock about how bad the defense was that he was left with. On defense its pretty plain and simple...they dont have playmakes or talent. After the 1st string, it's pretty ugly....plain & simple. This is the reason you saw them get rid of 3 coaches in the offseason....b/c Bob knows they need more talent here. The recruiting has fallen off bad. Hell, Venables was a linebacker coach & the linebacker situation is horrible. 80% of the guys are more hybrid safety-linebacker guys....way too small to be playing in the middle.
I think the secondary recruiting has already gone way up the last year. & I actually think the CB's will be solid this year, but the safety position will be a work in progress, & I wouldnt be surprised to end up seeing 2 true freshmen start.
Bottom line, there just isnt a lot of talent on the defense right now. 1st string has solid players, but the 2 deep isnt all that impressive. But they are trying to get better with these new coaches. DrStrange is on point as I think they will run the same type of scheme & try to use their speed to make up for the lack of power they have on the front 7.
I think the Dr. is pretty on point. Venables scheme left people out of position A LOT.
I do think that Mike Stoops is a VERY good defensive mind and cooridator, and I just think that he was honestly more in shock about how bad the defense was that he was left with. On defense its pretty plain and simple...they dont have playmakes or talent. After the 1st string, it's pretty ugly....plain & simple. This is the reason you saw them get rid of 3 coaches in the offseason....b/c Bob knows they need more talent here. The recruiting has fallen off bad. Hell, Venables was a linebacker coach & the linebacker situation is horrible. 80% of the guys are more hybrid safety-linebacker guys....way too small to be playing in the middle.
I think the secondary recruiting has already gone way up the last year. & I actually think the CB's will be solid this year, but the safety position will be a work in progress, & I wouldnt be surprised to end up seeing 2 true freshmen start.
Bottom line, there just isnt a lot of talent on the defense right now. 1st string has solid players, but the 2 deep isnt all that impressive. But they are trying to get better with these new coaches. DrStrange is on point as I think they will run the same type of scheme & try to use their speed to make up for the lack of power they have on the front 7.
ULM is a very experienced team, but I don't think Browning and this offense are going to see much of the field with OU controlling the ball in their slowed down pass/option attack. And make no mistake, Bell can pass the ball very well too. As he showed in the spring game. OU's real weakness is on the DL. But I don't think that weakness will start showing up until they get into conference play against their better opponents. That's when I'll be looking to play against the Sooners.. Look for OU to play very hard in these early games after coming off their bowl disaster against Texas A$M.
ULM is a very experienced team, but I don't think Browning and this offense are going to see much of the field with OU controlling the ball in their slowed down pass/option attack. And make no mistake, Bell can pass the ball very well too. As he showed in the spring game. OU's real weakness is on the DL. But I don't think that weakness will start showing up until they get into conference play against their better opponents. That's when I'll be looking to play against the Sooners.. Look for OU to play very hard in these early games after coming off their bowl disaster against Texas A$M.
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