All Forums | Website Promotions

NHL Home Chase

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 50037
Posts: 569
 
Covers Rehab
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 1367
Posted: #26
Na no filter...it'll be fine
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2008
Posts: 630
Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by 730champ:

 

 

maybe it needs some kind of filter


yup. a St. Louis filter.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2006
Posts: 2894
Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by BrokeShields:


yup. a St. Louis filter.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2009
Posts: 170
Posted: #29

filters... don't waste your time.

focus on a good recovery strategy, thats the key.

A loss is not the end of the world for a chase... its a marathon not a sprint.

GMSI

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2006
Posts: 593
Posted: #30
 The filter is suppose to be: Fade the bottom 5-8 teams, use own discretion.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #31
11/4 A COL
11/5 B ANA
11/5 B OTT
11/5 C STL
11/5 A BOS/B 11/7

I started playing this system on 10/12 and it has gone 18-1.
Units won/lost would depend on how you manage your BR.
If I don't win on A game, I just try to recover A $ on B and C.
Not enough data to create filter unless you do PL for every C home game.  That would make it 19-0.
Lot of games starting on 11/7.  Will post them later.
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2007
Posts: 16266
Posted: #32

Quote Originally Posted by GSHawk20:

 The filter is suppose to be: Fade the bottom 5-8 teams, use own discretion.

 

 

i was thinking something like this.  i mean in mlb was there a lot of home teams getting swept?

 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2007
Posts: 16266
Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by GMSI:

filters... don't waste your time.

focus on a good recovery strategy, thats the key.

A loss is not the end of the world for a chase... its a marathon not a sprint.

GMSI

 

 

that is also a good idea

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #34
Nov. 2009 home games with current home records.

07, 10, 12 -- 27, 28, 12/02 ____BOS (4-4)
07, 10, 14, 17, 19, 21, 23 ____OTT (4-2)
07, 11, 13 _________________WAS (4-1)
07, 11, 13, 16 ______________CLB (3-1)
07, 10, 12 _________________SJ (4-0)
09, 11, 13, 15 ______________CHI (6-2)
10, 12, 14, 19, 21, 23 ________STL (3-5)
11, 13, 15 _________________CAR (2-3)
12, 14, 16 _________________PHO (5-3)
12, 14, 16 _________________PIT (5-3)
12, 14, 18, 20 ______________DET (5-0)
13, 15, 19, 21, 22 ___________ATL (1-4)
14, 17, 19, 21, 23 -- 27, 28, 30 NSH (3-3)
17, 21, 23 _________________NYR (6-2)
18, 21, 23, 25, 27 ___________EDM (6-3)
18, 20, 25, 27 ______________MIN (4-2)
19, 21, 23, 25, 27, 29, 12/1 ___ANA (3-6)
19, 21, 23, 25 ______________DAL (2-2)
20, 22, 26, 28, 29 ___________VAN (7-2)
23, 25, 27 _________________FLA (2-4)
28, 12/02, 04, 05 ___________NJ (2-4)

 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2007
Posts: 16266
Posted: #35

Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

Nov. 2009 home games with current home records.

07, 10, 12 -- 27, 28, 12/02 ____BOS (4-4)
07, 10, 14, 17, 19, 21, 23 ____OTT (4-2)
07, 11, 13 _________________WAS (4-1)
07, 11, 13, 16 ______________CLB (3-1)
07, 10, 12 _________________SJ (4-0)
09, 11, 13, 15 ______________CHI (6-2)
10, 12, 14, 19, 21, 23 ________STL (3-5)
11, 13, 15 _________________CAR (2-3)
12, 14, 16 _________________PHO (5-3)
12, 14, 16 _________________PIT (5-3)
12, 14, 18, 20 ______________DET (5-0)
13, 15, 19, 21, 22 ___________ATL (1-4)
14, 17, 19, 21, 23 -- 27, 28, 30 NSH (3-3)
17, 21, 23 _________________NYR (6-2)
18, 21, 23, 25, 27 ___________EDM (6-3)
18, 20, 25, 27 ______________MIN (4-2)
19, 21, 23, 25, 27, 29, 12/1 ___ANA (3-6)
19, 21, 23, 25 ______________DAL (2-2)
20, 22, 26, 28, 29 ___________VAN (7-2)
23, 25, 27 _________________FLA (2-4)
28, 12/02, 04, 05 ___________NJ (2-4)

 

 

good stuff

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2006
Posts: 524
Posted: #36

this is what i got.....please correct me if i'm missing any plays.

boston gm2

phil gm1

wash gm1

cbj gm1

sj gm1

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2007
Posts: 7630
Posted: #37
What is the 2 game NHL system?
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #38
Forgot PHI. Thanks e50.

07, 12, 14, 16 PHI (5-2)
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 473
Posted: #39
GMSI  &  GSHawk20

Well both do bring up good points in a way............
Instead of not playing the bottom 5or 8 teams or so an idea for now is to stay away from at or under .500 teams at home as the season still get's it feet wet. Or fade 'em small
By another 10 games or so you should have a gauge of who's who with more acurate stats
Maybe by then a some sort of filter can be derived  to eliminate from series losses.
Believe me this exact same system was cooking last year on a 4 game chase and blew its load late in the year on I think Was - and either Van or Ana wasting away a lot of hard earned units

So to counter that a creative MM strategy with a wise recovery procedure can save on those lost units and keep the system afloat real nice in these choppy waters because anything can happen with chases and down the road the juice is going to get spiked up to some  -250  and  -370 for the top home teams per game

......................... 

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2009
Posts: 406
Posted: #40
You can filter all you want till your down to 1 play a season if your heart desires.  It's only 1 loss, if you play home and road your like 50-1 right now, so don't worry about it.  Divide your losses into the next few series and move on....
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2006
Posts: 524
Posted: #41
Hectar, are you using modified labouchere for up to the C bet for both home and road chases???
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2009
Posts: 406
Posted: #42

I use a declining martingale, what a night last night huh boys?

Had the 2 B bets come thru and was 5-0 on A bets... Doesn't get much better then that....

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 77
Posted: #43
i see 1 b bet and 3 a bets...please confirm all picks from yesterday and any plays for today...thx
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #44
Nov. 2009 home games with current home records.

07, 10, 12__________________BOS (4-4)
07, 10, 14, 17, 19, 21, 23_OTT (4-2)
07, 11, 13 __________________WAS (4-1)
07, 11, 13, 16 _______________CLB (3-1)
07, 10, 12 __________________SJ (4-0)
07, 12, 14, 16 _______________PHI (5-2)

09, 11, 13, 15 ______________CHI (6-2)
10, 12, 14, 19, 21, 23 ________STL (3-5)
11, 13, 15 _________________CAR (2-3)
12, 14, 16 _________________PHO (5-3)
12, 14, 16 _________________PIT (5-3)
12, 14, 18, 20 ______________DET (5-0)
13, 15, 19, 21, 22 ___________ATL (1-4)
14, 17, 19, 21, 23 -- 27, 28, 30 NSH (3-3)
17, 21, 23 _________________NYR (6-2)
18, 21, 23, 25, 27 ___________EDM (6-3)
18, 20, 25, 27 ______________MIN (4-2)
19, 21, 23, 25, 27, 29, 12/1 ___ANA (3-6)
19, 21, 23, 25 ______________DAL (2-2)
20, 22, 26, 28, 29 ___________VAN (7-2)
23, 25, 27 _________________FLA (2-4)
27, 28, 12/02 ______________BOS (5-4)
28, 12/02, 04, 05 ___________NJ (2-4)
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2009
Posts: 406
Posted: #45

Quote Originally Posted by spider777:

i see 1 b bet and 3 a bets...please confirm all picks from yesterday and any plays for today...thx

I play both home and road chases

B games NAS PL and BOS ML

A games DAL PL, CLB ML, PHI ML, SJ ML, WAS ML

Only 1 play today EDM PL

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2006
Posts: 524
Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by HECTAR:

I use a declining martingale, what a night last night huh boys?

Had the 2 B bets come thru and was 5-0 on A bets... Doesn't get much better then that....

Hectar, so essentially, you are doubling up after each win, and reducing back to 1 unit after a loss? is that correct?

if the road chase is on a hot streak, u are doubling up your to win units, but with the high juice, is it worth it?

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2009
Posts: 406
Posted: #47

No, I bet to win 1 unit on game A, if it losses then I bet to win my loss plus .5 unit on game B, and if that losses I bet to win all losses plus .25 unit on game C.  This keeps things manageable. 

Look at it this way, there will never be a perfect system, the casinos won't allow wagers if there was.  I never expect a perfect season, but to able to hold my own with any losses and make that money back on future series.

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #48
This thread is home chase only. If I'm not mistaken, Hectar plays it plus another system where you chase the road team playing at one venue.
So EDM is a C bet against COL because COL beat PHO on 11/4 and CHI on 11/6 at home.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2006
Posts: 524
Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by HECTAR:

No, I bet to win 1 unit on game A, if it losses then I bet to win my loss plus .5 unit on game B, and if that losses I bet to win all losses plus .25 unit on game C.  This keeps things manageable. 

Look at it this way, there will never be a perfect system, the casinos won't allow wagers if there was.  I never expect a perfect season, but to able to hold my own with any losses and make that money back on future series.

OK i get it.

You are absolutely right that money management to keep our bankroll in check is key. However, i am curious, say we lost a C bet, how are you planning to spread the losses? or just take the loss and continue on with the rest of the plays?

 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2009
Posts: 406
Posted: #50

Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

This thread is home chase only. If I'm not mistaken, Hectar plays it plus another system where you chase the road team playing at one venue.
So EDM is a C bet against COL because COL beat PHO on 11/4 and CHI on 11/6 at home.

EDM is an A bet as they are in game 1 of a road series.

All Forums | Website Promotions
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.