The DP World Tour Championship plays its final event at Jumeirah Golf Estates in Dubai this week — and all eyes will be on Rory McIlroy as he looks to earn his sixth Race to Dubai title.
He's once again the consensus betting favorite in this week’s DP World Tour Championship odds, and he also headlines our top golf picks for the final tournament of the season.
Best DP World Tour Championship picks
- McIlroy to win outright (+450 at BetMGM)
- Wallace to win outright (+2,000 at FanDuel)
- Rozner Top 20 (+130 at DraftKings)
- Laporta Top 20 (+150 at DraftKings)
- Lee Round 1 Top Australian (-125 at bet365)
DP World Tour Championship outright picks
Pick to win: Rory McIlroy
+450 at BetMGM
This will be the 13th competitive trip to Jumeirah Golf Estates for Rory McIlroy, and he’s won the event twice with another five Top-5 finishes.
He's also in top form with a T3 finish last week at the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship, and he paces this field in true strokes gained off-the-tee and true strokes gained putting while also ranking fourth in this field true strokes gained tee-to-green across his past six events.
Plus, Rory's consistently knocking on victory’s door with seven Top-5 finishes across 14 events since winning the Wells Fargo in May, and a win this week would also secure a sixth Race to Dubai title. However, he'll earn those horns as long as he finishes solo 11th or better.
Sleeper pick to win: Matt Wallace
+2,000 at FanDuel
Matt Wallace carded his second T2 finish in four trips to Jumeirah Golf Estates last year, and he’s been on a lengthy DP World Tour heater with a win and two more Top-10 results over his past eight tournaments.
The 34-year-old Englishman also ranks 10th in true strokes gained tee-to-green and 11th in true strokes gained putting in this field during the stretch. He checks the current form and course history boxes in this small field.
DP World Tour Championship prop picks
Finishing position pick: Antoine Rozner Top 20
+130 at DraftKings
Antoine Rozner finished T11 here last fall, and he’s heading back to Jumeirah Golf Estates for the fifth time with a tidy T6 last week in the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship and solo fourth in the Genesis Championship
He’s seventh in this field from tee to green, fourth on approach, and eighth in putting while also ranking fourth in driving distance during the two-tournament stretch. He also played all four rounds under par in the 2023 finale.
Finishing position pick: Francesco Laporta Top 20
+150 at DraftKings
Everything is clicking for Francesca Laporta right now. He’s rattled off four consecutive Top 20s on the DP World Tour while gaining true strokes across the board.
The 34-year-old Italian has three Challenge Tour victories on his resume and impressively ranks 10th in this field in true strokes gained tee-to-green and ninth in true strokes gained putting during the four-tournament stretch.
His current form and odds don’t align in this market because this is a small, 50-player field.
DP World Tour Championship first-round pick
Round 1 pick: Min Woo Lee Round 1 Top Australian
-125 at bet365
Min Woo Lee and Adam Scott are the only two Australians in the field, and Scott has never played competitively at Jumeirah Golf Estates, while Lee has teed it up each of the past three years with a solid T15-T12-T16 run while playing 10 of 12 rounds under par.
Additionally, Scott’s current form doesn’t jump off the page. He finished T57 at the BMW PGA Championship, missed the cut in the Japan Open Golf Championship, and finished T46 in the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship last week.
Min Woo finished T23 last week for his fifth consecutive Top-35 finish worldwide.
DP World Tour Championship odds
| Player |  |
 |
 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rory McIlroy | +360 | +360 | +400 |
| Tyrrell Hatton | +550 | +600 | +700 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | +800 | +800 | +850 |
| Joaquin Niemann | +1,100 | +1,100 | +1,300 |
| Shane Lowry | +1,400 | +1,600 | +1,700 |
| Robert MacIntyre | +1,800 | +2,000 | +2,200 |
| Matt Wallace | +1,800 | +2,000 | +1,900 |
| Rasmus Hojgaard | +2,000 | +2,200 | +2,400 |
| Min Woo Lee | +2,000 | +2,200 | +2,700 |
| Thriston Lawrence | +2,500 | +2,800 | +3,000 |
| Billy Horschel | +2,800 | +3,000 | +3,500 |
| Adam Scott | +2,800 | +3,000 | +3,200 |
Odds courtesy of DraftKings.
Not intended for use in MA.
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