LIV Golf Miami Picks and Odds: Koepka Eyeing Good Form Ahead of Masters

Our LIV Golf Miami picks center around Brooks Koepka as he gears up for the season's first major championship.

Chris Gregory - Publishing Editor at Covers.com
Chris Gregory • Publishing Editor
Apr 1, 2025 • 13:22 ET • 4 min read
Brooks Koepka LIV Golf Miami
Photo By - Imagn Images.

For the select few LIV golfers set to tee it up at the Masters next week, this Miami event is the last chance to prepare before heading off to Augusta National.

That includes Miami betting favorite Jon Rahm and 2023 Masters runner-up Brooks Koepka. They highlight our LIV Golf Miami odds and golf picks below.

LIV Golf Miami odds

Player DraftKings bet365
Jon Rahm +600 +700
Joaquin Niemann +750 +750
Bryson DeChambeau +900 +1050
Tyrrell Hatton +1000 +1050
Sergio Garcia +1400 +1700
Brooks Koepka +1600 +1300
David Puig +2000 +1900
Abraham Ancer +2000 +2400
Dean Burmester +2200 +2200

Odds as of 4-1. 

LIV Golf Miami picks and predictions

Outright pick: Brooks Koepka
+1600 at bet365

The majors are ahead, and Brooks Koepka is coming off a solo second at LIV Singapore while gaining true strokes across the board. He’s priced as short as +1200 at multiple sportsbooks, so the +1600 odds at bet365 jump off the page. Simply from a numbers perspective, the difference in prices attaches a sneaky positive expected value of 31% to the +1600 bet365 odds.

Of course, Koepka also has the game and mentality to take on the demanding Trump National Doral. He has three competitive events under his belt, including finishing T17 and T23 in consecutive years when the track hosted the WGC-Cadillac Championship in 2015 and 2016.

Finally, I also value Koepka's pacing of LIV Golf in putting average and gaining true strokes around the green in all four events to lead the way in that metric to start the season. A tidy short game rewards the most at difficult tracks.

Finishing position pick: Phil Mickelson Top 20
+160 at DraftKings

Phil Mickelson has been sneaky good to start the 2025 LIV Golf season, with a T23 in Adelaide, a solo third in Hong Kong, and a T19 in Singapore.

He’s 11th in true strokes gained off-the-tee and on approach to impressively rank sixth in this field in true strokes gained tee-to-green. The 54-year-old veteran has also played this track competitively 19 times, with a win in 2009 and three more Top-5 finishes

This is also another example with huge price discrepancies to take advantage of. A Mickelson Top 20 ticket is trading at just +130 at bet365, with the difference in numbers presenting a positive expected value of 13% with the +160 DraftKings odds.

Matchup pick: Bryson DeChambeau over Tyrrell Hatton
-110 at DraftKings

Bryson DeChambeau is first in true strokes gained off-the-tee and driving distance through four LIV Golf events, which has helped him rank fourth in true strokes gained tee-to-green. 

Doral is long and demanding, and I give DeChambeau a head start with Tyrrell Hatton ranking 38th in true strokes gained off the tee.

Additionally, Hatton hasn’t topped DeChambeau in a LIV Golf event all season. The two have tied twice, with DeChambeau finishing better at Adelaide and Singapore.

LIV Golf Miami field and favorites

The standard LIV odds board we've become accustomed to seeing is once again intact this week, with Jon Rahm the headliner between +600 and +700 and Joaquin Niemann playing second fiddle (+750) after his second win of the season in Singapore last time out (fourth of LIV career). 

Bryson DeChambeau and Tyrrell Hatton make up the next two spots despite so-so starts to their LIV seasons. The next notable is Brooks Koepka at 16/1, especially one week out from a major. He's coming off a runner-up finish in Singapore.

LIV Golf recent winners and odds history

Here are the recent LIV Golf winners and their closing odds to win:

Event Golfer Closing odds
Singapore (March 2025) Joaquin Niemann (4) +800
Hong Kong (March 2025) Sergio Garcia (2) +2000
Adelaide (Feb. 2025) Joaquin Niemann (3) +1000
Ridyah (Feb. 2025) Adrian Meronk +10000

Odds courtesy of GolfOdds.

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Chris Gregory Covers.com
Publishing Editor

In his three years on the Covers editorial team, Chris Gregory has helped bolster the site’s PGA Tour and college football coverage, though his love for Rory McIlroy and the Buckeyes is often met with disappointment. He brings a journalism and marketing background to his work as a Publishing Editor and has appeared on Jason Logan’s Sharp 600 to talk about the Masters and golf’s other majors.

His best betting advice? Stay away from betting your favorite teams; it’ll only make the hurt worse.

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