The Masters is one of those sporting events that begs to be bet on, like the Super Bowl or the Fourth of July Hot Dog Eating Contest.
That’s why sportsbooks answer the call with a massive menu of golf betting options for the first major of the year, including plenty of Masters odds for prop markets. Bookies pull out all the stops and go well beyond outrights and matchups, with endless ways to wager on the 18 holes at Augusta National.
Here are our favorite free Masters prop picks and predictions for the 2022 tournament.
Masters 2022 prop picks
- Xander Schauffele Top 10 Finish (+200)
- Sam Burns over Bryson DeChambeau (-160)
- Cameron Smith Top Australian (+100)
- Tiger Woods to miss the cut (+152)
Picks made on 4/5/2022 at 2:50 p.m. ET.
If you're signing up for a new sportsbook for the Masters, here are two of the best bonuses* available:
A: New users at FanDuel can bet $5 on either Jordan Spieth, Rory McIlroy, or Dustin Johnson to make the cut and win $150 (30/1 odds)! Claim Now
B: Tiger Woods to make the cut BOOSTED to +125 (was -105) at PointsBet! Claim Now
*Eligible USA regions only
Best Masters 2022 prop picks
Killing Them Schauffele
Xander Schauffele has come so close to a Green Jacket he can smell the No. 006747 dye. The 28-year-old placed T2 in 2019 and T3 last spring and often saves his best for the biggest events of the year, boasting nine career Top-10 finishes in major tournaments.
Schauffele enters the 2022 Masters lukewarm, with only one Top 10 in nine events this season. However, he does rank out among the best in plenty of key metrics that play well in the 2022 Masters.
Schauffele is 25th in driving distance, which could help with a softer course playing long in the opening rounds. He’s 35th in greens in regulation and when on the dance floor, Schauffele really shines. He’s ranked 11th in putting average and No. 1 in three-putt percentage – always valuable on the unforgiving greens at Augusta.
Schauffele is priced at +2,400 to win the Masters and +400 to finish inside the Top 5. We’ll play it cool, taking his Top 10 price at +200, knowing his track record on golf’s biggest stages.
Pick: Xander Schauffele Top 10 Finish (+200 at DraftKings)
A Little Bit Softer Now
An inch and a half of rain Tuesday, possible thunderstorms Wednesday, and on-and-off sprinkles Thursday (in addition to cooler temperatures) will have Augusta National playing much softer - and therefore longer - than the Walmart parking lot the PGA’s best played on last spring.
Tee shot slugger Bryson DeChambeau benefitted greatly from that hot, firm track in 2021, finishing the tournament No. 2 in average driving distance at 323 yards and placed 46th overall on the leaderboard. This year, DeChambeau not only has the elements working against him when swinging the wrenches but also a lingering list of injuries.
Those ailments include a hairline fracture in his left hand and a torn labrum in his hip. In fact, he told reporters he’s at about 80% health and that his doctors have advised that he sit this one out.
Those injuries are showing up in his limited work this season, missing the cut in his last two tournament showings and watching his average driving distance dip to 316.8 yards after leading the Tour at 323.7 last year.
DraftKings has DeChambeau (+130) placed in a matchup prop with 11th-ranked Sam Burns (-160), who’s red-hot entering what will be his first go at the Masters. The 25-year-old is coming off a tournament win at the Valspar Championship in March (his second win of the year) and owns five Top-10 finishes in 11 events this season.
I’m going to fade the hobbled DeChambeau, whose greatest strength has been sapped by father time and mother nature. You could also sprinkle a little action on Bryson to miss the cut at +105.
Pick: Sam Burns over Bryson DeChambeau (-160 at DraftKings)
Plunder Down Under
It’s no shocker to find Cameron Smith atop the prop for best Australian finish, but it is a little surprising to see him priced as well as EVEN money at PointsBet sportsbooks.
Smith’s not only tearing shit up in 2022, with two wins (including The PLAYERS) and four Top 10s in seven events, but he’s right at home at Augusta National. He was tied for runner-up in 2020’s fall version of the major, placed T10 last spring, and is the only golfer in tournament history to fire in the 60s in all four rounds.
Smith also checks all the boxes for Masters success in terms of metrics: strong starts (1st in Round 1 scoring), fantastic finishes (3rd in Round 4 scoring), eighth in shots gained: approach to green, third in SG: putting, and No. 1 in putting average with a three-putt avoidance of 1.5% (10th-lowest).
The biggest threats to this prop bet are Marc Leishman and Adam Scott, both listed at +300 to be the top Aussie.
Scott is always consistent at Augusta, but he’s 41 and his Masters stats have been falling off for the past few years. Leishman is also good at Augusta, including a T5 in 2021, but his current form isn’t great, missing the cut at The PLAYERS and farting out a 68th-place finish at the Arnold Palmer in March.
Forget about throwing “another shrimp on the barbie” and throw some solid coin on Smith to top his countrymen this weekend.
Pick: Cameron Smith Top Australian (+100 at PointsBet)
Tiger Bomb
We couldn’t escape a Masters props picks piece without getting caught up in the whole Tiger Woods mania at Augusta.
As of this writing, Woods says he’s planning on playing in the major he’s won five times, but he’s been limited since suffering a broken leg in a car crash last February. While he did look good in his practice round, according to golf great Fred Couples, who accompanied Tiger during his tune-up Monday, we’re treating Tiger’s odds with caution.
Woods’ wavering hasn’t slowed down action on his odds to win the Masters as well as any other props involving the 15-time major tournament winner. Books are reporting heavy liability to Woods, and since the Masters is the most-bet event of the PGA Tour season, that push is coming from recreational public players wanting to see Woods try to tie Jack Nicklaus’ six Green Jackets.
Much like waiting for the Super Bowl crowds to bet down the “No” price on props like the safety and overtime, we’ve watched Tigers’ price to make the cut slim to -152 with the other side of that coin – missing the cut – now listed as high as +120.
He last competed in the PNC Championship with his son back in December, but we’re talking about the grind of Augusta over at least 36 holes on Thursday and Friday in less-than-ideal conditions. Woods says he can strike the ball fine but it’s walking the near 7,500-yard course that will test his fragile right leg.
“This is normally not an easy walk to begin with,” Woods told reporters Tuesday. “Now given the conditions that my leg is in, it gets even more difficult. You know, 72 holes is a long road, and it's going to be a tough challenge and a challenge that I'm up for."
If Woods does tee off in Round 1 and withdraws due to injury before the cut is made, he is graded as missing the cut at sportsbooks. This isn’t a bet against Woods’ ability but more playing against his health at a pretty good price – which sounds a little cold.
The golf fan in me would love to see Tiger make the weekend, but the soulless contrarian bettor in me says otherwise.
Pick: Tiger Woods to miss the cut (+152 at FanDuel)
