The Boston Red Sox will look to earn their third straight series win when they finish off a three-game set against the Oakland Athletics tonight at Fenway Park.
First-time All-Star Tanner Houck will take the mound for the home team, and my A's vs. Red Sox expect him to bounce back from a couple of rough outings.
Read more in our MLB picks for Thursday, July 11.
A's vs Red Sox prediction
My best bet
A's team total Under 3.5 (+110 at DraftKings)
My analysis
Tanner Houck will look to steady the ship when he takes the mound for the Boston Red Sox tonight. The right-hander is coming off a couple of rough outings, as he was rocked for nine hits and seven earned runs by the Padres back on June 29 and then gave up three runs (one earned) over just 3 1/3 innings to the Yankees in his last start on July 5.
Despite the recent blip, the first-time All-Star has been one of the most consistent pitchers in the MLB this season, posting 13 quality starts in 18 games — tied for sixth-most among all starters.
Houck, whose 2.68 ERA is also sixth among starters, has held the opposition to three earned runs or fewer in 16 of his 18 outings while averaging nearly 6 1/3 innings per appearance.
It could be a slow night at the plate for the Oakland A's, who rank 27th this season with just 3.84 runs per game while batting just .224 against right-handed pitching (27th). Outside of a 19-8 win against the Orioles last Saturday, Oakland is scoring just 3.73 runs per game over its last 15 games.
A's vs Red Sox same-game parlay (SGP)
A's team total Under 3.5
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 total bases
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 RBI
Rafael Devers has been a force at the plate for the Red Sox this month, already having collected 13 RBI in eight games. The third baseman was held hitless in Wednesday’s defeat but had recorded multiple RBI in seven of his eight previous outings.
The Red Sox slugger has also notched 2+ total bases in nine of his last 13 contests and should find success against A’s starter Luis Medina, who owns a bleak 4.37 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP this year.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
A's vs Red Sox odds
A's vs Red Sox live odds
A's vs Red Sox opening odds
- Run line: Oakland +1.5 (-105) | Boston -1.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: Oakland +175 | Boston -210
- Over/Under: Over 10 (-115) | Under 10 (-105)
A's vs Red Sox spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Red Sox have moved from -210 to -230 on the moneyline, with 80% of the public backing the favorites.
- Boston is 4-1 in its last five meetings vs Oakland.
- Tonight’s total opened at a very lofty 10.0, though we’re seeing that number come down across the board with many books now at 9.5.
- The Over is 10-4 in Boston’s last 14 games and 4-2 in the last six meetings between these two teams.
A's vs Red Sox trend
Oakland is 2-14 in its last 16 road games. Find more MLB betting trends for Athletics vs. Red Sox
A's vs Red Sox game info
| Location: | Fenway Park, Boston, MA |
| Date: | Thursday, 7-11-2024 |
| First pitch: | 7:10 p.m. ET |
| TV: | NBCSCA, NESN |
| A's starting pitcher: | Luis Medina (2-3, 4.37 ERA) |
| Red Sox starting pitcher: | Tanner Houck (7-6, 2.68 ERA) |
A's vs Red Sox latest injuries
A's vs Red Sox weather
Not intended for use in MA.
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