Cubs vs Brewers Picks and Predictions: Can Cubs Avoid Sweep?

Chicago is looking to bounce back and avoid a sweep at the hands of Milwaukee. A struggling pitcher will take on a rookie, so will the bats decide this one? Find out with our Cubs vs. Brewers picks.

Zachary Cohen - Contributor at Covers.com
Jun 30, 2021 • 09:50 ET • 4 min read
Kris Bryant MLB Chicago Cubs
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Brewers earned a 2-1 win over the Chicago Cubs last night, and the two will be back at it at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin on Wednesday. 

Will Milwaukee make it a clean three-game sweep with a victory today? Find out in our Cubs vs. Brewers picks and predictions for June 30. 

Cubs vs Brewers game info

Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Date: Wednesday, June 30, 2021
Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
TV: BSW, MSN

Cubs vs Brewers odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

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MLB sharp money and line movement report

By Patrick Everson

Milwaukee hit the TwinSpires odds board as a -145 favorite and made a stop at -162 on the way to -167, where the moneyline stands at 1:30 p.m. ET. The Brewers are attracting 72 percent of bets and 78 percent of money. The total moved from 8.5 to 9 and back, and it's currently 8.5 (Over -121), with 57 percent of bets/60 percent of dollars on the Over.

Check out the full line movement for this game

Cubs vs Brewers betting preview

Starting pitchers

Jake Arrieta (5-8, 5.32 ERA): Arrieta has been pretty miserable for the Cubs this season. In fact, the two earned runs he gave up in five innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers is one of the best starts he’s had all season. That shows you how far removed he is from his days as an ace in this league. Arrieta has, however, pitched well against the Brewers this season. In two starts against Milwaukee, he has given up just four earned runs in 11.0 innings of work. 

Aaron Ashby LHP (0-0, 0.00 ERA): The last time Ashby worked as a true starter was on June 4, when he pitched seven innings in a minor league game. Milwaukee likes to introduce its prospects as relievers, so the team shortened things up for him. This is the lefty’s big-league debut, and he comes into it after having pitched two or fewers innings in six consecutive appearances. With that said, this will end up being a bullpen game for Milwaukee. So, you should expect to see a bunch of different pitchers for the Brewers here. 

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Cubs: 1B Anthony Rizzo (questionable), 2B David Bote (out)
Brewers: 2B Kolten Wong (questionable), 3B Travis Shaw (out), OF Lorenzo Cain (out)

Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Cubs are 9-3 in their last 12 games against the NL Central. Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Brewers.

Moneyline pick

Arrieta has looked completely shot for most of this season, but that hasn’t been the case against the Brewers. On April 14, the righty gave up three earned in five innings against Milwaukee, and he then gave up just one earned run in six innings against them on April 25. The Cubs somehow lost both of those games, but Arrieta certainly did his job in both starts. Look for him to figure out another way to be effective against this lineup, but don’t be surprised if Chicago provides some run support for him. 

The Brewers are sending Aaron Ashby to the mound in this game, and the rookie has never appeared in an MLB game. Ashby has some absurd swing-and-miss stuff, and he definitely has big-time potential. However, the lefty hasn’t exactly started many games this year, and he’s definitely going to be a bit nervous when he gets out there against this Cubs lineup. Kris Bryant, who is batting .344 with seven homers and 16 RBIs against lefties this season, could give Ashby some trouble early on. And then the Brewers will likely go to a variety of relievers the rest of the way, making it likely that Chicago will get it going offensively at some point. 

PREDICTION: Cubs ML +135

Over/Under pick

Arrieta should be able to give the Cubs a good chance to win this game. Something approaching a quality start would do just that, which would also mean giving up around three or four earned runs. If he does indeed give up that many, this total would be well on its way to going Over.

And considering the Brewers are turning to the bullpen in this game, the Cubs offense has no excuses not to snap out of its recent rut. Milwaukee has some excellent relievers on its roster, but the Cubs are going to get at least four or five innings where they have some golden opportunities to put runs on the board. It’d be pretty surprising if they can’t make that happen here. 

PREDICTION: Over 8.5 (-110)

Cubs vs Brewers betting card

  • Cubs ML +135
  • Over 8.5 (-110)

Picks made on 6/30/2021 at 1:10 a.m. ET

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