Cubs vs Dodgers Picks and Predictions: Dodgers Eye Four-Game Sweep

The Dodgers are as hot as anyone in baseball, having won 10 of 11, including three straight against the Chicago Cubs. Will Julio Urias help them complete the four-game sweep? Read our MLB betting picks to find out.

Robert Criscola - Contributor at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Publishing Editor
Jul 10, 2022 • 09:44 ET • 4 min read
Julio Urias Los Angeles Dodgers MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago Cubs and the Los Angeles Dodgers will wrap up their four-game series at Dodger Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

The Dodgers have taken each of the first three games of this series and will try to break out the brooms behind Julio Urias in the finale.

Will they succeed? Find out in our free MLB picks and predictions for Cubs vs Dodgers on Sunday, July 10.

Cubs vs Dodgers odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Dodgers unsurprisingly opened as heavy consensus favorites of -250, and have been bet down to as low as -290 as of this writing. The total was unveiled at 8.5 and has stood pat. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until first pitch and be sure to check out the full MLB odds before placing your bets.

Cubs vs Dodgers predictions

Picks made on 7/10/2022 at 9:10 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Cubs vs Dodgers game info

Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date: Sunday, July 10, 2022
First pitch: 4:10 p.m. ET
TV: MARQ, SNLA

Cubs vs Dodgers betting preview

Starting pitchers

Drew Smyly (2-5, 3.80 ERA): Drew Smyly (oblique) makes his first start since May 30 in this spot. He didn’t record a single quality start over his first nine outings of the year, failing to go the requisite six innings in all but one appearance. 

Julio Urias (7-6, 2.57 ERA): Julio Urias goes for his fifth straight victory on the mound on Sunday afternoon. He was last seen holding the Rockies to one run over six innings on July 4, striking out seven batters. The effort was good for Urias’ fourth quality start over his last five chances.

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Cubs are 19-55 in their last 74 games against starters with a WHIP less than 1.15. Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Dodgers

Cubs vs Dodgers picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Moneyline analysis

The Dodgers should make it 10 consecutive wins against the Cubs on Sunday afternoon, riding a significant advantage in the starting pitching department.

Julio Urias – the 2021 MLB leader in pitching wins (20) – will toe the rubber for L.A. here. Despite a modest 7-6 record in 2022, Urias has been quite impressive, especially at home. The Mexican native owns a 2.45 ERA and 0.97 WHIP at Dodger Stadium this season. 

Urias has been particularly stingy the first time around the order, holding opponents to a .182 batting average. Enemy hitters are also batting just .176 against Urias with runners in scoring position. The Cubs are 24th in the majors in runs per game on the road (3.98) and have plated three runs or fewer in seven of their last eight contests. 

With Ian Happ, Nico Hoerner, and Patrick Wisdom all batting below .210 over the last week, bettors should expect the Cubs’ offensive production to be minimal here. 

Drew Smyly counters for Chicago and Cubs fans can once again expect a relatively brief outing from him as he makes his first MLB start in over a month.

His rehab start in Single-A advanced South Bend was fair (four innings, four hits, no walks, three earned runs, six strikeouts), but he obviously wasn’t facing a lineup even remotely as good as the Dodgers, which is second in baseball in runs per game (4.98). 

Bettors should anticipate either Will Smith or Mookie Betts getting the party started for L.A.’s lineup, as they have the two highest OPS’ among qualified batters against lefties (.923 and .921, respectively) on this team.

Prediction: Dodgers moneyline (-260 at DraftKings)

Over/Under analysis

The bullpens should lead the way to another Under in this series.

The Dodgers enter this tilt ranked eighth by relief ERA over the last two weeks (2.57). Evan Phillips came in for a one-pitch hold – good for his 17th consecutive scoreless outing – on Saturday night behind an outstanding Clayton Kershaw before Craig Kimbrel locked up his 15th save of 2022. 

Chicago’s relievers are close behind with a 3.05 ERA over the last 14 days, good for ninth in baseball over that span. Scott Effross (2.95 ERA) is clearly unavailable after working three straight nights, but Mychal Givens sat idle on Saturday, and he’s tallied nine straight scoreless outings.

The Under is 5-1 in the Cubs’ last six road games against left-handed starters, and 7-0-2 in the last nine meetings between these two teams in Los Angeles.

Prediction: Under 8.5 (-114 at FanDuel)

Best bet

The Dodgers should take an early lead and never look back on Sunday afternoon. Their moneyline is drastically low, but there’s value to be had in backing them to win both the first five innings and the final result.

L.A. should ambush the uninspiring Smyly, particularly leadoff man extraordinaire Mookie Betts. He’s 10-for-27 (.370) lifetime against the Arkansas native with a pair of dingers. 

Urias should keep a subpar Cubs offense at bay before the deep and talented Dodgers relief corps takes over. Look for Chicago to be playing catchup throughout.

Pick: Dodgers/Dodgers double result (-118 at Caesars)

MLB parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s MLB Cubs vs. Dodgers picks, you could win $38.02 on a $10 bet?

Use our MLB parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Publishing Editor

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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