he Arizona Diamondbacks (48-34) head to Southern California for a three-game interleague series with the Los Angeles Angels (44-39).
What will give in this series between two winning teams?
The Diamondbacks send left-hander Tommy Henry to the bump to face the Angels’ Griffin Canning.
I take a closer look at the MLB odds and Henry’s profile to provide insight into why the southpaw may be in for some danger on Friday.
Read on for my best bet and full MLB picks and predictions for the Diamondbacks vs. Angels on Friday, June 30.
Diamondbacks vs Angels odds
Diamondbacks vs Angels predictions
The Angels have been on fire at the plate heading into this anticipated interleague series, posting a 138 wRC+ (third) and .371 wOBA (also third) across the last 10 days. Shohei Ohtani has been raking, homering four times in the last four games. Mike Trout has come alive a bit at the dish, notching seven hits in his last five games.
The Halos could do more damage at the plate on Friday given the matchup.
Tommy Henry gets the nod for the Diamondbacks in Game 1. The left-hander has struggled on the road with a 5.40 ERA, allowing 16 earned runs across just 26 ? innings. While his 4.31 ERA looks fine, his 5.45 FIP and 5.34 xFIP are both catastrophic.
Those aren’t the only concerning underlying numbers — his 15.4% K-rate is anemic, and his 8.6% BB-rate is simply too high. The 25-year-old doesn’t throw hard (14th percentile in fastball velocity) and he doesn’t generate much movement, either (18th percentile in fastball spin rate, 22nd percentile in curve spin rate). He’s surviving thanks to an unsustainably high 79.9% left on-base rate.
Batters have really started to figure him out, as he’s allowed a whopping 27 combined base runners across his last three starts. The southpaw has a grotesque 1.62 WHIP in the month of June. This all goes to paint the profile of a pitcher that I want to fade — it’s just about finding the right prop.
The books are wise to the Henry fade, as you’ll be asked to lay juice on both the Angels’ moneyline and props. There is one Henry prop that I like, and the price is fair — his hits allowed prop is set at 5.5 with EVEN odds to the Over.
Los Angeles had a .282 batting average (third) across the last 10 days and is more than capable of making Henry pay. The Angels have posted a strong .261 batting average and .344 OBP at home against left-handed pitching this season.
I’ll bet on Henry to allow at least six hits on Friday night.
My best bet: Tommy Henry Over 5.5 hits allowed (+100)
Diamondbacks vs Angels same-game parlay
Henry 6+ hits allowed (-105)
Angels race to 4 runs (+105)
Angels moneyline (-155)
The first leg of our SGP features our best bet on Henry’s hits allowed prop, as outlined above.
The last two legs feature the Angels winning the race to four runs and for them to win the game outright on the moneyline. They’re playing at home, have the better starting pitcher, and their lineup has been in better form lately. The gamescript plays in their favor on several levels, setting up this three-legger nicely.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Diamondbacks vs Angels moneyline and Over/Under analysis
Current odds list the Angels between -155 and -161 depending on the book. The best comeback on the Diamondbacks is currently +140.
The big news on the health front for this game is that Diamondbacks' studly rookie Corbin Carroll is considered questionable after leaving Thursday’s game with a sore right shoulder. If “sore right shoulder” didn’t sound concerning to you, consider this — Carroll had surgery on that same should two years ago to repair a torn labrum.
Corbin Carroll exited the game in the fifth inning after an apparent injury during an at bat
— FOX Sports: MLB (@MLBONFOX) June 29, 2023
(via @BALLYSPORTSAZ)pic.twitter.com/kFa3vdYhGY
Arizona sits in first place in the NL West and is 5-5 across its last 10 games. Los Angeles, meanwhile, has moved down to third place in the AL West after going 4-6 across its last 10 games.
Griffin Canning gets the call for the Angels, and he’s been terrific lately, posting an ERA of 2.25 across his last six starts.
The total is set at 9.5 across most books but appears to be headed upwards as of Friday morning. Some books have moved to a flat 10.
Weather could play a factor as the current forecast lists winds of 8.1 mph blowing out to dead center at game time. That wind will die down slightly to 6.9 mph as the game continues and therefore may not have a tremendous impact, but it is worth noting that it will blow out to center all game.
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Trend to know
Henry has allowed more than 5.5 hits in each of his last three starts with an average cover margin of 2.17. Find more MLB betting trends for Diamondbacks vs. Angels
Diamondbacks vs Angels game info
| Location: | Angel Stadium, Anaheim, CA |
| Date: | Friday, June 30, 2023 |
| First pitch: | 9:38 p.m. ET |
| TV: | Apple TV+ |
Starting pitchers
Tommy Henry (4-1, 4.31 ERA): Henry is coming off a great showing in which he held the Washington Nationals to just a single run across 6 ? innings. He’s been in fine form, allowing no more than two earned runs in four of his last six starts. His peripherals aren’t quite as glossy — his 4.13 xERA is encouraging but his 5.45 FIP and 5.34 xFIP are both utter disasters.
Griffin Canning (6-2, 3.99 ERA): The 27-year-old has been finding some of the best results of his career lately. He has a minuscule 2.25 ERA across his last six starts while holding
