Dodgers vs Brewers Picks and Predictions: Targeting Julio Down by the Ballpark

The Los Angeles Dodgers look to kick off a new winning streak as they visit the Brewers in Milwaukee. Starter Julio Urias has been lights out on the mound and should stifle a Brewers lineup that struggles vs. lefties.

Robert Criscola - Contributor at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Publishing Editor
Aug 15, 2022 • 13:33 ET • 4 min read
Julio Urias Los Angeles Dodgers MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Milwaukee Brewers will begin a four-game series at American Family Field on Monday night.

The Dodgers had won 12 straight games prior to Sunday’s 4-0 loss to the Kansas City Royals. Meanwhile, the Brewers dropped two of three to the Cardinals over the weekend to fall behind in the NL Central race.

Who will begin this series on the right foot? Find out in our free MLB picks and predictions for Dodgers vs Brewers on Monday, August 15.

Dodgers vs Brewers odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Dodgers opened as -153 road favorites for this contest, and bettors have jumped on them. The moneyline has moved up anywhere from 11 to 22 cents, depending on where you look. The consensus opening total was 8.0, but most sites have been forced to move the number down to 7.5 by the time of this writing.

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until first pitch and be sure to check out the full MLB odds before placing your bets.

Dodgers vs Brewers predictions

Picks made on 8/15/2022 at 10:15 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Best Dodgers vs Brewers bonuses

If you're signing up for a new sportsbook for the 2022 MLB season, here are two of the best bonuses* available:

A) New users can get a no-sweat first bet (up to $1,000) at FanDuel! Sign Up Now

B) New users can get two risk-free bets up to $2,000 at PointsBet! Sign Up Now

*Eligible USA locations only

Dodgers vs Brewers game info

Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Date: Monday, August 15, 2022
First pitch: 8:10 p.m. ET
TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin, SportsNet LA

Dodgers vs Brewers betting preview

Starting pitchers

Julio Urias (12-6, 2.50 ERA): Urias has been on a hot streak of his own for the Dodgers, having won five straight starts. His team has also won 10 in a row behind him. Urias owns a microscopic 1.09 ERA during his five-start win streak. 

Freddy Peralta (4-2, 4.37 ERA): Peralta is still working on getting stretched back out following a lengthy stint on the IL. He was chased after 3 2-3 innings (67 pitches) of two-run baseball against the Pirates on Aug. 3 — his first start since May 22 — before working five innings (65 pitches) against the Rays on Aug. 9 and allowing only two runs. 

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Under is 16-5 in the Brewers’ last 21 Monday games. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Brewers

Dodgers vs Brewers picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Moneyline analysis

The Dodgers should start a new win streak when they take on the Brewers on Monday night.

Julio Urias has quietly been one the best pitchers in baseball over his last five starts, authoring a 1.09 ERA and 0.61 WHIP. He’s struck out 31 batters compared to just two walks in that span. Urias should be able to neutralize two of the Brewers’ better hitters in Christian Yelich and Kolten Wong, who are 0-for-9 and 0-for-5, respectively, against him and are at a perceived handedness disadvantage. 

Milwaukee also has to navigate the challenging Dodger bullpen, which is tops in the majors by ERA over the last two weeks (2.03). Evan Phillips, David Price, and Alex Vesia have all worked five clean innings in August. Craig Kimbrel has been afforded only two save chances in this span but has converted both of them.

The Brewers’ Freddy Peralta faces baseball’s most potent road offense (5.53 runs per game) as he continues working his way back to full strength. Peralta can be perplexing on the mound, but even he will be hard-pressed to hold off the onslaught from Mookie Betts, Will Smith, and Max Muncy.

Betts has been a dominant force atop the L.A. lineup this year, and he’s yet to be cooled off in August, authoring a 1.029 OPS while tallying a team-high 13 runs. Smith boasts a .400 average and a 1.094 OPS with 11 RBI in the same span. Muncy, after a dreadful first half of the campaign, has come alive for the Dodgers, hitting .400 this month with five homers and 12 RBI, both team-bests for the month.

Peralta will probably not pitch deep into this game, affording L.A. some extra chances at a soft Brewers bullpen that’s 20th in baseball by ERA (4.19) this month.

Trend bettors should note that the Dodgers are 42-11 in their last 53 overall, while the Brewers are 1-4 in their last five games against starters with a WHIP less than 1.15. 

Prediction: Dodgers moneyline (-164 at WynnBET)

Over/Under analysis

With Milwaukee unlikely to hold up its end of the bargain on offense, bettors should back the Under.

Dodgers manager Dave Roberts has been keeping Urias on a looser leash of late, allowing him to work the seventh inning in three of his last five efforts. He had yet to record more than 18 outs in a start this year prior to July 16. The longer Urias works, the less exposure the L.A. relief corps will have. 

Roberts should be able to stick to those in his circle of trust out of the bullpen here. The circle has gotten bigger with Chris Martin joining the club at the deadline. He’s tallied a team-high six appearances this month, allowing only two runs and four baserunners over 6 1-3 innings.

Peralta’s lone recent start against the Dodgers was impeccable, as he held them to one run on one hit and a walk over six frames last season. He’s capable of keeping this lineup on its back foot early on. 

The trends say take the Under too, as the Dodgers have gone 6-2-1 to the Under in their last nine road games against teams with winning records, while the Brewers have gone 3-1-1 to the Under in their last five games against left-handed starters. 

Prediction: Under 7.5 (-105 at Unibet)

Best bet

The Dodgers offense is capable of breaking out at any time, even off a shutout loss. But we won’t guarantee that happening in this spot. Instead, we’ll back the L.A. pitching staff to have its way with Milwaukee’s batting order.

Urias has been red-hot and should have plenty of success against a Brewers lineup that’s 29th in the majors in batting average against lefties (.220). There’s an embarrassment of riches behind him in the Dodgers bullpen, which shouldn’t be overworked here.

Milwaukee is 4-8 over its last 12 games, averaging a modest 3.67 runs per contest. Expect L.A. to bring that average down on Monday night.

Pick: Brewers team total Under 3.0 (-105 at FanDuel)

MLB parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s MLB Dodgers vs. Brewers picks, you could win $51.36 on a $10 bet?

Use our MLB parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Pages related to this topic

Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Publishing Editor

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

Popular Content

Legal Canadian sports betting

Best Canadian betting sites Ontario sports betting
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo