The Philadelphia Phillies’ offensive struggles continued on Friday night in a 3-1 loss to the Cleveland Guardians. The Phillies are looking for a better performance in Game 2 of the three-game set on Saturday night at Citizens Bank Park.
Cleveland’s offense also hasn’t been too hot as Friday’s three runs were the third-most it’s scored in a game since the All-Star break.
Read on for my Guardians vs. Phillies predictions and MLB picks for Saturday, July 27.
Guardians vs Phillies prediction
My best bet
Under 9 (-102 at DraftKings)
My analysis
We easily cashed an Under 8 at even money in Friday night’s game and are going right back to the Under 9 in tonight’s contest. The Philadelphia Phillies mustered just one run on six hits against the Cleveland Guardians, while the visitors scored three early runs to hold on for the victory.
The pitching matchup tonight does leave some room for concern with Carlos Carrasco facing off against rookie Tyler Phillips. Phillips has been great in the majors with just five earned runs in 16 innings (2.81 ERA), but he had a 4.89 ERA in 92 innings at Triple-A this year.
There is some worry that he could regress, but the Guardians have scored just 20 runs in seven games since the All-Star break. Additionally, there have been nine runs or fewer in 15 of Cleveland’s last 18 games and nine of the last 12 for Philadelphia.
Carrasco is coming off one of his worst starts of the year with six earned runs in 5 1/3 innings. Still, he’s largely been reliable for the Guardians with three earned runs or fewer in 13 of 18 starts. Add in the Guardians bullpen’s MLB-best 2.48 ERA, and you have a recipe for an Under.
Guardians vs Phillies same-game parlay (SGP)
Under 9
Phillies moneyline
Trea Turner 1+ hits
I’m going back to the well on the Under, Phillies moneyline, and Trea Turner to get a hit in tonight’s game. Turner has been stellar since returning from the IL with Friday night’s loss being just the sixth time in his last 31 games that he was held hitless.
Carrasco is susceptible to giving up a few runs and Phillips has been solid in limited MLB innings. Home-field advantage is also on the Phillies’ side tonight.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Guardians vs Phillies odds
Guardians vs Phillies live odds
Guardians vs Phillies opening odds
- Run line: Cleveland +1.5 | Philadelphia -1.5
- Moneyline: Cleveland +138 | Philadelphia -150
- Over/Under: Over 9 | Under 9
Guardians vs Phillies spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Phillies have been bet down to as low as -142 on DraftKings as of Saturday morning.
- The Guardians are now between +120 and +126 following Friday night’s win.
- The total opened at 9 and you can get Over 9 (-115) or Under 9 (-102) at various books, so shop for the best available price.
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Guardians vs Phillies trend
The Phillies have hit the moneyline in 33 of their last 44 games at home (+11.85 Units / 14% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Guardians vs. Phillies
Guardians vs Phillies game info
| Location: | Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA |
| Date: | Saturday, 7-27-2024 |
| First pitch: | 7:10 p.m. ET |
| TV: | Bally Sports Great Lakes, NBCS-Philadelphia |
| Guardians starting pitcher: | Carlos Carrasco (3-8, 5.32 ERA) |
| Phillies starting pitcher: | Tyler Phillips (2-0, 2.81 ERA) |
Guardians vs Phillies latest injuries
Guardians vs Phillies weather
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