Home Run Props and Odds for Tonight: FanDuel Dinger Tuesday Picks

We've got some homer-positive pitching matchups in Milwaukee and the desert tonight, which leads us to focus on WIlly Adames and Eugenio Suarez as our best bets for playing FanDuel's Dinger Tuesday tonight.

Jared Hochman - Content Manager at Covers.com
Jared Hochman • Content Manager
Aug 13, 2024 • 11:30 ET
Willy Adames Milwaukee Brewers MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Tuesdays are for betting on home run props.

The unofficial-official day to bet on MLB player props for homers is the middle of the week — with several sportsbooks offering specific betting promotions related to long balls.

However, none are as popular as FanDuel's Dinger Tuesday, where for two different games, you place a $25 bet on a player to hit a home run and get $5 in bonus bets for every total home run hit in that game (regardless of who hits 'em).

I'll break down the best games to target, including a starting pitcher breakdown and best player values, for Dinger Tuesday tonight, August 13.

Best home run props and odds for FanDuel Dinger Tuesday

Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers (American Family Field, 8:40 p.m. ET)

Pitcher HR/9 HR/FB% FB%
Dodgers Gavin Stone (RHP) 2.7 21.4 37.8
Brewers Colin Rea (RHP) 0.8 8.0 46.3

Stone has been no stranger to homers, giving up at least one in six straight games (eight total), with righties posting a much better batting average but lefties posting a near-50% fly-ball rate and more HR in that stretch.

As for Rea, he's allowed a long ball in just one of his last four starts, but most of those were road outings and he's at home tonight — where he has allowed a dinger in seven of his last eight starts. 

Hitters to target - Dodgers
* = best price available

  • Shohei Ohtani, LH (+220)
    Hitting just .152 vs. RHP in the last two weeks, but has a 63% FB rate in that span and has homered in two of last four games (including last night).
  • Freddie Freeman, LH (+470)
    Hitting .278 with a 40% FB rate against righties last 14 days.
  • Mookie Betts, RH (+460)
    Returned from a two-month IL stint yesterday... and naturally went yard. Leads LAD regulars with 49% FB rate vs. RHP on the season.
  • Teoscar Hernandez, RH (+400)
    Team-leading .342 average and four HR vs. RHP over the last 14 days.

Hitters to target - Brewers

  • *Willy Adames, RH (+480)
    Hitting .387 with four HR and 63% FB rate vs. righties last two weeks.
  • *William Contreras, RH (+540)
    Three HR, 46% FB rate, .321 average vs. RHP in that span, homers in two of last five games (including yesterday).
  • Rhys Hoskins, RH (+450)
    55% fly-ball rate, .296 avg and two HR vs, righties L14.
  • *Jake Bauers, LH (+600)
    Has hits in two straight starts (incl. a HR), with a 38% FB rate vs. RHP last two weeks.

Pick: Willy Adames (+480 at FanDuel)

FanDuel Dinger Tuesday

Place a wager of $25 or more on a player to hit a home run bet, get $5 for every homer hit in that game — available for two different games!

Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks (Chase Field, 9:40 p.m. ET)
(All stats last 30 days)

Pitcher HR/9 HR/FB% FB%
Rockies Austin Gomber (LHP) 2.8 21.4 44.4
Diamondbacks Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) 3.2 35.0 28.6

Gomber has coughed up multiple long balls in his last two starts and allowed one dinger in nine of his last 10 outings (13 total). This is a platoon play, as righties have accounted for nearly all the damage in that span, with 11/13 HR, a .343 average, and 43% fly-ball rate.

E-Rod made his 2024 debut six days ago after being sidelined with a shoulder strain, and went 5 2/3 innings, allowing two home runs to the Guardians. He's historically been pretty equal in terms of platoon splits, with same-side batters actually posting a higher HR/AB throughout his career.

Hitters to target - Rockies

  • Brendan Rodgers, RH (+680)
    Hitting .421 with two HR in August, including a 40% FB rate vs. LHP.
  • Michael Toglia, SH (+440)
    Leads Rockies in HR/AB, hitting .333 with a 50% FB rate during current six-game hitting streak.
  • Ezequiel Tovar, RH (+560)
    Second on the team with 19 HR, has a 54% FB rate over the last two weeks.
  • Brenton Doyle, RH (+560)
    Five hits (incl. a HR), in his last three starts, with a 46% FB rate over the last 14 days.

Hitters to target - Diamondbacks

  • *Eugenio Suarez, RH (+420)
    Hitting .314 with four HR over the last two weeks, along with a 46% FB rate.
  • Josh Bell, SH (+440)
    Hitting .304 with four HR in 11 games since joining Arizona.
  • Randal Grichuk, RH (+420)
    Hitting .357 with a 36% fly-ball rate vs. lefties L14, has hit safely in six straight starts (with one HR).
  • Ketel Marte, SH (OTB)
    Major injury concerns, having left early in two straight starts, but was crushing everything — especially southpaws.

Pick: Eugenio Suarez (+420 at FanDuel)

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Jared Hochman Content Manager at Covers.com
Content Manager

Before Jared Hochman joined the Covers team in 2020, he worked for newspaper outlets such as the Chronicle Herald and The Coast, worked in marketing for SkipTheDishes and Vivid Seats, and previously ran a magazine. A journalism graduate from the University of King's College in, Halifax, N.S., "Hoch" brings more than a decade of experience in sports betting, having worked as a freelance handicapper, making appearances on Monumental Sports Network and the Sharp 600 podcast, and now also filling in occasionally as host of Covers' NHL Puck Props. 

Awarded Covers' company MVP for 2023, Jared is an avid bettor of MLB, NFL, NHL, and NBA, while also wagering on some soccer and WNBA. His best advice for sports bettors? Price shop — something he does daily across 10 different sportsbook apps.

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