Mariners vs Angels Picks and Predictions: One for the Money, Two for the Sho

Shoehi Ohtani has been an utter force for the Angels this year, and is even better on home turf, rocking a sparkling 1.37 ERA in four home starts.

Jun 4, 2021 • 18:45 ET
Shohei Ohtani Los Angeles Angels MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Seattle Mariners get their first look at the  Los Angeles Angels' sensational two-way talent in dual action Friday – but based on Thursday's result, they have to be feeling confident.

The Mariners seek their second straight win as the American League West rivals renew hostilities at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. Seattle cruised to a 6-2 victory in the opener and kept Shohei Ohtani neutralized at the plate, as he went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts in defeat. He'll take the mound Friday, looking to build off a strong May showing while curtailing the walks that have been a problem for most of the season.

Here's a look at our betting picks for Friday's showdown between the Mariners and Angels.

Mariners vs Angels game info

Location: Angel Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date: Friday, June 4, 2021
Time: 10:38 p.m. ET
TV: BSW

Mariners vs Angels odds

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MLB Sharp Money and Line Movement Report

By Patrick Everson

Los Angeles hit the FanDuel odds board at -132 this morning, quickly shot up to -184 and ultimately peaked at -194. But as of 7 p.m. ET, the moneyline is at -164. Still, the Angels are attracting 82 percent of tickets and 91 percent of cash. The total made a couple of trips from 8.5 to 9 and is now 8.5 (Over -118), with 55 percent of tickets on the Under and 55 percent of money on the Over.

Check out the full line movement for this game

Mariners vs Angels betting preview

Starting pitchers

Robert Dugger (0-1, 6.23 ERA): Dugger will kick off what is expected to be a bullpen game for the Mariners, who placed original Friday starter Justin Dunn on the IL Wednesday with shoulder inflammation. Seattle will hope to get multiple innings out of Dugger, who surrendered two runs over three innings in his previous meeting with the Angels back on May 1.

Shohei Ohtani (1-1, 2.72 ERA): Ohtani has done well to keep runs off the board in recent starts, posting an impressive 2.38 ERA in four May appearances. But walks remain a persistent issue for the talented two-way star, as he issued four free passes over six innings of a 3-1 loss to Oakland last time out. Ohtani has a sparkling 1.37 ERA in four home starts.

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Mariners: Shed Long 2B (Out), Dylan Moore SS (Out), Kyle Lewis OF (Out), Sean Haggerty 2B (Out).
Angels: Dexter Fowler OF (Out), Mike Trout OF (Out), Jose Iglesias SS (Out), Franklin Barreto 2B (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Mariners have won five of the past six meetings with the Angels. Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Giants.

Moneyline pick

The Mariners' underlying numbers aren't great when it comes to the prospect of a bullpen game. Seattle has already racked up the seventh-most innings in baseball out of its relievers (217 2/3) while boasting a 4.09 reliever ERA and a 4.11 xFIP, both of which rank slightly below the league average. They do, however, have the No. 5 HR/FB ratio among relievers at 9.3 percent.

That said, it might not matter what the Seattle relief corps does Friday if Ohtani continues to dominate on home turf. Opponents have a minuscule .145 OBA in 18 1/3 innings vs. Ohtani at Angel Stadium, with the hard-throwing righty having racked up 26 strikeouts in that span. He has issued 19 walks over that same stretch, but has done well to mitigate the damage overall.

The pitching matchup is everything here, and we like Ohtani over whatever collection of relief arms the Mariners throw out there.

PREDICTION: Angels (-170)

Over/Under pick

Ohtani's red-hot May coincided with the Angels doing next to nothing at the plate to support him. His four starts produced an average of 4.8 runs per game, giving Under bettors not much of a sweat at all. 

The Angels are 20th in the majors in wOBA over the past 30 days (.298), while the Mariners are 28th (.284). That's not much offense being produced by these teams – and while their ISOs both rank in the middle of the pack over that span, their K rates are alarming (Seattle is ninth at 25.5 percent, while the Angels are 11th at 25.0).

Offense should be at a premium here, making the Under a strong play.

PREDICTION: Under 9 (-110)

Mariners vs Angels betting card

  • Angels (-170)
  • Under 9 (-110)

Picks made on 6/4/2021 at 11:40 a.m. ET

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