The Washington Nationals and Colorado Rockies have been knocked out of the National League postseason race ages ago but that doesn’t mean there's nothing to watch in this matchup.
A big thing to keep an eye on during the final week of the season is whether Juan Soto can continue to climb up the NL MVP odds board. The Nats' slugger has been absolutely locked in at the dish in the month of September, but does that make Washington a good bet as road underdogs at Coors Field?
Nationals vs Rockies game info
• Location: Coors Field, Denver, CO
• Date: Monday, September 27, 2021
• Time: 8:40 p.m. ET
• TV: ATT SportsNet-RM, MASN
Nationals vs Rockies odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
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Nationals vs Rockies betting preview
Starting pitchers
Josiah Gray (1-2, 5.92 ERA): Gray was one part of the return in the Max Scherzer-Trea Turner deal and while the right-hander has had some growing pains, he’s also shown flashes of his potential. Gray is coming off six solid innings of work against the Marlins where he allowed two runs on six hits while striking out eight.
German Marquez (12-10, 4.32 ERA): Things have gone south for Marquez since appearing in his first All-Star Game. The Rockies ace has pitched to a 6.03 ERA and a 1.48 WHP since the mid-summer break which includes getting lit up by the Nats the last time he faced them back on Sept. 17.
Weather
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.
Key injuries
Nationals: No key injuries.
Rockies: No key injuries.
Find our latest MLB injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Over is 5-0 in Gray's last five starts overall and 4-0 in Marquez's last four. Find more MLB betting trends for Nationals vs. Rockies.
Moneyline pick
The Nationals enter this matchup having lost three games in a row, but their bats haven’t been silent. Led by the superstar Soto, Washington is actually averaging 5.3 runs per game over its last 12 contests.
And despite the trade deadline selloff, the Nationals still have one of the NL’s best offenses. They rank fourth in batting average, sixth in OPS, and remain very hard to strike out.
Now they face Marquez, who, as mentioned, has struggled since the All-Star break. He got torched by this same Nats team for six runs on eight hits while lasting just four innings earlier in the month.
While Gray has also had his ups and downs, the Rockies’ bats have been a little more inconsistent down the stretch, plating 3.6 runs per contest.
So, with two inconsistent starters, capable offenses (at least when the Rockies are at home), and below-average bullpens, this game feels like more of a coin flip than the odds seem to suggest. And for that reason, let’s take the value with the underdog.
PREDICTION: Nationals (+150)
Over/Under pick
This is obviously a big total, but these NL foes should be able to take it down.
We’ve already talked about how good the Nationals' offense can be, but the Rockies' numbers at Coors Field are not something to be taken lightly. Colorado ranks second in scoring and team batting average and third in OPS when playing at home this season.
And the Rockies were able to take advantage of Gray when they last faced him in Washington back on Sept. 17, getting to him for five runs on three hits and four walks in 5 1-3 innings.
This matchup also includes two bullpens that rank 27th and 28th in ERA (both over 5.00) and the Over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings between these teams at Coors Field. We like that trend to continue and are siding with the Over.
PREDICTION: Over 11.5 (-110)
Nationals vs Rockies betting card
- Nationals (+150)
- Over 11.5 (-110)
Picks made on 9/27/2021 at 12:30 p.m. ET
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