MLB Player Props for 8-23: Best Bets for Nelson, Chisholm Jr. & Greene

With Jazz Chisholm Jr. putting up big numbers for New York before getting injured, we expect the third baseman to shine in his return to the diamond on Friday.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Aug 23, 2024 • 11:47 ET • 4 min read
Jazz Chisholm Jr. New York Yankees MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees are set to welcome back third baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr., and I'm expecting him to pick up where he left off two weeks ago.

Find out more, as along with backing Diamondbacks starter Ryne Nelson and Tigers slugger Riley Greene, the Yankees' biggest trade deadline acquisition headlines my best free MLB player props for Friday, August 23.

MLB props for August 23

Today’s best MLB props

Prop bet #1: Ryne Nelson Over 4.5 strikeouts

(-130 at FanDuel)

Arizona Diamondbacks right-hander Ryne Nelson has been lights out since the start of July, pitching to a 2.73 ERA with a 0.95 WHIP and 55 strikeouts through 56 innings.

Today, Nelson faces a Boston Red Sox squad that strikes out at the third-highest rate in the majors. Boston's lineup is stacked with left-handed batters, but Nelson has excellent reverse platoon splits, holding lefties to a BA of .236.

Nelson has racked up 5+ strikeouts in seven of his last eight starts, averaging 6.5 strikeouts per start during that span. Take the Over 4.5 strikeouts for Nelson here.

Prop bet #2: Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 runs + hits + RBI

+105 at BetMGM

The New York Yankees get some good news with Jazz Chisholm Jr. slotting back into the lineup after missing 10 days with a UCL sprain. There were initial concerns in the media about the severity of the injury, but Chisholm said he was swinging the bat without pain on Wednesday.

Chisolm has been phenomenal since being acquired at the trade deadline. The infielder has slashed .316/.361/.702 with seven home runs, 11 RBI, and 13 runs scored in 14 games with the Yankees.

He's poised for a big game tonight at home against the Colorado Rockies and southpaw Kyle Freeland, who has a 5.97 ERA in 14 starts. While home/away splits can sometimes be extreme for Colorado pitchers, Freeland is surprisingly worse on the road, where he has an OBA of .364 this year and had a .303 OBA last season.  

Chisholm also boasts better numbers against lefties, and with the Rockies having just one right-hander in their bullpen, there's a good chance he'll hold the reverse split advantage all game. This is a five-star prop from THE BAT X, projecting 2.1 runs, hits, and RBI from Chisholm. 

Prop bet #3: Riley Greene Over 1.5 total bases

+110 at bet365

Riley Greene enjoyed a rest day yesterday as he continues to recover from a hamstring injury that sidelined him for almost a month. Greene returned to the Detroit Tigers lineup last Sunday, and while he went 0-for-8 in his first two games back, he shook off the rust by going 2-for-4 with a homer on Wednesday. 

Greene is slugging .483 and leads Detroit with 185 total bases in 104 games. The outfielder had a slow start to the year but has slashed .292/.373/.541 over his last 50 games.

Today, Greene and the Tigers are hosting the Chicago White Sox and starter Chris Flexen, who has a 5.46 ERA with a 1.52 WHIP through 24 starts. Greene will have the platoon advantage against Flexen, who allows left-handed hitters to slug .543. Bet on the Detroit outfielder to pick up more than 1.5 total bases against Flexen and a brutal Chicago bullpen.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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