Rangers vs Blue Jays Picks and Predictions: Jays' Bats Beat Up On Unproven Starter

The Blue Jays are sending Hyun Jin Ryu to the mound as they try to close out a three-game sweep against the Rangers. With lackluster pitching and a lineup that struggles against lefties, our MLB betting picks don't see Texas providing much resistance.

Zachary Cohen - Contributor at Covers.com
Apr 10, 2022 • 08:40 ET • 4 min read
Bo Bichette Toronto Blue Jays MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Blue Jays are already off to a 2-0 start after earning a 4-3 win over the Texas Rangers on Saturday, and they’ll now look to make it a clean three-game sweep with a win on Sunday. 

Will Toronto win with Hyun Jin Ryu on the mound for the third game of this opening series? Continue reading our Rangers vs. Blue Jays MLB picks and predictions to find out.

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Rangers vs Blue Jays odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

You can’t find the Blue Jays for anything better than -233, so it’s going to be tough to even consider Toronto as a moneyline favorite in this game. Meanwhile, the best line you’ll find for the Jays on the run line is -120. 

As for the total, the number opened at 10 and has since gone down to 9.5 on most sites, with the best prices for the Under being -103. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until kickoff and be sure to check out the full MLB odds before placing your bets.

Rangers vs Blue Jays predictions

Picks made on 4/10/2022 at 2:30 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Rangers vs Blue Jays game info

Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Date: Sunday, April 10, 2022
First pitch: 1:37 p.m. ET
TV: Bally Sports, Sportsnet

Rangers vs Blue Jays betting preview

Starting pitchers

Spencer Howard RHP (2021: 0-5, 7.43 ERA): Last year, Howard split his time between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Rangers, but the 25-year-old didn’t earn a single win for either team. Also, his ERA was up at 9.70 in his eight starts for Texas, so he can only go up from here. Howard also had a very good Spring Training, where he allowed just four earned runs over 11.2 innings. 

Hyun Jin Ryu LHP (2021: 14-10, 4.37 ERA): Ryu only made one appearance in Spring Training, and he gave up three earned runs in 3.0 innings of work. The lefty is, however, a trustworthy veteran, and he’s capable of using his smarts on the mound to overcome any lack of sharpness out there. Ryu also gave up only two earned in 14.0 innings against the Rangers last season. 

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Rangers: Matt Bush P (Out), Jon Gray P (Out), Garrett Richards P (Out), Jonathan Hernandez P (Out).
Blue Jays: Nate Pearson P (Out), Ryan Borucki P (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Over is 9-4-1 in the last 14 road games Texas has played with a total between 9 and 10.5. Find more MLB betting trends for Rangers vs. Blue Jays.

Rangers vs Blue Jays picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Run line analysis

The Blue Jays are massive favorites in this meeting with the Rangers, so there isn’t much value in taking them on the moneyline. Instead, you’re going to be better off looking to the run line, as this really should be a straightforward win for Toronto. 

In two starts against the Rangers last year, Ryu gave up just two earned runs over 14.0 innings of work. He went exactly seven in each of those contests, but he was even more dominant when the two met in Toronto.

In that start, on July 18, Ryu only gave up three hits and pitched the entirety of what was a seven-inning game. The lefty also needed only 83 pitches to make it through that start, so it isn’t crazy to think that he could have pitched a true complete game shutout if he was given the chance. 

Also, while the Rangers do boast some impressive offensive talent this season, only three teams hit fewer homers than Texas against left-handed pitching last year.

The Rangers also drove in the fourth-fewest runs against southpaws, and they had the fifth-worst batting average in baseball against lefties. The team did add some serious firepower in Marcus Semien and Corey Seager in the offseason, but that might not help them here. Semien hit just .243 against lefties last season, and Seager has always been a guy that prefers to face righties. 

On offense, Toronto is as dangerous as it gets from top to bottom, and the team is facing an unproven starter. It wouldn’t be too surprising if the Jays chased Howard from this game early, even if the former top prospect did show signs of life this spring. 

Prediction: Blue Jays -1.5 (-120 at Caesars

Over/Under analysis

Even in a game that went Under the total on Saturday, these two teams combined to score seven runs and have now scored a total of 25 runs over the last two games.

Last year, only two teams in baseball scored more runs than the Blue Jays did, and the Rangers did a lot to address an offense that was the third-worst in baseball last season. 

While Ryu is a really reliable starting pitcher, the lefty didn’t have much opportunity to get himself ready in the spring. With that in mind, it wouldn’t be surprising if the Rangers score a few runs off him here.

Meanwhile, the Blue Jays really should be able to light up Howard. The righty didn’t pitch more than 4.0 innings in a single game with the Rangers last year, but he still had four starts in which he gave up four or more earned runs. 

Also, for what it’s worth, the Over is 10-3-1 in the last 14 games in which the Rangers have played a third game in a series. It’s also 5-2 in the last seven games that the Jays have played against the AL West. 

Prediction: Over 9.5 (-114 at FanDuel)

Best bet

With the Over looking like the play in this game, you have to think that it will be Toronto that is more likely to do the heavy lifting offensively. Against a starter like Howard that has never notched a victory, it wouldn’t be too shocking if the Jays really took advantage of him this afternoon.

Last year, the Jays scored at least six runs in 38 of their 81 home games, and they faced far better starters than the one they’re seeing in this one.

It also doesn’t hurt that the Rangers seemingly have one of the least reliable bullpens in baseball, which means Toronto will have plenty of late-game opportunities to get Over this 5.5-point total — if they need them.

Pick: Blue Jays team total Over 5.5 (-118 at Unibet)

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