Blue Jays Picks, Predictions & Best Bets vs the Red Sox for April 7

Our Blue Jays predictions expect Toronto's offense to bounce back in a big way at Fenway Park.

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst
Apr 7, 2025 • 15:51 ET • 4 min read
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Toronto Blue Jays MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Toronto Blue Jays star Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Toronto Blue Jays fans can finally rest easy after Vladimir Guerrero Jr. was locked up to a massive long-term deal.

And with the contract situation behind him, the Jays are hoping Vladdy can start swatting a few dingers after a weekend that saw them score just three runs. Where better to start than Fenway Park, where the Jays open a series with the Boston Red Sox?

My Blue Jays predictions and MLB picks break down why I like the scoreboard to light up on Monday, April 7.

Blue Jays predictions for April 7

Today’s Blue Jays best bet: Offense bounces back

Over 8.5 (-120 at BetVictor)

It was a rough weekend of scoring for the Toronto Blue Jays, plating just three runs while getting swept away by the Mets. Despite this, it’s good vibes only as they open a series at Fenway Park against the Boston Red Sox

That’s because Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is a Blue Jay for life after inking a massive 14-year, $500-million deal to stay with the only team he's ever known. With the contract situation behind him, Vladdy can focus on swatting dingers, and why not start tonight?

Vladdy's always mashed the baseball at Fenway, hitting .356 with a 1.054 OPS and 10 home runs in 46 career games. So, tonight is as good a night as any for Guerrero’s power numbers to return.

It also sounds like George Springer will be back in the lineup after avoiding serious injury following a collision with the outfield wall over the weekend. Springer has led the way for a team that ranks ninth in batting average so far this season, and tonight, they’ll face rookie Richard Fitts.

Injuries have decimated the Red Sox’s rotation, so they turn to Fitts for the second time in this young season. He's a right-hander who throws mostly a combination of a four-seam fastball, a slider, and a sweeper. His first start was solid, allowing three runs on six hits over six innings.

However, if the Jays are patient at the plate, as they have been this season (they rank 20th in strikeouts), I like the Jays' chances of stringing together some hits tonight when they dig in against the Red Sox prospect.

Meanwhile, scoring wasn’t a problem for the Red Sox this weekend, plating a ridiculous 36 runs in just three games against the Cardinals. They enter this game ranked fifth in batting average and third in OPS. 

I expect these offenses to do some work and send this Over the total.

Today’s Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 RBI

George Springer Over 1.5 total bases

Richard Fitts Over 2.5 earned runs

As noted, Vladdy crushes the ball at Fenway Park. Despite the power numbers still lacking this season, he's driven in a run four times this season and gets a good matchup in a park he loves to hit in.

It would also be great if George Springer were back in the lineup. The Blue Jays outfielder was off to a hot start before hurting his back on Saturday night in New York, but he seemed none the worse for wear as he entered the game Sunday as a pinch runner and promptly stole a base.

He's hitting .379 with a 1.075 OPS and has multiple hits in five of his eight starts, and has 2+ total bases six times during that period.

So, if we’re betting the game goes Over and the Jays' key bats to have some success, let’s round this same-game parlay out with Fitts to go Over 2.5 earned runs. He allowed three runs last time out, and the Red Sox need innings from their starters. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Live Blue Jays odds for today

How to watch the Blue Jays today

Location Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Date Monday, April 7, 2025
First pitch 6:45 p.m. ET
TV Rogers Sportsnet
Blue Jays starting pitcher Jose Berrios
(0-1, 6.75 ERA)
Red Sox starting pitcher Richard Fitts
(0-1, 4.50 ERA)

Not intended for use in MA.
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Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew “Taco” Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he’s been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS.

These days Andrew’s betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams – the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He’s also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can’t be friends with you if you don’t appreciate a Service Academy Under. You can also call him Covers’ Sixth Man, as he regularly steps up to guest host Before You Bet and our MLB and NCAAF release shows.

The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It’s not an interesting story. Seriously.

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