Fresh off a win on Jackie Robinson Day, the Los Angeles Dodgers face off with the Cincinnati Reds for the third game of a four-game series.
Julio Urias gets the nod for Los Angeles and looks to rebound after a disappointing season debut. Hunter Greene will be on the bump for the Reds, marking the 22-year-old’s second start in the majors.
The Dodgers grabbed a win in each of the first two games of the series and sit at 5-2. The Reds have faltered out of the gates, sitting at 2-6.
MLB picks and predictions for the Cincinnati Reds and Los Angeles Dodgers on Saturday, April 16 to find out.
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Reds vs Dodgers odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.
The Dodgers opened as -233 favorites. The line currently ranges from as low as -220 to as high as -250 across various books. The total has taken significant money toward the Under, opening at 9.5 and moving a full point to 8.5 at current.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until kickoff and be sure to check out the full MLB odds before placing your bets.
Reds vs Dodgers predictions
Picks made on 4/16/2022 at 10:30 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Reds vs Dodgers game info
• Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
• Date: Saturday, April 16, 2022
• First pitch: 10:10 p.m. ET
• TV: SportsNet LA, Bally Sports Ohio
Reds vs Dodgers betting preview
Starting pitchers
Hunter Greene (1-0, 5.40 ERA): The talented 22-year-old will make his second start in the big leagues Saturday night. Greene impressed in his first outing with seven strikeouts over five innings against the Braves but gave up two long balls. The flame-throwing right-hander stands 6-foot-5 and is one of the top prospects in all of baseball — MLB lists him as the 22nd overall prospect and fourth right-handed pitcher.
Julio Urias (0-1, 13.50 ERA): Urias struggled in his first start of the season, giving up six runs (three earned) over only two innings against the Rockies. That was his first start of the season and it came at Coors Field, so we’ll give him a pass. The 25-year-old lefty had a breakout season a year ago, racking up 20 wins (with only three losses) with a 2.96 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP.
Weather
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.
Key injuries
Reds: Jonathan India 2B (Questionable), Jose Barrero SS (Out), Max Schrock 2B (Out), Donovan Solano 2B (Out), Lucas Sims RP (Out).
Dodgers: Caleb Ferguson RP (Out), Tommy Kahnle RP (Out), Jimmy Nelson RP (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Dodgers are 41-12 in their last 53 home games. Find more MLB betting trends for Reds vs. Dodgers.
Reds vs Dodgers picks and predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
Moneyline analysis
Things are not going swimmingly for the Reds to begin the 2022 season. Cincinnati has slipped to 2-6 on the season after Friday’s 3-1 loss on Jackie Robinson day.
The bats have been ice cold, ranking third-last in the MLB with a .577 OPS as a team. The pitching hasn’t been much better, running fourth-last in team ERA (5.29 ERA).
It’s been an opposite story for the Dodgers, who rank third in team ERA at 2.51 ERA. That’s despite a very poor start from Julio Urias in his season debut, allowing six runs (three earned) over just two innings against the Rockies.
Urias was a 20-game winner a season ago with an ERA below 3.00, so a rebound performance is to be expected against the Reds’ struggling lineup.
The Dodger bats have also been hot to begin the year, ranking seventh in the league in runs scored despite playing only seven games.
The matchup with Hunter Greene is a difficult evaluation. Greene is the 22nd overall prospect in the MLB and the fourth RHP prospect. He struck out seven but allowed two home runs in his season debut, signaling both his upside and his rawness as a pitcher.
The Dodgers have the more established pitcher on the mound and there is a vast difference in offensive firepower.
Los Angeles has been incredible at home, going 41-12 over their last 53 games at Dodger Stadium. The Reds, meanwhile, are 2-8 in their last 10 games as a road underdog.
Prediction: Dodgers moneyline (-220 at DraftKings)
Over/Under analysis
A return to form is expected in this matchup for Julio Urias. He struggled mightily in his first start of the year, but that occurred at Coors Field.
He now has the luxury of pitching at his home field and is facing a Reds lineup hitting below the Mendoza line on the season (.191 BA).
The Dodgers have played toward the Under, going just 2-4-1 to the Over to begin the season. The Reds are 5-2-1 to the Over to begin the season, but that’s primarily due to an inadequate pitching staff getting roughed up and allowing opposing offenses to put up crooked numbers on the scoreboard.
The Under is 7-2 in the Reds' last nine road games vs. left-handed starters. Cincinnati will be facing a quality lefty in Urias, who managed a 2.96 ERA a season ago. The Under is 10-2 in the Dodgers' last 12 games following a win.
Give us the Under.
Prediction: Under 8.5 (-104 at FanDuel)
Best bet
We also will be placing a wager on the total, as the Under appears to be the correct side.
That being said, our best bet is on the Dodgers to cover the -1.5 run line as they have a pitching advantage, the better lineup, and will be playing at home.
Pick: Dodgers -1.5 (-113 at UniBet)
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