The NASCAR Cup Series rolls into Nashville Superspeedway this Sunday for the Ally 400, and we have the free betting picks you need for this Music City spectacle.
Kyle Larson has company atop the board in the form of Denny Hamlin, while NASCAR odds on other contenders like Josh Berry and Ty Gibbs have gone down after qualifying.
Odds to win 2024 Ally 400
| Driver |  |
 |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | +400 | +400 |
| Denny Hamlin | +400 | +330 |
| Martin Truex Jr. | +650 | +700 |
| Christopher Bell | +800 | +700 |
| Ryan Blaney | +1,000 | +1,100 |
| Ty Gibbs | +1,100 | +1,600 |
| Josh Berry | +1,300 | +1,800 |
| Brad Keselowski | +1,400 | +1,400 |
| Ross Chastain | +1,500 | +1,800 |
| William Byron | +1,700 | +1,200 |
| Tyler Reddick | +1,700 | +1,400 |
| Chase Elliott | +1,800 | +1,800 |
| Joey Logano | +2,000 | +2,200 |
| Chris Buescher | +2,500 | +2,800 |
| Kyle Busch | +2,800 | +5,000 |
| Alex Bowman | +3,500 | +4,000 |
| Bubba Wallace | +4,000 | +5,000 |
| Austin Cindric | +7,000 | +6,500 |
| Corey Heim | +7,000 | +6,000 |
| Noah Gragson | +10,000 | +8,000 |
Odds as of 6-30-2024.
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Ally 400 field
Heading into Nashville, we find Kyle Larson in the spot he's become accustomed to — the pre-qualifying favorite on the NASCAR odds board. Larson's posted a Top-5 finish here each of the past three seasons, including a win in 2021. He comes in with three victories on the 2024 season, fresh off a fourth-place result in New Hampshire last weekend.
Sitting right behind him is Denny Hamlin, who has three wins on the season already, and leads the overall Cup Series standings despite disappointing finishes of 38-24-24 across his past three races.
The field starts to get muddled after that, with a slew of drivers jumbled between +700 and +850 (don't forget to shop around for the best price!):
- Ross Chastain - Defending Nashville champ. Looking for a breakout from a disappointing season (just two Top-5 finishes in 2024, none better than fourth).
- Martin Truex Jr. - Has had a consistent if not spectacular campaign; zero wins but fourth in Cup Series standings.
- Christopher Bell - Winner at New Hampshire last week, his third on the season. Has never finished worse than ninth at Nashville.
- Chase Elliott - Former Nashville champ. Quietly third in 2024 Cup Series standings; hasn't finished in the bottom half of any race this season.
Overall, the field's odds distribution for this race is fairly linear, in contrast to polarizing prices we've seen for most events on the 2024 calendar. However, with six drivers available +800 or better at DraftKings, the pricing is still fairly top-heavy among the favorites.
Ally 400 expert picks and predictions
Odds listed below courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook as of 6-25-2024.
Ally 400 pre-qualifying favorites
Denny Hamlin (+550)
Hamlin keeps improving at Nashville. 21st, to sixth, to third. He led 114 laps and finished second in both stages two years ago. Last year, he led 81 laps with stage finishes of fifth and first, respectively. He won Dover this year and was fourth at Darlington.
Martin Truex Jr. (+750)
Stats say 22nd in two of his three Nashville finishes. However, Truex led 82 laps in 2022 and was a bad pit call away from a win. He swept both stages that night, and led 50 laps, finishing fourth and second in the pair of stages and runner-up overall a year ago. At Dover, Truex finished third.
Chase Elliott (+800)
He led 13 laps and finished 39th in 2021. Elliott then led 42 laps and won a year later. Last year, he led one lap and finished fourth. This season, Elliott finished fifth at Dover and 12th at Darlington.
Ally 400 sleepers
William Byron (+900)
Byron finished third in 2021 and sixth last year. He finished 33rd at Dover, but was sixth at Darlington.
Ty Gibbs (+2,500)
He finished 14th as a rookie last year, but 10th and second at Dover and Darlington, respectively, this season.
Ally 400 fades
Christopher Bell (+600)
Sure, Bell has finished ninth, eighth, and seventh, respectively, at Nashville. But, no Top-5 finishes and three laps led in three tries to go along with finishing 34th at Dover and 13th at Darlington gives me pause on his chances Sunday. He’s hot, but that can cool just as easily.
Tyler Reddick (+1,000)
He’s finished 18th, 18th, and 30th here. At Dover, Reddick was 11th, and 32nd at Darlington.
Ryan Blaney (+1,000)
Two of his three Nashville finishes are 36th or worse. He was seventh at Dover and 36th in Darlington this season, too.
Ally 400 prop pick
Kyle Larson Top-3 finish (+140)
He led all but 36 laps in his 2021 win and backed that up with being fourth in 2022 and fifth a year ago. He hasn’t led a single lap here since that 2021 dominance, but was runner-up at Dover this spring. I don’t like a win, but a Top-3 finish is safe.
Pick: Kyle Larson Top-3 finish (+140 at bet365)
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Popular motor sports futures odds
Nashville Superspeedway track analysis
This is only the fourth time that the track has ever hosted a Cup race. The 1.33-mile D-shaped oval with 14 degrees of banking in the turns was home to 21 NASCAR Xfinity Series races and 13 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series events prior to the 2021 tripleheader weekend.
Nashville Superspeedway is the largest concrete-only track in NASCAR, and the 1.33-mile speedway is owned by Dover Motorsports, Inc., which also owns Dover International Speedway in Delaware. That’s why Dover and Darlington are solid comparison tracks; the last two years have proven that results translate well between them.
Hendrick Motorsports is 2 for 3 here and won the 1984 Nashville race at the Fairgrounds to make them victors in three of the last four trips to Music City USA.
Ally 400 trends
- Expect the winner to dominate. Ross Chastain led 99 laps a year ago and was second and third in both stages. Kyle Larson led 264 laps and was second and first in both stages. Chase Elliott in 2022 led 42 laps and was eighth and fourth in the pair of stages. That’s six stages with the eventual race winner in the Top-4 in five of them.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Previous Ally 400 winners
Chevrolet is a perfect 3-for-3 at Nashville. Will the trend continue?
| Year | Winner |
| 2023 | Ross Chastain |
| 2022 | Chase Elliott |
| 2021 | Kyle Larson |
How to make Ally 400 picks
NASCAR betting is a nuanced process that can take any number of factors into account, and spans several different types of bets. Fortunately, our How to Bet NASCAR guide walks you through the basics, including how to read odds, different markets that are available, and what to consider when making your bets.
