We've reached another postseason cutoff race in the NASCAR Cup Series, and with no playoff drivers winning in the first two races of this round, the Bank of America ROVAL 400 sets up as a wild scramble for setting the Round of 8 field.
Only William Byron is assured a spot in the next round, but will he top our NASCAR betting picks for this Sunday? Let's take a look at how the odds are shaping up.
Odds to win 2024 Bank of America ROVAL 400
| Driver |  |
 |
 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Van Gisbergen | +400 | +600 | +600 |
| Kyle Larson | +700 | +1,000 | +800 |
| William Byron | +800 | +1,100 | +1,200 |
| AJ Allmendinger | +800 | +800 | +800 |
| Tyler Reddick | +1,100 | +1,200 | +700 |
| Christopher Bell | +1,200 | +1,300 | +1,400 |
| Chris Buescher | +1,200 | +1,400 | +1,400 |
| Chase Elliott | +1,200 | +1,500 | +1,000 |
| Ty Gibbs | +1,400 | +1,400 | +1,400 |
| Ross Chastain | +1,500 | +1,800 | +2,000 |
| Michael McDowell | +1,600 | +2,200 | +1,600 |
| Kyle Busch | +1,600 | +2,200 | +1,800 |
| Alex Bowman | +1,800 | +2,400 | +2,000 |
| Martin Truex Jr. | +2,000 | +2,400 | +3,500 |
| Daniel Suarez | +2,000 | +2,600 | +2,000 |
| Austin Cindric | +3,500 | +3,700 | +3,500 |
| Joey Logano | +4,000 | +4,400 | +2,800 |
| Ryan Blaney | +4,500 | +5,000 | +5,000 |
| Denny Hamlin | +4,500 | +5,000 | +2,500 |
| Chase Briscoe | +4,500 | +5,000 | +4,000 |
Odds as of 10-9.
Bank of America ROVAL 400 field
The days of Chase Elliott being the favorite at every road course are gone, but bettors and oddsmakers have gravitated to a new road course darling in Shane Van Gisbergen. The part-time Kaulig Racing pilot will be driving the No. 13 car this Sunday alongside teammate AJ Allmendinger, who won this race last year and is in the mix from a betting standpoint once again.
Another pair of teammates in Hendrick Motorsports' Kyle Larson and William Byron are the only other drivers listed at less than +1,000 at one or more of the sportsbooks we're monitoring ahead of the Bank of America ROVAL 400.
The four drivers sitting below the playoff cutline heading into Sunday are Joey Logano, Daniel Suarez, Austin Cindric, and Chase Briscoe, and the bookmakers aren't incredibly optimistic that one of them will win their way into the Round of 8. Suarez is being dangled at +2,000, but the other three are in the +3,500 to +4,500 range.
Bank of America ROVAL 400 expert picks and predictions
Odds listed below courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook as of 10-9.
Bank of America ROVAL 400 pre-qualifying favorites
AJ Allmendinger (+800)
Undefeated in the Xfinity Series here (4-0) and the defending race winner after leading twice for 46 laps. AJ Allmendinger finished fourth in the 2022 ROVAL Cup event, too.
William Byron (+800)
William Byron finished runner-up last year after finishes of sixth, sixth, 11th, and 16th in his previous four ROVAL races. Byron won at COTA and finished eighth on the Chicago Street Circuit this season.
Tyler Reddick (+1,100)
Tyler Reddick finished sixth last year after being second and eighth, respectively, in prior tries. This season, he has three Top-8 finishes in four road course starts.
Bank of America ROVAL 400 sleepers
Christopher Bell (+1,200)
He won in 2022 and despite finishing 15th a year ago, Christopher Bell qualified second and earned stage finishes of fifth and second. Bell also finished eighth on the ROVAL in 2019 and has respectable finishes of second, ninth, 37th, and 14th on road courses this season.
Chris Buescher (+1,200)
Can lightning strike twice? Chris Buescher won at Watkins Glen and has two Top-8 finishes in the other three road course events this season. He has two consecutive Top-7 finishes on the ROVAL.
Michael McDowell (+1,600)
Michael McDowell finished 32nd last year but has been no worse than seventh in three of four races on road courses this season.
Kyle Busch (+1,600)
A pair of third-place finishes here the last two years and fourth prior, Kyle Busch has two Top-10 finishes in four road course starts this season.
Bank of America ROVAL 400 fades
Shane Van Gisbergen (+400)
I don't like the odds for a driver who has never raced on this track before. Plus, Shane Van Gisbergen has finished 15th or worse in eight of his nine starts this season. It's hard to fathom a rookie driver on this track winning a playoff elimination race on Sunday.
Kyle Larson (+700)
Only 26th and 13th the last two ROVAL starts and three finishes of 12th or worse in four road course starts this season leave Kyle Larson as a fade.
Martin Truex Jr. (+2,000)
Martin Truex Jr. should have won the inaugural race here and was seventh in the two races after that. However, he's run 29th, 17th, and 20th in the last three renditions. He’s finished 10th, 27th, 33rd, and 20th on road courses this season.
Denny Hamlin (+4,500)
The number is attractive. However, Denny Hamlin has finished 12th or worse in five of his six ROVAL starts. He’s finished 14th, 38th, 30th, and 23rd in the last four Cup Series road races.
Bank of America ROVAL 400 prop pick
Ty Gibbs was fourth last season and has two Top-3 finishes in four road course starts this season.
Pick: Ty Gibbs Top-3 Finish (+400 at DraftKings)
Popular motor sports futures odds
Charlotte road course track analysis
Chevrolet is 3-for-4 on road courses this season, with all wins coming via Hendrick Motorsports with Byron in COTA, Larson in Sonoma, and Alex Bowman in Chicago. Also, Chevy drivers finished 1-2-3 last season on the ROVAL. But Ford was victorious the last time out on a road course with Chris Buescher at Watkins Glen.
However, how much is past history weighed this weekend? The track announced in May a reconfiguration of the 17-turn, 2.28-mile ROVAL. The distance and turns don’t change, but the idea was to provide more passing opportunities and force a competitive re-think of what it will take to get around the track.
Included in the reconfiguration, crews will extend the straightaway coming out of Turn 5 and create a new Turn 6, sending the field toward a much sharper hairpin in Turn 7. On the frontstretch, a sharper apex in Turn 16 of the final chicane will be created.
That’s why I side with the teams that have some past success on the ROVAL but have also been good on road courses in general this season.
Bank of America ROVAL 400 trends
- Only once in six years has someone started in the Top 5 and won.
- Five of the six started in the Top 10, though.
- Chevrolet has won four of the last five races here.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Bank of America ROVAL 400 info
| Location: | Charlotte Motor Speedway, Charlotte, NC |
| Date: | Sunday, 10-13-2024 |
| Start time: | 2:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | NBC |
Previous Bank of America ROVAL 400 winners
This year's renewal of the Bank of America ROVAL 400 will mark the seventh time in a row that NASCAR has eschewed the standard 1.5-mile oval at Charlotte for the modified road course for the fall race in "The Hornet's Nest." Chevrolet has won four of the first six races at the ROVAL.
| Year | Winner |
| 2023 | AJ Allmendinger |
| 2022 | Christopher Bell |
| 2021 | Kyle Larson |
| 2020 | Chase Elliott |
| 2019 | Chase Elliott |
| 2018 | Ryan Blaney |
How to make Bank of America ROVAL 400 picks
NASCAR betting is a nuanced process that can take any number of factors into account, and spans several different types of bets. Fortunately, our How to Bet NASCAR guide walks you through the basics, including how to read odds, different markets that are available, and what to consider when making your bets.
