NBA Betting Notebook, Odds, and Schedule: Utah's Demise Begins?

The Warriors are in trouble, but perhaps not as much as the Jazz in the grand scheme of things. Get an update on news from around the NBA — both on and off the court — with our NBA notes from around this week's news.

Rory Breasail • Betting Analyst
Jun 10, 2022 • 12:13 ET • 5 min read
Donovan Mitchell Utah Jazz NBA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Welcome to another Finals edition of the NBA Betting Notebook. Today’s NBA notes include the Boston Celtics bullying the diminutive Golden State Warriors, Quin Snyder stepping down from the Utah Jazz, Pat Riley’s frank criticism, and the controversy surrounding Draymond Green’s podcast. Let’s dive in.

NBA Notebook: June 9

Click on each item to read the full update.

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Celtics outmuscle Golden State to win Game 3

After outmuscling and dominating the Warriors to seize a 2-1 series lead, the Boston Celtics remain undefeated following a loss this postseason, The odds have once again swung in Boston’s favor (-230), but the way Game 3 was played suggests that they haven’t swung far enough. Robert Williams III, who has been up and down with injuries all playoffs and limited at times this season, was his old self in Game 3. Williams was a team high +21 and totaled a combined seven steals and blocks in his 25 minutes. His renewed production and rim protection should make Boston significant favorites going forward.

And that’s not even accounting for Steph Curry’s leg injury. Steph hurt his leg in a scramble for a loose ball when Al Horford fell on him and described his injury as similar to the one he suffered to Marcus Smart earlier this year. That injury, of course, caused him to miss the end of the regular season, but Curry claims he’ll be playing Game 4 regardless. That may be true, but it doesn’t mean he won’t be severely hobbled. Even with Steph playing lights out through three games, the Warriors find themselves fighting for their lives on the road. If Steph is anything less than 100%, the Celtics will romp to their 18th title.

(Check out our Steph Curry player prop picks for Game 4!)

Jazz face murky future as Quin Snyder Steps down 

Following months-long rumblings, Quin Snyder made things official and announced that he would be stepping down as head coach of the Utah Jazz after eight seasons. Snyder, who had massive regular-season success and is widely considered one of the best lineup optimizers in the NBA, turned down multiple extension offers by Utah. Snyder claims he just believed that a new voice would be required to help take the Jazz to the next level. It may be that Snyder sees the writing on the wall and would rather leave with his reputation intact with dicey days ahead in Salt Lake. 

Donovan Mitchell claimed to be unsettled by the decision, in a move some think is him setting up justification for a trade request down the pipeline. If that’s coming, the Jazz certainly are not eager to accept it, as they continue to retool with Mitchell in mind. So far, the Jazz have been rebuffing all teams who have indicated interest in the All-Star shooting guard. 

Replacing Snyder will be difficult, and there aren’t any veteran top-tier coaches on the market this summer. The betting markets for Utah’s next head coach have tipped Johnnie Bryant, currently an assistant on the New York Knicks, as the most likely candidate at +300. Bryant is a rising star in coaching circles and was an assistant coach on the Jazz before joining New York. Most importantly, he’s said to have a close relationship with Mitchell. While other coaches including Terry Stotts (+350) and Frank Vogel (+600) are also getting top odds, I’d strongly favor Bryant to get the job in the end, as the mandate from Jazz owner Ryan Smith has been to keep Mitchell happy at all costs.

Pat Riley’s blunt end of year assessments

The NBA is big business, so it’s understandable that so few of the power players are willing to speak their minds on the record in a believable manner. But if there’s anyone in the NBA world you can trust to tell you how he really feels, it’s Pat Riley. That’s a particularly unusual trait in a general manager, but the 77-year-old head of the Miami Heat let it fly in his exit presser this week. 

No topic was off the table, including suggesting that Kyle Lowry needs to focus on his conditioning more and lose weight. He also noted that Sixth Man of the Year Tyler Herro, who wants to start next season, will need to step up and start playing some defense if he wants to do so. Oh, and he wants you to know that he can do more pushups than you. Did you ask? No. Does he care? Also, no.

Draymond Green’s podcast sparks criticism

The NBA is at the forefront of revolutionizing the sports media space, with active players like CJ McCollum and recently retired ones like JJ Redick taking prominent roles on TV shows as well as flagship podcasts. Perhaps no one has been as much a trailblazer as Draymond Green, who has taken to recording a podcast immediately after games in the NBA Finals. With Green struggling in the series, some are criticizing the longtime Warrior, but Green is providing an unparalleled look into the mindset of actual NBA players at the highest level of the sport.

Jake Fischer of Bleacher Report even reported this week that Boston Celtics assistants are listening to Green’s podcasts, trying to glean any tactical nugget they can for game planning purposes. While Green doesn’t believe he’s giving anything away, what’s inarguable is that he is spearheading a sea change in the NBA media landscape.

Darvin Ham takes the reigns in LA

Darvin Ham was officially introduced as the new head coach of the Los Angeles Lakers this week. His presser was mostly bog-standard stuff including the typical praise for the star talent on the roster and a spirited defense of Russell Westbrook, who was also in attendance.

Ham is right to note that defense must be the starting point, but the Lakers remain a deeply flawed roster. If Anthony Davis and LeBron James can’t play at superstar levels and remain healthy for most of the season, nothing that Ham does otherwise will matter. Hopefully, Ham isn’t being set up to take the fall here, as the front office has a lot of work to do to make this team viable outside of replacing the top voice in the locker room.

The new boss immediately cleaned house, dismissing assistants Mike Penberthy, John Lucas III, and David Fizdale, the latter a former head coach and well-respected assistant. Reports have tabbed former NBA All-Star Rasheed Wallace as one of their possible replacements.

Check out the full NBA schedule, matchups, odds, and more!

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Rory Breasail - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Rory Breasail has been a diehard basketball fan since Larry Johnson’s 4-point play in 1999. He’s been writing about basketball for the last decade for outlets including NBA Math and Hashtag Basketball and joined Covers' NBA and WNBA coverage in 2022. Growing up in Steve Nash’s hometown of Victoria, BC, he now resides across the water in Vancouver, where he does a daily prayer to bring back the NBA.

He is a graduate of the British Columbia Institute of Technology’s Radio Arts program and has a Bachelor of Arts in Professional Communication from Royal Roads University. He’s betting and writing about betting nearly every day of the NBA and WNBA seasons at a variety of books including FanDuel and Betway.

Rory’s top piece of betting advice is to learn to read between the lines of injury reports. Whether a questionable player plays or not, and if they can have a real impact is massively important in sports betting. Whenever possible go right to local beat reporters as they often provide crucial context and insight that otherwise gets lost in translation.

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