The Milwaukee Bucks stumbled into the break after a promising start to 2025, and now as one of their top players faces a league suspension, things could grow worse as we end February.
Things have taken a turn for the worse defensively, and my Clippers vs. Bucks predictions anticipate a potential offensive track meet, given that the Los Angeles Clippers are dealing with defensive woes of their own.
Read more in my NBA picks for Thursday, February 20.
Clippers vs Bucks prediction
My best bet
Over 228.5 (-110 at bet365)
My analysis
The Milwaukee Bucks have dropped six of its last nine games heading into the All-Star break, a rather disappointing run given its promising January. Things broke down defensively with the Bucks sitting 18th in points allowed per 100 possessions, which is the end of the floor that has kept this team afloat for parts of the season.
Although the Bucks remain a solid 3-point defense, it’s been the interior that has suffered. They’ve ranked 16th and 20th at the rim and in the short mid-range, respectively — something that could hurt them against a Los Angeles Clippers team that focuses its offensive efforts inside the arc.
While the Clippers haven't been exceptional offensively, they've been good enough to take advantage of this matchup. Going against a defense that will be without Bobby Portis (suspension), Los Angeles should continue to score at an above-average clip inside.
Defensively, the Clippers have the league’s worst three-point defense this month, while the Bucks have been knocking down threes at one of the highest rates in the league. Assuming Damian Lillard is in — and his outlook seems to be positive — both offenses should turn this into a high-scoring game at Fiserv Forum.
Clippers vs Bucks same-game parlay
Brook Lopez is positioned to exploit the Clippers' poor 3-point defense against Ivica Zubac, who struggles to step out and defend the perimeter. The proof is in their last meeting when Lopez attempted seven threes and made three.
Zubac should have a good chance to score inside as well, specializing in the short mid-range where the Bucks have had issues defending. Milwaukee has also struggled on the glass, and that should afford Los Angeles' big man some extra shooting opportunities tonight.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Clippers vs Bucks odds
Clippers vs Bucks live odds
Clippers vs Bucks opening odds
- Spread: Los Angeles -1.5 (-110) | Milwaukee +1.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Los Angeles -130 | Milwaukee +110
- Over/Under: Over 225.5 (-110) | Under 225.5 (-110)
Odds courtesy of bet365
Clippers vs Bucks spread and Over/Under analysis
- Although the Bucks were initially listed as favorites, the Portis news has sent the line flying back in the other direction — where it continues to trend.
- The Clippers make up just 42% of the bets but 76% of the handle wagered on the spread.
- The total made a one-point move up early on Thursday and has since charged up as high as two full points in the afternoon.
- The Over has accounted for 71% of the bets and 90% of the money.
Clippers vs Bucks trend
Los Angeles has hit the moneyline in 23 of its last 41 road games (+13.25 Units / 14% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Clippers vs. Bucks.
How to watch Clippers vs Bucks
Location | Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, Wisconsin |
Date | Thursday, 2-20-2025 |
Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
TV | FanDuel Sports Network-SC, FanDuel Sports Network-Wisconsin |
Clippers vs Bucks latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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