The Los Angeles Clippers visit the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday night. One of these Western Conference teams comes into this matchup playing very well while the other is mired in an awful slump.
Would it surprise you to know that the flailing team in this scenario is the Warriors? Slumping or not, Golden State still finds themselves 5.5-point NBA betting favorites in this matchup.
But can you feel comfortable laying the points against a Clippers team playing its best basketball of the season? Find out in our free NBA betting picks and predictions for Clippers vs. Warriors on March 8.
Clippers vs Warriors odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.
The Warriors opened this Western Conference showdown as 6.5-point home chalk but their recent struggles have the early money siding with the Clippers, moving the line to 5.5. The total hit the board at 222.5, hopped up to 223 for a bit, and has since been bet down to 222.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until tip-off and be sure to check out the full NBA odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.
Clippers vs Warriors predictions
- Prediction: Warriors -5.5 (-110)
- Prediction: Under 222.5 (-110)
- Best bet: Looney Over 8.5 rebounds (-115)
Predictions made on 3/8/2022 at 4:23 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Clippers vs Warriors game info
• Location: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
• Date: Tuesday, March 8, 2022
• Tip-off: 10:00 p.m. ET
• TV: TNT
Clippers vs Warriors betting preview
Key injuries
Clippers: Paul George SF (Out), Norman Powell SF (Out), Robert Covington PF (Out), Kawhi Leonard SF (Out).
Warriors: Draymond Green PF (Out).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Under is 5-0 in the Clippers' last five road games. Find more NBA betting trends for Clippers vs. Warriors.
Clippers vs Warriors picks and predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
Spread analysis
Yes, it has appeared the Clippers and Warriors have reversed rolls heading into this matchup.
The Clips, despite losing last time out, have won seven of their previous eight games (7-1 ATS) while the Warriors enter this game ice cold — having lost eight of 10 straight-up and going just 2-9-1 against the spread in their last 12 games overall.
That includes a 119-104 win for L.A. against this same Dubs team back on February 14 where Steph Curry put up 33 points but didn’t get much help as the Clippers walked away with the victory.
The Clippers, as noted, come into this one playing well and rank first in defensive rating over this nine-game stretch. However, you can question the level of their competition.
After notching notable wins over the Mavericks and Warriors, their next five wins came against the Lakers (twice) and the flightless Houston Rockets (thrice).
Things have been going so poorly for Golden State that it gave basically each of their starters an extra rest day, sitting Steph Curry, Klay Thompson, and Andrew Wiggins in its game against the Nuggets last night.
Obviously, the Warriors miss the presence of Draymond Green, but Steph and the boys should, in theory, be well-rested and focused heading into this matchup against a Clippers team that just struggled against the Knicks.
Expect the Dubs to come out firing, with a line low enough for the favorites to cover.
Prediction: Warriors -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under analysis
What made the Warriors so imposing to start the season was not only the fact that Steph Curry looked poised to make another run at the NBA MVP award but that Golden State was an absolute menace on the defensive end of the floor.
The Warriors spent much of the first half of the season ranked No. 1 in defensive rating, but has since plummeted during this recent slump. In fact, over the last 10 games, the Warriors have ranked 28th in that category.
Not having Draymond Green since early January is a big part of that but this is a well-coached team and the fall-off should not be this drastic.
A matchup with the Clippers' offense might help. Los Angeles is obviously missing its big stars and relies on a committee approach when it comes to scoring. Unfortunately for the Clippers, that can lead to inconsistency.
As a result, L.A. ranks 26th in offensive rating and 25th in scoring offense. The game against the Knicks was a perfect example where no one could get going, and they put up a measly 93 points.
The Clippers, of course, hang their hat on defense. They rank seventh in defensive rating but have been the top defense in the league over the last 10 games and have proven they can hold down stars like Steph Curry as well as the likes of Luka Doncic and LeBron James.
While the Warriors got a little extra rest, they are still hurting, and trying to break out against the Clippers could be a difficult task. Bet on this one to sneak Under the number.
Prediction: Under 222.5 (-110)
Best bet
While the Clippers are a great defensive team this season, surprisingly they struggle to secure rebounds at times. L.A. ranks 25th in rebounding percentage and 28th in opponent rebounds per game.
That presents an opportunity for Warriors center Kevon Looney, who has averaged 9.3 rebounds per game since Draymond Green has been out with his back injury. Looney’s rebounding total for this one is set at 8.5, a number he’s gone Over in five of his last nine games.
Bet on Looney to keep cleaning up the glass in this one. Board man gets paid.
Pick: Kevon Looney Over 8.5 rebounds (-115)
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